OptionProbability
Lionel Messi to score at least one goal
Total goals in the tournament to exceed 200
The Golden Boot winner to score 6+ goals
VAR to overturn at least 20 decisions
Someone scores 5+ goals within group stage
USA survives group stage
Total goals in the tournament to exceed 300
10+ goals in any match
2+ red cards in any match
2+ European countries reach top 4
Any player scores at least a goal 3 matches in a row
The Golden Boot winner to score 8+ goals
Goal from last kick of the game
Cristiano Ronaldo to score a goal
3+ penalty shootout
Mexico survives group stage
Canada survives group stage
The Golden Ball is awarded to a player from tournament winner
South American team reaches semi-final
3+ red cards in any match
6+ yellow cards in any match
Red card issued for mouth covering
Team with 0 wins in Group Stage
Black player gets the red card
Player throws captains armband
Bicycle kick attempt
Team scores after being down to 10 men
Both teams score in stoppage time
Player scores against country of birth/heritage
Player bleeding on camera during match
Team loses possession from delay throw-in
15+ minutes of the stoppage time
Champion is unbeaten
USA player gets the red card
Disruption at Iran match
A fully southern hemisphere team (Australia, NZ, South Africa, Uruguay or Argentina) makes semi finals.
Hooligans light the fireworks at night by team hotel for disruption
Player scores a hat-trick
Over 6.5 matches ending 0-0 (regular time only)
Over 289.5 total goals scored*
Over 9.5 own goals scored
Over 10.5 red cards
Spain goes further than France
Over 7.5 goals scored in a single group stage match
Over 202.5 goals scored in group stage
US scores in every single group stage match
Scorigami (a match ends in a score that has never happened at a World Cup; for the purpose of this answer refers only to result before extra time / shootout)
Play suspended for more than 1.5 hours in a single match
Bottle thrown on field
Teenager scores a goal (non penalty shoot-out)
Messi is top Argentinian goal-scorer
Team finishes match with 9 players
25+ people arrested at stadium
French-born player scores against France
Team makes it to Round of 32 with no goals conceded
3 or more coaches resign or are fired before end of World Cup
Single top goalscorer in tournament (not tied)
Goal scored directly from a free-kick
A coach is sacked before the end of the tournament
Team is undefeated for the entire tournament (only wins & draws)
Champion is a first place group stage winner
First penalty shootout kick of tournament is missed/saved
Team ends Group Stage with a clean sheet
Player not born in the country they are playing for scores 2+ goals
Trump still alive at end of final match
“Puto” chant at match
Crowd jump registers on local seismic sensor
Referee falls down
Match has a dedicated moment of silence
Any host places 1st in their group
Curaçao scores a goal
Haaland scores over 3.5 goals
Messi scores a goal at 39 years old
Both players in this photo* play each other in a match
Fan hospitalized for heat related illness
Kylian Mbappe & Harry Kane to Score 9+ Goals Combined
Trump attends match
Neymar plays in a match
Player dies during World Cup
Vuvuzela spotted in the stadium stands
An over-enthusiastic goal celebration results in a shattered corner flag
A penalty shootout contains a missed winning kick (Matchball)
At least two Mohammeds (all variants) score ≥1 goal
Player tears their ACL
Players cleat falls off their foot
Unauthorized person gets on the pitch during match
gruesome leg/ankle/arm injury
Another match day ending in all draws (regular time)
Will either Bosnia and Herzegovina or Qatar advance to the next round?
Will Cristiano Ronaldo Score Atleast A Goal In Next Match Against Uzbekistan
Will any group finish with either all draws or zero draws?
Will both brothers of any pair score at this World Cup?
Foam spray is used on field to mark penalty / free kick
Cape Verde scores a goal
Will any more team(s) from Europe finish 4th in the group?
Messi to score a free kick
Ronaldo to cry at the world cup
Team loses after leading 2-0
Golden Boot Winner wears Nike branded cleats
World Cup winner to never trail in a match
Penalty shootout goes 6+ rounds
Pride flag at Egypt v Iran match
Austria Pays Its Debt to Algeria? (Austria loses or draws with Algeria AND both teams qualify. Inspired by the 1982 “Disgrace of Gijón”)
Vorzinha concedes a goal by Argentina player in regular play
First team to lead goes through in 24+ knockout matches? (penalties count)
This World Cup Market reaches 500 traders
Gianni Infantino travels more than 50K miles during the tournament by airplane
Short Fuse: The Netherlands - Morocco ends in penalties
Any match is 0-0 going into penalty shootouts
Panenka penalty to be scored
Player scores 8+ goals
Player gets a straight red card in Round of 16
A team scores 4 goals in a knockout round game
A team loses after scoring 3 unanswered goals
Spain scores 3 or more goals against Austria [Short Fuse]
An even number of games go to a shootout
Any team scores 4 unanswered goals in a knockout stage match
Flash Market: No goals in 2nd half stoppage time today (July 3 - last three Rd of 32 games)
More goals scored in 3rd Place Match than in the Final (excluding penalty shootouts)
England v Mexico Match on July 5 rescheduled to a different time? (Currently scheduled 6pm local time)
Mexicans mess with England team before match in the any way (fireworks, beeping, delays)
Paraguay is playing undeniably the Haramball tonight
German Freddy back on the twitter (formerly known as the x) before end of final
In quarterfinals, the alphabetically earlier country wins more games
team that wins bronze has more goals across tournament than both gold and silver
Infantino and Trump sitting next to each other at any match
Player scores 2+ goals in a match (QF)
Player gets 2 yellow cards in a match (QF)
Mbappe scores a non-penalty kick goal (QF)
A shot with xG greater than 0.75 gets missed (QF)
USA strikes Iran anytime from start of quarterfianals to ending of them
Trump flies in the Qatari Air Force One to final
Paraguayan Senator Celeste Amarilla goes on another rant about Mbappe before end of final
France, Spain, England & Argentina all go to Half Finales
Mikel Merino finishes the World Cup with more or the same number of goals as Lamine Yamal
A French player leaves the field injured against Spain (like Mendes and Courtois)
Goal scored in stoppage time (SF)
Over 3.5 goals scored (SF)
Goal scored from a header (SF)
Goal is disallowed for offside (SF)
Team wins by exactly 1 goal (SF)
Mitch McConnell alive for entire final match?
