OptionProbability
[AUS] A Driver DNF due to reliability problems (e.g., engine, power unit etc.)
[AUS] Red flag during qualifying
[AUS] At least 3 DNF
[AUS] Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton (race)
[TEST] Cadillac sets the slowest lap time of the whole testing session
[AUS] P1 & P2 by same team
[AUS] winner has no WDC title
[AUS] Audi reaches Q2 (Qualifying)
[AUS] Ferrari finishes on the podium
[AUS] An Audi driver finishes in top 10 (race)
[AUS] Verstappen finishes in top 10 (race)
[CHN] Yellow flag first lap Sprint
[CHN] Yellow flag first lap main race
[CHN] Ferrari on the podium of the sprint race
[CHN] Bearman scores points in the sprint race (top 8)
[CHN] Mercedes 1-2 in the main qualifying
[CHN] VSC or Physical Safety car during the sprint race
[CHN] A Ferrari is P1 at the end of lap 1 (main race)
[CHN] Physical Safety Car during the main race
[CHN] Mercedes 1-2 in the main race
[CHN] Bearman scores points in the main race (top 10)
[CHN] 5 or more DNF in the main race
[JAP] Physical Safety Car during the race
[JAP] Team other than Mercedes or Ferrari gets a podium
[JAP] Antonelli wins the race
[MIA] Non-Mercedes pole position in sprint qualifying
[MIA] McLaren 1-2 in the sprint race
[MIA] Leclerc podium in the sprint race
[MIA] Physical Safety Car in the main race
[MIA] A Mercedes finishes outside the top 5 in the sprint race
[MIA] Gasly reaches Q3 (main race qualifying)
[MIA] Antonelli wins the main race
[MIA] A McLaren on the podium in the main race
[MIA] Race start time is changed or cancelled due to weather conditions
Leave it open for the upcoming GP
[CAN] Three different teams on the podium (main race)
[CAN] Physical Safety Car during the main race
[AUS] Physical Safety Car during the race
[AUS] Yellow flag first lap
[AUS] Both Aston Martins qualify in the last row (21st and 22nd)
[TEST] Cadillac in the top 5 of the timesheets on any single day
[TEST] Ferrari sets the most laps during the whole testing session
[TEST] Mercedes sets the fastest lap time of the whole testing session
[TEST] First red flag caused by a driver error/spin etc. (not mechanical failure)
[AUS] Both Aston Martins retire after formation lap before race start
[AUS] The car finishing on P5 gets lapped
[AUS] Both Aston Martins don't finish the race
[AUS] Hadjar finishes on the podium
[CHN] Ferrari qualifies 1st or 2nd in the sprint qualifying (at least one driver)
[CHN] Red flag during sprint qualifying
[CHN] Mercedes 1-2 in the sprint race
[CHN] Gasly scores points in the sprint race (top 8)
[CHN] An Audi reaches Q3 (main race qualifying)
[CHN] Impeding penalty during qualifying for the main race
[CHN] An Audi scores points in the main race (top 10)
[CHN] A Red Bull Racing driver finishes in top 5 (main race)
[CHN] Winner wins by 11.00 seconds or more?
[JAP] Both Aston Martins DNF
[JAP] Yellow flag first lap
[JAP] Red flag in qualifying
[JAP] Impeding penalty during qualifying
[JAP] Team other than Mercedes gets pole position in qualifying
[JAP] Bearman reaches Q3
[JAP] 5 or more DNF (including DNS)
[JAP] Linblad scores points (top 10)
[JAP] Bortoleto scores points (top 10)
[JAP] Hadjar finishes ahead of Verstappen (face)
[JAP] A McLaren retires/DNS due to reliability issues
[JAP] Verstappen on the podium
[MIA] Impeding penalty during sprint qualifying
[MIA] Red flag during sprint qualifying
[MIA] Colapinto scores points in the sprint race
[MIA] Hadjar scores points in the sprint race
[MIA] Physical Safety Car in the sprint race
[MIA] McLaren pole position in qualifying for the main race
[MIA] Red flag during qualifying for the main race
[MIA] A Mercedes qualifies outside the top 5 (main race qualifying)
[MIA] Hadjar doesn't reach Q3 (main race qualifying)
[MIA] Verstappen on the Podium in the main race
[MIA] 5 or more DNF/DNS
[MIA] Both Ferrari finish in top 6 in the main race
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
50
50
46
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Harry Kane
Jordan Pickford
Declan Rice
Bukayo Saka
Jude Bellingham
Marc Guehi
Elliot Anderson
Marcus Rashford
Dean Henderson
Ezri Konsa
Cole Palmer
Anthony Gordon
Morgan Rogers
John Stones
Phil Foden
Eberechi Eze
James Trafford
Harry Maguire
Lewis Hall
Jordan Henderson
Dan Burn
Trent Alexander-Arnold
Adam Wharton
Reece James
Noni Madueke