match
Over 4.5 goals in semi finals
Substitute scores in semi finals
Spain ball posession under 55.5% in semi final
Ball hits the woodwork in semi final match
English fans acting unruly before, during or after Argentina match
Both England and Argentina score a goal in the semifinal
Both Teams to Score Argentina/ England in 90minutes plus stoppage time. (Not Extra time)
Match ends in a draw in regular time (F)
Final combined match score is an odd number (F)
Goal is disallowed for offside (F)
Team wins by exactly 1 goal (F)
Match is won in extra-time (F)
Goalkeeper ends match with a clean sheet (F)
Substitute scores a goal (F)
Match ends 0-0 in regular time (F)
Spain first to score (F)
Match is tied at halftime (F)
First yellow card given to Argentina (F)
Player gets 2 yellow cards in a match (F)
Trump touches in any way the Messi at final match/stadium
Argentinian player leaves injured in the final (like Mendes, Courtois and Saliba)
Score 0-0 in first part of extra time
Spain wins
Argentina lose Spain
World Cup team coach resigns or is fired before end of July (after final)
Asian player gets the red card
FIFA’s official total revenue for the 2023-2026 cycle exceed $16.billion
The ballon d’or is awarded to a player from World Cup winner
Asian player misses penalty kick
USA to reach the Quarter-finals or further
A penalty shootout to decide the Final match
No red cards issued in the Final match
Erling Haaland to win the Golden Boot
An African nation to reach the Semi-finals
5+ group stage winners advance with 9 points (3 wins)
15+ cards in any match
Total goals in the tournament to exceed 400
Any one of Harry Kane, Kylian Mbappe, or Erling Haaland to score a hattrick
Goal scored within 1st minute
Penalty shootout to decide semi-final match
Penalty shootout to decide a quarter-final match
20+ penalty goals
30+ penalty goals
Messi and Ronaldo play in the same match
Asia team reaches semi final
The Golden Boot winner is decided by # assists
Goalkeeper attempts shot in PKs
Player arrested / detained at any time of tournament
Trump kicks or holds a soccer ball at any time during tournament
Weather postponement or delay for greater than 3 hours
Player bit during match
Bald person gets the red card
Football is coming home?
Match delayed due to homophobic crowd chant
Coach on camera during match smelling finger(s)
Headbutt during match
Laser pointer on goalie during match
Someone escorted off field shirtless
Player gets spat on during match
Ronaldo gets in referee face
England loses on penalties
More own goals than red cards in tourney
VAR overturns second yellow card
Player walks off pitch protesting referee
Player shits in the pants during match
The Netherlands does not survive group stage
Confirmed case of Ebola at the match
Player is complaining about the Trionda ball / blames it for the losing
Trump attends 3 or more games
All 3 host countries win the opener
ICE makes a capture at the stadium
Player with the heat stroke / heat related illness
Smoke bomb during match in USA
Flares in stands during match in USA
Taylor Swift & Travis Kelce attend match
Elon Musk attends match
Betting scandal reported
Player wearing a face mask in semi-final match
All 48 teams score at least 1 goal
Fastest goal record beaten (11 seconds)
Over 8.5 penalties missed (excludes shoot-outs)
Over 30.5 penalties scored (excludes shoot-outs)
Over 395.5 yellow cards
Any host nation in quarter final
US goes further than Mexico
Canada goes further than US
Over 1.5 of the visible penis in world cup tourney (during match, on pitch)
Goal scored from own half
Olimpico goal (goal scored directly from corner kick, counts if corner taker is credited as the goalscorer by FIFA)
Goalkeeper scores a non-penalty goal
Game is turned around in stoppage team (one team leads at 90:00, the other team scores twice or more in stoppage time to win it)
A player or their teams gets sanctioned by FIFA (i. e. a fine, an overturned result, a suspension) for a goal celebration with a political or politics-adjacent message
Voodoo doll or alive chicken in stands
Team captain gets red card
Ronaldo scores before Messi
Pulisic top Team USA goal scorer
All teams concede at least 1 goal in group stage
Team gets removed or disqualified
Team makes it to Round of 16 with zero yellow cards
2 UEFA teams in final
Final is a rematch of a previous World Cup
Any match is canceled or postponed
Golden boot & golden ball won by the same player
Team wins a match without making a single substitution
Coaches of both teams in final match are wearing suits
Both teams in final have red on their flag
Team finishes third in group and makes it to final
Youngest player of the tournament scores a goal
Final features a team that has never made it to the final before
Visible debris thrown during corner kick attempt
Oldest player in tournament gets a yellow card
Team gets to final on all penalty shoot-outs in knockout rounds
Any player injured in opening group match & out for rest of tournament
Last penalty shoot-out kick of tournament is missed/saved
Palestinian or Israeli flag on field during match
Player wearing oxygen mask on sideline
Fans invade field during match
Major security incident
Animal (not birdy) is on field during match
Team USA fans pull off a decent Tifo
Shooting incident (non-ball) at stadium
Match is forfeited
Bonnie Blue attending a match
4+ Corners in Every Group Stage Match
Player drinking Liquid Death at hydration break
Salt Bae attending a match
King Charles attends match
Record for hottest WC match ever played broken (>101°)
Player blames an injury on poor stadium grass
Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei attending a match
Unofficial drone is reported flying over a stadium
Players from any other league outscore PL players in the tournament
USA plays Iran
Mohamed Salah (Egypt) scores 5+ goals during Group Stage Fixtures (Round of 64)
Ronaldo does jerkin move
Trump dancing at match
Team reaches the quarter-finals through draws and penalties
A group-stage match is decided by a freak "Olympico" goal scored directly from a corner
The fastest goal of the tournament is scored within 30 seconds
6+ teams with negative goal difference advance from the group stage
Player suffers cardiac arrest
Winning team has a foreign manager
Omar Artan is at a World Cup match
Another match with 3+ red cards
Players / members of team attempt to defect
A third-placed team is eliminated with 4+ points
Any team with <3 points advances from the group stage
Freddy attends the final match
Freddy shown during a match broadcast
Someone from Trump administration celebrating in locker room
Will any player be seen drinking gatorade during a hydration break?
Messi gets a yellow card
Ronaldo puts up the goose egg (excludes any penalty or shootout)
Trump acts innapropriate with trophy at final
German Freddy is uncovered to be the marketing stunt
Messi scores on every game he plays
Will Merlin the duck correctly predict both remaining MEX group stage matches?
Haaland scores on every game he plays
Match delayed due to anti-Trump crowd chant
Champion is a first time World Cup winner
Ronaldo does not start
Knockout Stage (incl 3rd/4th) to match or exceed Group-Stage scoring average
Play suspended for more than 2.5 hours in a single match
Team particpates in 3+ penalty shoot-outs
Any two brothers play against each other (Both must be on the pitch at the same time)
World Champion's goals > total goals of all teams out in group stage
Flipping Coinflips – Do teams shooting first win more penalty shootouts?
5+ hat tricks
Messi scores more goals than Mbappe
Penalty shootout goes 7+ rounds
Any country ranked outside FIFA Top 10 to reach semifinals (as of 6/11)
Over 14.5 own goals scored
Golden Glove Winner wears Senda, Rinat, RG, Voit or Adidas brand glove
Total goals in the tournament to exceed 310
Emmanuel Macron attends match
The Netherlands reaches half-final
16+ knockout matches to be won by 2+ goals inc. Extra Time (no Penalties)
17+ knockout matches to be won by 2+ goals - Regular time only!
France becomes finalist
France, Mexico, and Argentina all make it to the quarter finals
Belgium plays against The Netherlands
Of 5 competing continents, Europe has highest survival % in round of 32
16+ Knockout Stage Clean Sheets (0–0 after ET counts as 2)
Short Fuse: Germany scores 3 or more goals against Paraguay
FIFA officially apologizes or announces a general review of the VAR system following Germany’s disallowed goal vs Paraguay
Messi scores a goal in every match Argentina plays in
Overall penalty conversion rate to be 66.67% or higher ( all penalties no matter when)
Norway becomes finalist
Panenka penalty to be bottled
Three straight games going to penalties
Messi scores a goal in penalty shootout
Any team gets to penalty shootout and doesn't score a goal
Player with 9 or more assists
Enock Kabwende shown during broadcast
Announcer says Doctor Congo during 7/1 match broadcast
Any Trump attending BIH v USA match
Lead (or tied lead) goal scorer is on the team that wins the World Cup
World Cup winner won at least 2 games by shootout
A host country reaches the semi-finals
Belgium becomes finalist
Croatia gets a red card against Portugal [Short Fuse]
In knockouts, more teams with red cards WIN their matches
Round of 16 Special: „My vision, my rules“ - Referee sticks to original (no) Penalty, Goal or Red Card decision after On-Field Review
🇦🇷 ARG vs CPV 🇨🇻 – ARG wins both halves and scores more than three times as many goals as CPV
Own goal is scored (Rof16)
Over 1.5 matches end with a penalty shoot-out (Rof16)
Ronaldo scores a non-penalty kick goal (Rof16)
Team wins by exactly two goals (Rof16)
Mbappe doing the dictator point
Red card in CAN v MAR?
In round of 16, the alphabetically earlier country wins more games
3 continents reach semifinals
France's appeal successfully overturns Michael Olise's yellow card before the quarter-finals kickoff
Player doing lip trill shown in slow motion during final match broadcast on FOX
Trump attending the USA Belgium match
Trump takes credit for USA win within 1 day
Trump mentioned during USA BEL Fox broadcast today
Pitch Invader during USA BEL match today
Frances' tournament ends before Graham Platner drops out of Maine Senate race
"Is the TV broken?": There will be 4 or more On-Field Reviews (OFR) from the Quarterfinals onwards
"Shocking decision, Ref!": Any goal disallowed by VAR in the Quarterfinals AND any goal disallowed by VAR in the Semifinals (according to ESPN)
There will be a single leader in the Golden Boot ranking after the Quarterfinals (no tiebreak applies)
Norway player displays the flu like symptoms during match
Match ends 0-0 in regular time (QF)
Own goal is scored (QF)
Ball “heartbeat” graphic shown during FOX/FS1 broadcast (QF)
Over 1.5 matches end with a penalty shoot-out (QF)
Announcer says "Tom Brady" during France v Morocco
Player gets straight red card (QF)
Trump picks team he is supporting to win for the final game
Sam Altman attends final
JD Vance attends final
Morrocans stealing the towels or water bottles during game
Any Morrocan gets the red card
Morocco player picks up a ball during France possession 3+ times
France player picks up a ball during Morocco possession 3+ times
Shirtless player on field during match (QF)
Messi misses another penalty shot - includes shootout (QF-F)
Messi subbed out before the end of a match he played in (QF-F)
[France + Argentina] score more goals than [Spain + England] (SF)
Player scores 2+ goals in a match (SF)
Over 0.5 matches end with a penalty shoot-out (SF)
Match ends 0-0 in regular time (SF)
All teams score 1+ goals (SF)
Mbappe scores a non-penalty kick goal (SF)
Goal scored within the first 15 minutes (SF)
Own goal is scored (SF)
Player gets a straight red card (SF)
A shot with xG greater than 0.75 gets missed (SF)
Ball “heartbeat” graphic shown during FOX/FS1 broadcast (SF)
Shirtless player on field during match (SF)
Match is won in extra-time (SF)
Yellow card given for simulation (SF)
Harry Kane scores a non-penalty kick goal (SF)
Bellingham gets yellow card (SF)
Both players in this photo* score and/or assist (SF)
Strait of Hormuz open at start of final match?
Over 17.5 corners in semi finals
Mbappe & Oyarzabal to record 2+ shots on target in semi final
Gavi shown card in semi final
Otamendi shown card in semi final
Anything occurring to make it historical final
The market creator deems the result of the final to have been swayed by bias from the referee
Two different players with the same jersey number score in the final
Mbappé leads Golden Boot race after 3rd place match & Messi overtakes in Final to win the Award
Mbappé less than 60 mins on the pitch in Consolation Final 3./4.