Ben White
Valentino Livramento
Jarrod Bowen
Jarell Quansah
Kobbie Mainoo
Ollie Watkins
Levi Colwill
Dominic Solanke
Curtis Jones
Myles Lewis-Skelly
Trevoh Chalobah
Liam Delap
Aaron Ramsdale
Gibbs-White
Conor Gallagher
Ivan Toney
Jack Grealish
Rico Lewis
Nick Pope
Djed Spence
Ethan Nwaneri
Mason Mount
Jobe Bellingham
Archie Gray
Dominic Calvert-Lewin
Luke Shaw
Jarrad Branthwaite
James McAtee
Angel Gomes
Jamie Jermaine Bynoe-Gittens
Harvey Barnes
Harvey Elliott
Tyler Dibling
Harwood-Bellis
Alex Scott
Joe Gomez
Ben Chilwell
Callum Hudson-Odoi
James Maddison
Jacob Ramsey
Callum Wilson
Lewis Dunk
Max Kilman
Jadon Sancho
Omari Giraud-Hutchinson
Jack Hinshelwood
James Beadle
Kyle Walker
Michael Cooper
Tyrick Mitchell
Tyrone Mings
Ross Barkley
Rico Henry
Leif Davis
Keane Lewis-Potter
Adam Webster
James Ward-Prowse
Tosin Adarabioyo
Lewis Cook
Edward Nketiah
Joseph Willock
Sam Johnstone
Charlie Cresswell
Emile Smith-Rowe
95
94
93
92
92
90
89
88
88
86
86
84
82
75
72
66
66
65
65
64
61
58
56
55
54
53
44
43
41
40
31
31
28
20
20
19
17
16
15
15
14
14
12
11
11
11
10
10
10
10
9
9
9
8
8
7
7
7
7
6
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
OptionProbability
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Antonelli?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Leclerc?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside'?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Hamilton OUT FINISH Vallteri Bottas?
2026/12/06 (Abu Dhabi) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Norris?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Hamilton OUT FINISH Leclerc?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Piastri OUT FINISH Leclerc?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Leclerc?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Piastri OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will 'Row 2 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 2 Outside'?
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
50
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Have a front facing bumper camera.
Have a screen in the back row.
Have a steering wheel.
Run on a AI4/HW4 computer.
Run on a AI5 computer.
Be a Two Seater.
77
76
74
61
44
34
OptionVotes
YES
NO
3197
836
OptionProbability
Margin of victory is less than 2 3/4 lengths
Jimmy Carter is alive at the conclusion of race
Official track condition will be Fast
Winning Horse's Number is Prime (1 is not prime)
The Kentucky Derby is not be raced two years in a row at any point before 2050
Winning jockey celebrates with fist pump
Winning jockey thanks owner first in post-race interview
3 words in the winning horse's name
Winner beats last year's winning time (2:01.57)
Winning horse's name is 10 or 11 letters long (not counting spaces)
A penis is hanging out on the track (jockey or spectator, not horse)
One or more horse participants die within a week of the race (before or after, during too)
Winning jockey is female
100
100
100
100
19
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Execution date set
Scheduled execution stayed / postponed
Execution date set (post-October 2025)
Executed
Commuted to life / other clemency beyond stay of execution
Executed in 2026
Conviction removed (vacated, pardon, actual innocence, or otherwise)
Released from prison
Executed in 2025
Dies while on death row (not executed)
100
100
57
50
18
16
8
5
5
5
OptionProbability
Brazil
France
Argentina
Spain
Other
Germany
Italy
USA
United Kingdom
19
15
15
14
13
10
6
3
3
OptionVotes
YES
NO
1170
855
OptionProbability
02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will Joey Logano OUT FINISH Ryan Blaney?
02/04 (Bowman Gray Clash) - Will Tyler Reddick OUT FINISH Chase Elliott?
02/04 (Bowman Gray Clash) - Will Chris Buescher OUT FINISH Ty Gibbs?
02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will William Byron OUT FINISH Ryan Blaney?
02/22 (Atlanta) - Will Chase Elliott OUT FINISH Kyle Larson?
02/22 (Atlanta) - Will Tyler Reddick OUT FINISH Joey Logano?
03/08 (Phoenix) - Will Kyle Larson OUT FINISH Chase Elliott?
03/01 (Austin) - Will Shane van Gisbergen OUT FINISH A. J. Allmendinger?
02/04 (Bowman Gray Clash) - Will Ryan Preece OUT FINISH Christopher Bell?
02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will Ross Chastain OUT FINISH Austin Cindric?