Sore Losers: Any player or official from the losing team to instantly remove or reject their silver medal after the Final
Own goal is scored (F)
Intruder on field during match (F)
Goal scored in stoppage time (F)
Over 2.5 goals scored (F)
Player scores 2+ goals in a match (F)
Penalty kick missed during regular/extra time (F)
Goal scored from a header (F)
A shot with xG greater than 0.75 gets missed (F)
Player gets a straight red card (F)
Penalty kick is given in 2nd half (F)
Argentina last to score (F)
[France + Argentina] score more goals than [Spain + England] (F)
Goal scored within the last 15 minutes (F)
Match ends 1-1 in regular time (F)
Final score is 1-2 or 2-1 (F)
Match ends with penalty shoot-out (F)
Winning team has lower total ball possession (F)
Both teams score 1+ goals in 2nd half (F)
Goal is scored from outside the penalty box (F)
Over 1.5 goals scored (F)
All teams score 1+ goals (F)
First yellow card in 2nd half given to Spain (F)
Goal scored in first 15 minutes of 2nd half (F)
Argentina first to score in 2nd half (F)
No yellow cards given in 1st half (F)
Goal scored within the first 15 minutes (F)
Yellow card given for simulation (F)
Ball “heartbeat” graphic shown during FOX/FS1 broadcast (F)
Both players in this photo* score and/or assist (F)
Argentina gets a penalty in regular time in the finals
Banner referencing historical territorial dispute visible during final or 3rd place match
"Albiceleste Cardiac Arrest": Argentina scores the game's final goal from 75' onward to win or force extra time (F)
"Pessi's Redemption": Messi scores a penalty and wins the Golden Boot
Javier Milei tweets VLLC or "Viva la libertad carajo" before the winning captain lifts the trophy (F)
The final score in the final is an internet certified funny number e.g. 2-1, 6-7, 6-9, 4-20 (ascending and descending order allowed)
Score 0-0 in second part of extra time
Argentina scores 1-1 in extra time
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OptionProbability
[AUS] A Driver DNF due to reliability problems (e.g., engine, power unit etc.)
[AUS] Red flag during qualifying
[AUS] At least 3 DNF
[AUS] Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton (race)
[TEST] Cadillac sets the slowest lap time of the whole testing session
[AUS] P1 & P2 by same team
[AUS] winner has no WDC title
[AUS] Audi reaches Q2 (Qualifying)
[AUS] Ferrari finishes on the podium
[AUS] An Audi driver finishes in top 10 (race)
[AUS] Verstappen finishes in top 10 (race)
[CHN] Yellow flag first lap Sprint
[CHN] Yellow flag first lap main race
[CHN] Ferrari on the podium of the sprint race
[CHN] Bearman scores points in the sprint race (top 8)
[CHN] Mercedes 1-2 in the main qualifying
[CHN] VSC or Physical Safety car during the sprint race
[CHN] A Ferrari is P1 at the end of lap 1 (main race)
[CHN] Physical Safety Car during the main race
[CHN] Mercedes 1-2 in the main race
[CHN] Bearman scores points in the main race (top 10)
[CHN] 5 or more DNF in the main race
[JAP] Physical Safety Car during the race
[JAP] Team other than Mercedes or Ferrari gets a podium
[JAP] Antonelli wins the race
[MIA] Non-Mercedes pole position in sprint qualifying
[MIA] McLaren 1-2 in the sprint race
[MIA] Leclerc podium in the sprint race
[MIA] Physical Safety Car in the main race
[MIA] A Mercedes finishes outside the top 5 in the sprint race
[MIA] Gasly reaches Q3 (main race qualifying)
[MIA] Antonelli wins the main race
[MIA] A McLaren on the podium in the main race
[MIA] Race start time is changed or cancelled due to weather conditions
[CAN] Three different teams on the podium (main race)
[CAN] Mercedes 1-2 in the sprint qualifying
[CAN] Red flag during sprint qualifying
[CAN] Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton in the sprint race
[CAN] 5 or more DNS/DNF in the main race
[CAN] An Alpine finishes in top 10 in the main race
[CAN] Hamilton finishes on podium in the main race
[CAN] Hamilton outfinishes Verstappen (main race)
[MON] Pole Sitter wins the race
[MON] Red flag during qualifying
[MON] Red flag during the race
[MON] A driver overtakes their teammate on track
[MON] Safety car (non-virtual) during the race
[MON] Pole position margin is less than 50 milliseconds
[MON] Three different teams on the podium
[MON] Hadjar finishes in top 5 (race)
[MON] A Williams scores points (top 10)
[MON] 3 or more DNF/DNS
[BAR] An Audi reaches Q3
[BAR] Hamilton on the podium
[BAR] Verstappen finishes in top 5
[BAR] 3 or more DNF/DNS
[BAR] At least one driver that finishes in top 5 does 3 pit stops (or more)
[BAR] At least one podium finisher from team other than Ferrari or Mercedes
[AUT] Qualifying lap invalidated due to track limits
[AUT] Both Ferraris in top 5 in qualifying
[AUT] Both Racing Bulls finish in top 10 (race)
[GBR] Physical Safety Car during the race
[GBR] Sprint race is won by a driver ranked top-8 in the championship
[GBR] Yellow flag first lap (main race)
[GBR] Both Ferraris in top 4 in the main qualifying
[GBR] Both Ferraris finish the main race in top 4
[GBR] Hadjar finishes ahead of Verstappen (main race)
[GBR] Both Racing Bulls finish the main race in top 10
[GBR] Antonelli and Russel gap within 10 seconds at the end of the main race
[SPA] Red flag in qualifying
[SPA] Antonelli wins the race
[SPA] An Audi reaches Q3
[SPA] Physical Safety Car during the race
[SPA] A Ferrari on the podium
[SPA] Hadjar finishes the race in top 10
[SPA] Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton
[SPA] Yellow flag first lap
[HUN] Impeding penalty during qualifying
[HUN] Pole position margin is less than 50 milliseconds
[HUN] An Aston Martin reaches Q2
[HUN] An Audi reaches Q3
[HUN] Russel qualifies outside the top 4
[HUN] Antonelli on the podium
[HUN] Hulkenberg finishes the race in top 10
[HUN] Both Racing Bulls finish the race in top 10
Leave it open for the upcoming GP
[AUS] Physical Safety Car during the race
[AUS] Yellow flag first lap
[AUS] Both Aston Martins qualify in the last row (21st and 22nd)
[TEST] Cadillac in the top 5 of the timesheets on any single day
[TEST] Ferrari sets the most laps during the whole testing session
[TEST] Mercedes sets the fastest lap time of the whole testing session
[TEST] First red flag caused by a driver error/spin etc. (not mechanical failure)
[AUS] Both Aston Martins retire after formation lap before race start
[AUS] The car finishing on P5 gets lapped
[AUS] Both Aston Martins don't finish the race
[AUS] Hadjar finishes on the podium
[CHN] Ferrari qualifies 1st or 2nd in the sprint qualifying (at least one driver)
[CHN] Red flag during sprint qualifying
[CHN] Mercedes 1-2 in the sprint race
[CHN] Gasly scores points in the sprint race (top 8)
[CHN] An Audi reaches Q3 (main race qualifying)
[CHN] Impeding penalty during qualifying for the main race
[CHN] An Audi scores points in the main race (top 10)
[CHN] A Red Bull Racing driver finishes in top 5 (main race)
[CHN] Winner wins by 11.00 seconds or more?
[JAP] Both Aston Martins DNF
[JAP] Yellow flag first lap
[JAP] Red flag in qualifying
[JAP] Impeding penalty during qualifying
[JAP] Team other than Mercedes gets pole position in qualifying
[JAP] Bearman reaches Q3
[JAP] 5 or more DNF (including DNS)
[JAP] Linblad scores points (top 10)
[JAP] Bortoleto scores points (top 10)
[JAP] Hadjar finishes ahead of Verstappen (face)
[JAP] A McLaren retires/DNS due to reliability issues
[JAP] Verstappen on the podium
[MIA] Impeding penalty during sprint qualifying
[MIA] Red flag during sprint qualifying
[MIA] Colapinto scores points in the sprint race
[MIA] Hadjar scores points in the sprint race
[MIA] Physical Safety Car in the sprint race
[MIA] McLaren pole position in qualifying for the main race
[MIA] Red flag during qualifying for the main race
[MIA] A Mercedes qualifies outside the top 5 (main race qualifying)
[MIA] Hadjar doesn't reach Q3 (main race qualifying)
[MIA] Verstappen on the Podium in the main race
[MIA] 5 or more DNF/DNS
[MIA] Both Ferrari finish in top 6 in the main race
[CAN] Physical Safety Car during the main race
[CAN] An Audi reaches SQ3 (Sprint Qualifying)
[CAN] Impeding penalty during sprint qualifying
[CAN] Mercedes 1-2 in the sprint race
[CAN] A Ferrari on the podium in the sprint race
[CAN] Physical Safety Car during the sprint race
[CAN] Yellow flag in the first lap of the sprint race
[CAN] Sainz scores points in the sprint race (top 8)
[CAN] Impeding penalty during qualifying for the main race
[CAN] Red flag during qualifying for the main race
[CAN] An Audi reaches Q3 (Main Race Qualifying)
[CAN] A Williams reaches Q3 (Main Race Qualifying)
[CAN] Yellow flag first lap of the main race
[CAN] Mercedes 1-2 in the main race
[CAN] Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton in the main race
[CAN] Linblad scores points in the main race
[CAN] An Audi finishes in top 10 in the main race
[CAN] Oscar Piastri Finishes on Podium in the Main Race
[CAN] English broadcoast shows Colapinto's onboard camera view in the main race
[CAN] 7 or more DNS/DNF in the main race
[CAN] Piastri scores points in the main race
[MON] 5 or more on-track overtakes
[MON] Impeding penalty during qualifying
[MON] Wet or intermediate tyres used during the race
[MON] Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton (race)
[BAR] Physical Safety Car during the race
[BAR] Yellow flag in the first lap of the race
[BAR] Mercedes driver wins
[BAR] Both McLaren qualify in top 4
[BAR] Antonelli pole position in qualifying
[BAR] Hulkenberg scores points (top 10)
[BAR] Antonelli and Russel collide during the race
[BAR] Both Mercedes drivers on podium
[AUT] Wet or intermediate tyres used during qual or race
[AUT] Red flag during qualifying
[AUT] Physical safety car during the race
[AUT] Impeding penalty during qualifying
[AUT] Mercedes 1-2 in qualifying
[AUT] Pole position margin is less than 50 milliseconds
[AUT] An Audi reaches Q3
[AUT] Both Ferraris on the podium (race)
[AUT] Antonelli finishes ahead of Russel (race)
[AUT] Gasly finishes on top 10 (race)
[AUT] At least 2 drivers that finish in the top 5 did 3 or more pit stops during the race
[AUT] An Audi finishes in top 10 (race)
[AUT] 5 or more DNF/DNS
[AUT] Russel and Antonelli collide during the race
[AUT] Yellow flag first lap
[GBR] All three tire compounds used on starting grid (main race)
[GBR] All 22 cars classified in the race
[GBR] Wet or Intermediate tyres used in any of quals or races (sprint and main)
[GBR] The same driver wins both races
[GBR] Red flag during the main race
[GBR] Same pole sitter in both the sprint qualifying and the main qualifying
[GBR] Pole position margin for the main qualifying is less than 50 milliseconds
[GBR] Hamilton wins the sprint race
[GBR] Both Ferraris on the podium of the sprint race
[GBR] Hadjar finishes in top 8 in the sprint race
[GBR] Physical or Virtual Safety Car in the sprint race
[GBR] Russel qualfies 5th or lower in the main qualifying
[GBR] An Audi reaches Q3 (main qualifying)
[GBR] 4 or more DNF/DNS (main race)
[GBR] Antonelli and Russel collide during the main race
[SPA] Mercedes 1-2 in qualifying
[SPA] Wet or intermediate tyres used during qualifying or race
[SPA] 5 or more DNF/DNS
[SPA] Mercedes 1-2 in the race
[SPA] Norris finishes the race in top 6
[SPA] Antonelli and Russel collide during the race
[HUN] Physical Safety Car during the race
[HUN] Yellow flag first lap
[HUN] Red Flag during qualifying
[HUN] 4 or more DNF/DNS
[HUN] Ferrari pole position
[HUN] Both Racing Bulls reach Q3
[HUN] Video drone hits the sign over the track around turns 8-10
[HUN] A Ferrari on the podium
[HUN] Antonelli and Russel collide during the race
[HUN] McLaren 1-2 in the race
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
10
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Antonelli?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Leclerc?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside'?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Hamilton OUT FINISH Vallteri Bottas?