02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will Austin Dillon OUT FINISH Austin Cindric?
02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will Noah Gragson OUT FINISH Austin Dillon?
02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' (Kyle Busch) OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside' (Chase Briscoe)?
02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will 'Row 2 Inside' (Joey Logano) OUT FINISH 'Row 2 Outside' (Chase Elliott)?
02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will 'Row 4 Inside' (Austin Dillon) OUT FINISH 'Row 4 Outside' (Kyle Larson)?
02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will 'Row 5 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 5 Outside' ?
02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will 'Row 6 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 6 Outside' ?
02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will 'Row 9 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 9 Outside' ?
02/12 (Daytona Duel 1) - Will 'Row 4 Inside' (Austin Dillon) OUT FINISH 'Row 4 Outside' (Corey LaJoie)?
02/12 (Daytona Duel 1) - Will 'Row 5 Inside' (John Hunter Nemechek) OUT FINISH 'Row 5 Outside' (Brad Keselowski)?
02/12 (Daytona Duel 1) - Will 'Row 6 Inside' (Ryan Blaney) OUT FINISH 'Row 6 Outside' (William Byron)?
02/12 (Daytona Duel 1) - Will 'Row 7 Inside' (Cole Custer) OUT FINISH 'Row 7 Outside' (Cody Ware)?
02/12 (Daytona Duel 1) - Will 'Row 9 Inside' (AJ Allmendinger) OUT FINISH 'Row 9 Outside' (Ross Chastain)?
02/12 (Daytona Duel 1) - Will 'Row 10 Inside' (Shane van Gisbergen) OUT FINISH 'Row 10 Outside' (Daniel Suarez)?
02/22 (Autotrader 400) - Will Austin Dillon OUT FINISH Kyle Larson?
03/22 (Darlington) - Will Austin Dillon OUT FINISH Kyle Larson?
02/22 (Atlanta) - Will Tyler ReddickOUT FINISH Kyle Larson?
02/22 (Atlanta) - Will Tyler ReddickOUT FINISH Joey Logano?
02/22 (Atlanta) - Will Tyler ReddickOUT FINISH Ricky Stenhouse?
02/22 (Atlanta) - Will Chase ElliottOUT FINISH Ricky Stenhouse?
02/22 (Atlanta) - Will Chase Elliott OUT FINISH Brad Keselowski??
03/15 (Las Vegas) - Will 'Row 2 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 2 Outside'?
03/15 (Las Vegas) - Will 'Row 3 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 3 Outside'?
03/29 (Cook Out 400) - Will Denny Hamlin OUT FINISH Kyle Larson?
03/29 (Cook Out 400) - Will DWilliam Byron OUT FINISH Kyle Larson?
11/08 (Miami) - Will Austin Dillon OUT FINISH Kyle Larson?
02/04 (Bowman Gray Clash) - Will Chase Elliott OUT FINISH Chris Buescher?
02/04 (Bowman Gray Clash) - Will Tyler Reddick OUT FINISH Ty Gibbs?
02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will Kyle Larson OUT FINISH William Byron?
02/04 (Bowman Gray Clash) - Will Chase Elliott OUT FINISH Austin Dillon?
03/15 (Las Vegas) - Will Kyle Larson OUT FINISH Chase Elliott?
03/15 (Las Vegas) - Will Joey Logano OUT FINISH Tyler Reddick?
02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will Kyle Larson OUT FINISH Joey Logano?
03/08 (Phoenix) - Will Joey Logano OUT FINISH William Byron?
02/04 (Bowman Gray Clash) - Will Bubba Wallace OUT FINISH Ross Chastain?
02/04 (Bowman Gray Clash) - Will Austin Cindric OUT FINISH Ross Chastain?
02/04 (Bowman Gray Clash) - Will Kyle Larson OUT FINISH William Byron?
02/04 (Bowman Gray Clash) - Will Ty Gibbs OUT FINISH Chase Briscoe?
02/04 (Bowman Gray Clash) - Will Christopher Bell OUT FINISH Denny Hamlin?
02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will 'Row 3 Inside' (Ryan Blaney) OUT FINISH 'Row 3 Outside' (Carson Hocevar)?
02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will 'Row 7 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 7 Outside' ?
02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will 'Row 8 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 8 Outside' ?
02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will 'Row 10 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 10 Outside' ?
02/12 (Daytona Duel 1) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' (Kyle Busch) OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside' (Ryan Preece)?
02/12 (Daytona Duel 1) - Will 'Row 2 Inside' (Corey Heim) OUT FINISH 'Row 2 Outside' (Alex Bowman)?
02/12 (Daytona Duel 1) - Will 'Row 3 Inside' (Chris Buescher) OUT FINISH 'Row 3 Outside' (Joey Logano)?