2026/05/24 (Canada) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/05/24 (Canada) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Norris?
2026/05/24 (Canada) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Ocon
2026/06/07 (Monaco) - Will Antonelli OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/06/07 (Monaco) - Will Antonelli OUT FINISH Russell?
2026/06/07 (Monaco) - Will Antonelli OUT FINISH Leclerc?
2026/06/07 (Monaco) - Will Ocon OUT FINISH Perez?
2026/06/14 (Barcelona) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/06/14 (Barcelona) - Will Albon OUT FINISH Alonso?
2026/06/14 (Barcelona) - Will Antonelli OUT FINISH Bearman?
2026/06/14 (Barcelona) - Will Bortoletto OUT FINISH Bottas?
2026/06/14 (Barcelona) - Will Hamilton OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/06/14 (Barcelona) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Ocon?
2026/06/14 (Barcelona) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Sainz?
2026/06/14 (Barcelona) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Leclerc?
2026/06/14 (Barcelona) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/06/14 (Barcelona) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/06/14 (Barcelona) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Leclerc?
2026/06/28 (Red Bull Ring) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/06/28 (Red Bull Ring) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/06/28 (Red Bull Ring) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Leclerc?
2026/07/19 (Belgium) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/07/26 (Hungary) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/07/19 (Belgium) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Norris?
2026/07/19 (Belgium) - Will Antonelli OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/07/26 (Hungary) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/07/26 (Hungary) - Will Antonelli OUT FINISH Leclerc?
2026/07/26 (Hungary) - Will Leclerc OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/07/26 (Hungary) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/08/23 (Netherlands) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/08/23 (Netherlands) - Will Antonelli OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/12/06 (Abu Dhabi) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/08/23 (Netherlands) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Verstappen?
2026/09/06 (Italy) - Will Antonelli OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/09/13 (Spain) - Will Antonelli OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/09/26 (Azerbaijan) - Will Antonelli OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/10/11 (Singapore) - Will Antonelli OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/10/25 (USA) - Will Antonelli OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/11/01 (Mexico) - Will Antonelli OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/11/08 (Brazil) - Will Antonelli OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/11/21 (Las Vegas) - Will Antonelli OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/11/29 (Qatar) - Will Antonelli OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/12/06 (Abu Dhabi) - Will Antonelli OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/09/06 (Italy) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Verstappen?
2026/10/11 (Singapore) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Verstappen?
2026/09/06 (Italy) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/09/13 (Spain) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/09/26 (Azerbaijan) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/10/11 (Singapore) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/10/25 (USA) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/11/01 (Mexico) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/11/08 (Brazil) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/11/21 (Las Vegas) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/11/29 (Qatar) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/12/06 (Abu Dhabi) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/08/23 (Netherlands) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Norris?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Hamilton OUT FINISH Leclerc?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Piastri OUT FINISH Leclerc?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Leclerc?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Piastri OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will 'Row 2 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 2 Outside'?
2026/05/24 (Canada) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/05/24 (Canada) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Antonelli?
2026/05/24 (Canada) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Antonelli?
2026/05/24 (Canada) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Antonelli?
2026/05/24 (Canada) - Will Piastri OUT FINISH Antonelli?
2026/06/07 (Monaco) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/06/07 (Monaco) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Russell?
2026/06/07 (Monaco) - Will Stroll OUT FINISH Alonso?
2026/06/07 (Monaco) - Will Bottas OUT FINISH Bearman?
2026/06/14 (Barcelona) - Will Colapinto OUT FINISH Gasly?
2026/06/14 (Barcelona) - Will Hadjar OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/06/14 (Barcelona) - Will Hulkenberg OUT FINISH Lawson?
2026/06/14 (Barcelona) - Will Leclerc OUT FINISH Linbald?
2026/06/14 (Barcelona) - Will Perez OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/06/14 (Barcelona) - Will Stroll OUT FINISH Verstappen?
2026/06/14 (Barcelona) - Will Antonelli OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/07/05 (Great Britain) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/07/19 (Belgium) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Leclerc?
2026/07/26 (Hungary) - Will Hamilton OUT FINISH Antonelli?
2026/07/26 (Hungary) - Will Hamilton OUT FINISH Leclerc?
2026/07/26 (Hungary) - Will Leclerc OUT FINISH Norris
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
75
71
63
53
52
52
52
52
52
52
52
52
52
52
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
49
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Have a front facing bumper camera.
Have a steering wheel.
Have a screen in the back row.
Run on a AI4/HW4 computer.
Run on a AI5 computer.
Be a Two Seater.
77
77
69
64
41
26
OptionVotes
YES
NO
3199
836
OptionProbability
Margin of victory is less than 2 3/4 lengths
Jimmy Carter is alive at the conclusion of race
Official track condition will be Fast
Winning Horse's Number is Prime (1 is not prime)
The Kentucky Derby is not be raced two years in a row at any point before 2050
Winning jockey celebrates with fist pump
Winning jockey thanks owner first in post-race interview
3 words in the winning horse's name
Winner beats last year's winning time (2:01.57)
Winning horse's name is 10 or 11 letters long (not counting spaces)
A penis is hanging out on the track (jockey or spectator, not horse)
One or more horse participants die within a week of the race (before or after, during too)
Winning jockey is female
100
100
100
100
19
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Boxing
Greco-Roman Wrestling
Beach Volleyball
Golf
Surfing
Weightlifting
Sport Climbing
Modern Pentathlon
Cricket
3x3 Basketball
Taekwondo
U23 Football (Soccer)
Heptathlon
Skateboarding
Lacrosse
Squash
Baseball
Flag Football
Rhythmic Gymnastics
Bouldering (alone, not part of a combined event)
Netball
Softball
Rugby League
Touch (aka Touch Football or Touch Rugby League)
Lead (alone, not part of a combined event)
BMX Freestyle
Dressage
More than 12 Freestyle Wrestling categories
50 kilometres race walk
Skateboard Vert
Lifesaving
Compound Bow Archery
Kickboxing
Keelboat Sailing
Karate
Men's Rhythmic Gymnastics
Motorsports
Women's Greco-Roman wrestling
Beach Sprint Rowing
Racquetball
Australian Rules Football
Pickleball
Lightweight Rowing
Ultimate
Breaking
88
88
88
88
86
86
80
80
80
80
80
80
80
74
74
74
69
64
61
59
57
51
50
50
50
50
50
48
45
45
43
41
41
41
39
39
31
31
28
26
23
21
20
18
12
OptionProbability
Brazil
France
Argentina
Spain
Other
Germany
Italy
USA
United Kingdom
19
15
15
14
13
10
6
3
3
OptionVotes
YES
NO
1170
855
OptionProbability
02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will Joey Logano OUT FINISH Ryan Blaney?
02/04 (Bowman Gray Clash) - Will Tyler Reddick OUT FINISH Chase Elliott?
02/04 (Bowman Gray Clash) - Will Chris Buescher OUT FINISH Ty Gibbs?
02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will William Byron OUT FINISH Ryan Blaney?
02/22 (Atlanta) - Will Chase Elliott OUT FINISH Kyle Larson?
02/22 (Atlanta) - Will Tyler Reddick OUT FINISH Joey Logano?
03/08 (Phoenix) - Will Kyle Larson OUT FINISH Chase Elliott?
03/01 (Austin) - Will Shane van Gisbergen OUT FINISH A. J. Allmendinger?
02/04 (Bowman Gray Clash) - Will Ryan Preece OUT FINISH Christopher Bell?
02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will Ross Chastain OUT FINISH Austin Cindric?
02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will Austin Dillon OUT FINISH Austin Cindric?
02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will Noah Gragson OUT FINISH Austin Dillon?
02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' (Kyle Busch) OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside' (Chase Briscoe)?
02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will 'Row 2 Inside' (Joey Logano) OUT FINISH 'Row 2 Outside' (Chase Elliott)?
02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will 'Row 4 Inside' (Austin Dillon) OUT FINISH 'Row 4 Outside' (Kyle Larson)?
02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will 'Row 5 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 5 Outside' ?
02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will 'Row 6 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 6 Outside' ?
02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will 'Row 9 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 9 Outside' ?
02/12 (Daytona Duel 1) - Will 'Row 4 Inside' (Austin Dillon) OUT FINISH 'Row 4 Outside' (Corey LaJoie)?
02/12 (Daytona Duel 1) - Will 'Row 5 Inside' (John Hunter Nemechek) OUT FINISH 'Row 5 Outside' (Brad Keselowski)?
02/12 (Daytona Duel 1) - Will 'Row 6 Inside' (Ryan Blaney) OUT FINISH 'Row 6 Outside' (William Byron)?
02/12 (Daytona Duel 1) - Will 'Row 7 Inside' (Cole Custer) OUT FINISH 'Row 7 Outside' (Cody Ware)?
02/12 (Daytona Duel 1) - Will 'Row 9 Inside' (AJ Allmendinger) OUT FINISH 'Row 9 Outside' (Ross Chastain)?
02/12 (Daytona Duel 1) - Will 'Row 10 Inside' (Shane van Gisbergen) OUT FINISH 'Row 10 Outside' (Daniel Suarez)?
02/22 (Autotrader 400) - Will Austin Dillon OUT FINISH Kyle Larson?
03/22 (Darlington) - Will Austin Dillon OUT FINISH Kyle Larson?
02/22 (Atlanta) - Will Tyler ReddickOUT FINISH Kyle Larson?
02/22 (Atlanta) - Will Tyler ReddickOUT FINISH Joey Logano?
02/22 (Atlanta) - Will Tyler ReddickOUT FINISH Ricky Stenhouse?
02/22 (Atlanta) - Will Chase ElliottOUT FINISH Ricky Stenhouse?
02/22 (Atlanta) - Will Chase Elliott OUT FINISH Brad Keselowski??
03/15 (Las Vegas) - Will 'Row 2 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 2 Outside'?
03/15 (Las Vegas) - Will 'Row 3 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 3 Outside'?
03/29 (Cook Out 400) - Will Denny Hamlin OUT FINISH Kyle Larson?
03/29 (Cook Out 400) - Will DWilliam Byron OUT FINISH Kyle Larson?
05/31 (Nashville) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside'?
06/14 (Pocono) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside'?
06/28 (Sonoma) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside'?
07/05 (Chicagoland) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside'?
07/05 (Chicagoland) - Will Denny Hamlin OUT FINISH Kyle Larson?
07/05 (Chicagoland) - Will Chris Buescher OUT FINISH Brad Keselowski?
11/08 (Miami) - Will Austin Dillon OUT FINISH Kyle Larson?
02/04 (Bowman Gray Clash) - Will Chase Elliott OUT FINISH Chris Buescher?
02/04 (Bowman Gray Clash) - Will Tyler Reddick OUT FINISH Ty Gibbs?
02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will Kyle Larson OUT FINISH William Byron?
02/04 (Bowman Gray Clash) - Will Chase Elliott OUT FINISH Austin Dillon?
03/15 (Las Vegas) - Will Kyle Larson OUT FINISH Chase Elliott?
03/15 (Las Vegas) - Will Joey Logano OUT FINISH Tyler Reddick?
02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will Kyle Larson OUT FINISH Joey Logano?
03/08 (Phoenix) - Will Joey Logano OUT FINISH William Byron?
02/04 (Bowman Gray Clash) - Will Bubba Wallace OUT FINISH Ross Chastain?
02/04 (Bowman Gray Clash) - Will Austin Cindric OUT FINISH Ross Chastain?
02/04 (Bowman Gray Clash) - Will Kyle Larson OUT FINISH William Byron?
02/04 (Bowman Gray Clash) - Will Ty Gibbs OUT FINISH Chase Briscoe?
02/04 (Bowman Gray Clash) - Will Christopher Bell OUT FINISH Denny Hamlin?
02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will 'Row 3 Inside' (Ryan Blaney) OUT FINISH 'Row 3 Outside' (Carson Hocevar)?
02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will 'Row 7 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 7 Outside' ?
02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will 'Row 8 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 8 Outside' ?
02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will 'Row 10 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 10 Outside' ?
02/12 (Daytona Duel 1) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' (Kyle Busch) OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside' (Ryan Preece)?
02/12 (Daytona Duel 1) - Will 'Row 2 Inside' (Corey Heim) OUT FINISH 'Row 2 Outside' (Alex Bowman)?