02/12 (Daytona Duel 1) - Will 'Row 8 Inside' (Jimmie Johnson) OUT FINISH 'Row 8 Outside' (Bubba Watson)?
02/12 (Daytona Duel 2) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' (Chase Briscoe) OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside' (Denny Hamlin)?
02/12 (Daytona Duel 2) - Will 'Row 2 Inside' (Kyle Larson) OUT FINISH 'Row 2 Outside' (Chase Elliott)?
02/12 (Daytona Duel 1) - Will 'Row 11 Inside' (Chandler Smith) OUT FINISH 'Row 11 Outside' (Casey Mears)?
02/12 (Daytona Duel 2) - Will 'Row 3 Inside' (Ty Gibbs) OUT FINISH 'Row 3 Outside' (Christopher Bell)?
02/12 (Daytona Duel 2) - Will 'Row 4 Inside' (Justin Allgaier) OUT FINISH 'Row 4 Outside' (Austin Cindric)?
02/12 (Daytona Duel 2) - Will 'Row 5 Inside' (Zane Smith) OUT FINISH 'Row 5 Outside' (Michael McDowell)?
02/12 (Daytona Duel 2) - Will 'Row 6 Inside' (Connor Zilisch) OUT FINISH 'Row 6 Outside' (Erik Jones)?
02/12 (Daytona Duel 2) - Will 'Row 7 Inside' (Josh Berry) OUT FINISH 'Row 7 Outside' (Carson Hocevar)?
11/08 (Miami) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside'?
03/01 (COTA) - Will Austin Dillon OUT FINISH Kyle Larson?
03/08 (Phoenix) - Will Austin Dillon OUT FINISH Kyle Larson?
03/15 (Las Vegas) - Will Austin Dillon OUT FINISH Kyle Larson?
03/29 (Cook Out 400) - Will Austin Dillon OUT FINISH Kyle Larson?
03/15 (Las Vegas) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside'?
03/15 (Las Vegas) - Will 'Row 4 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 4 Outside'?
03/15 (Las Vegas) - Will Blaney OUT FINISH Reddick?
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
50
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
02/14 (Daytona - United Rentals 300) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside'?
02/14 (Daytona - United Rentals 300) - Will 'Row 3 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 3 Outside'?
02/14 (Daytona - United Rentals 300) - Will 'Row 4 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 4 Outside'?
02/14 (Daytona - United Rentals 300) - Will 'Row 7 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 7 Outside'?
03/14 (Las Vegas - The LiUNA!) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 2 Outside'?
03/14 (Las Vegas - The LiUNA!) - Will Austill Hill OUT FINISH Carson Kvapil?
03/14 (Las Vegas - The LiUNA!) - Will Sheldon Creed OUT FINISH Sammy Smith?
11/07 (Miami) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside'?
02/14 (Daytona - United Rentals 300) - Will 'Row 2 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 2 Outside'?
02/14 (Daytona - United Rentals 300) - Will 'Row 5 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 5 Outside'?
02/14 (Daytona - United Rentals 300) - Will 'Row 6 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 6 Outside'?
03/14 (Las Vegas - The LiUNA!) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside'?
03/14 (Las Vegas - The LiUNA!) - Will Jesse Love OUT FINISH Justin Allgaier?
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
50
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
02/13 (Daytona - Fresh From Florida 250) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' (Ty Majeski) OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside' (Michael McDowell)?
02/13 (Daytona - Fresh From Florida 250) - Will 'Row 2 Inside' (Tanner Gray) OUT FINISH 'Row 2 Outside' (Carson Hocevar)?
02/13 (Daytona - Fresh From Florida 250) - Will 'Row 4 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 4 Outside'?
02/13 (Daytona - Fresh From Florida 250) - Will 'Row 5 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 5 Outside'?
02/13 (Daytona - Fresh From Florida 250) - Will 'Row 4 Inside' (Kaden Honeycutt) OUT FINISH 'Row 4 Outside' (Jake Garcia)?
03/20 (Darlington) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside'?
03/20 (Darlington) - Will 'Row 3 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 3 Outside'?
11/06 (Miami) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside'?
02/13 (Daytona - Fresh From Florida 250) - Will 'Row 3 Inside' (Grant Enfinger) OUT FINISH 'Row 3 Outside' (Tyler Ankrum)?
02/13 (Daytona - Fresh From Florida 250) - Will 'Row 8 Inside' (Tony Stewart) OUT FINISH 'Row 8 Outside' (Justin Haley)?
03/20 (Darlington) - Will 'Row 2 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 2 Outside'?
03/20 (Darlington) - Will 'Row 4 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 4 Outside'?
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
59
0
0
0
0