02/12 (Daytona Duel 1) - Will 'Row 3 Inside' (Chris Buescher) OUT FINISH 'Row 3 Outside' (Joey Logano)?
02/12 (Daytona Duel 1) - Will 'Row 8 Inside' (Jimmie Johnson) OUT FINISH 'Row 8 Outside' (Bubba Watson)?
02/12 (Daytona Duel 2) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' (Chase Briscoe) OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside' (Denny Hamlin)?
02/12 (Daytona Duel 2) - Will 'Row 2 Inside' (Kyle Larson) OUT FINISH 'Row 2 Outside' (Chase Elliott)?
02/12 (Daytona Duel 1) - Will 'Row 11 Inside' (Chandler Smith) OUT FINISH 'Row 11 Outside' (Casey Mears)?
02/12 (Daytona Duel 2) - Will 'Row 3 Inside' (Ty Gibbs) OUT FINISH 'Row 3 Outside' (Christopher Bell)?
02/12 (Daytona Duel 2) - Will 'Row 4 Inside' (Justin Allgaier) OUT FINISH 'Row 4 Outside' (Austin Cindric)?
02/12 (Daytona Duel 2) - Will 'Row 5 Inside' (Zane Smith) OUT FINISH 'Row 5 Outside' (Michael McDowell)?
02/12 (Daytona Duel 2) - Will 'Row 6 Inside' (Connor Zilisch) OUT FINISH 'Row 6 Outside' (Erik Jones)?
02/12 (Daytona Duel 2) - Will 'Row 7 Inside' (Josh Berry) OUT FINISH 'Row 7 Outside' (Carson Hocevar)?
11/08 (Miami) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside'?
03/01 (COTA) - Will Austin Dillon OUT FINISH Kyle Larson?
03/08 (Phoenix) - Will Austin Dillon OUT FINISH Kyle Larson?
03/15 (Las Vegas) - Will Austin Dillon OUT FINISH Kyle Larson?
03/29 (Cook Out 400) - Will Austin Dillon OUT FINISH Kyle Larson?
03/15 (Las Vegas) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside'?
03/15 (Las Vegas) - Will 'Row 4 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 4 Outside'?
03/15 (Las Vegas) - Will Blaney OUT FINISH Reddick?
06/21 (Coronado) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside'?
06/21 (Coronado) - Will Shane van Gisbergen OUT FINISH Carson Hocevar?
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
50
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
02/14 (Daytona - United Rentals 300) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside'?
02/14 (Daytona - United Rentals 300) - Will 'Row 3 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 3 Outside'?
02/14 (Daytona - United Rentals 300) - Will 'Row 4 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 4 Outside'?
02/14 (Daytona - United Rentals 300) - Will 'Row 7 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 7 Outside'?
03/14 (Las Vegas - The LiUNA!) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 2 Outside'?
03/14 (Las Vegas - The LiUNA!) - Will Austill Hill OUT FINISH Carson Kvapil?
03/14 (Las Vegas - The LiUNA!) - Will Sheldon Creed OUT FINISH Sammy Smith?
06/13 (Pocono) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside'?
06/20 (Coronado) - Will Sheldon Creed OUT FINISH Austin Jones?
06/27 (Sonoma) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside'?
07/03 (Chicagoland) - Will Carson Kvapil OUT FINISH Corey Day?
11/07 (Miami) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside'?
06/20 (Coronado) - Will Brandon Jones OUT FINISH William Byron?
02/14 (Daytona - United Rentals 300) - Will 'Row 2 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 2 Outside'?
02/14 (Daytona - United Rentals 300) - Will 'Row 5 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 5 Outside'?
02/14 (Daytona - United Rentals 300) - Will 'Row 6 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 6 Outside'?
03/14 (Las Vegas - The LiUNA!) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside'?
03/14 (Las Vegas - The LiUNA!) - Will Jesse Love OUT FINISH Justin Allgaier?
05/30 (Nashville) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside'?
06/20 (Coronado) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside'?
07/03 (Chicagoland) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside'?
07/03 (Chicagoland) - Will Connor Zilisch OUT FINISH Brent Crews?
07/03 (Chicagoland) - Will Parker Retrzlaff OUT FINISH Jesse Love?
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
50
50
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
02/13 (Daytona - Fresh From Florida 250) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' (Ty Majeski) OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside' (Michael McDowell)?
02/13 (Daytona - Fresh From Florida 250) - Will 'Row 2 Inside' (Tanner Gray) OUT FINISH 'Row 2 Outside' (Carson Hocevar)?
02/13 (Daytona - Fresh From Florida 250) - Will 'Row 4 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 4 Outside'?
02/13 (Daytona - Fresh From Florida 250) - Will 'Row 5 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 5 Outside'?
02/13 (Daytona - Fresh From Florida 250) - Will 'Row 4 Inside' (Kaden Honeycutt) OUT FINISH 'Row 4 Outside' (Jake Garcia)?
03/20 (Darlington) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside'?
03/20 (Darlington) - Will 'Row 3 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 3 Outside'?
05/29 (Nashville) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside'?
06/19 (Coronado) - Will Adam Andretti OUT FINISH Connor Mosack?
06/19 (Coronado) - Will Grant Enfinger OUT FINISH Corey Lajoie?
06/19 (Coronado) - Will Chandler Smith OUT FINISH Jimmy Johnson?
07/11 (Lime Rock) - Will 'Row 2 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 2 Outside'?
11/06 (Miami) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside'?
02/13 (Daytona - Fresh From Florida 250) - Will 'Row 3 Inside' (Grant Enfinger) OUT FINISH 'Row 3 Outside' (Tyler Ankrum)?
02/13 (Daytona - Fresh From Florida 250) - Will 'Row 8 Inside' (Tony Stewart) OUT FINISH 'Row 8 Outside' (Justin Haley)?
03/20 (Darlington) - Will 'Row 2 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 2 Outside'?
03/20 (Darlington) - Will 'Row 4 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 4 Outside'?
06/19 (Coronado) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' (Kaden Honeycutt) OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside' (Layne Riggs)?
06/19 (Coronado) - Will Jimmie Johnson OUT FINISH Jackson Lee?
06/19 (Coronado) - Will Kaden Honeycutt OUT FINISH Brendan Queen?
06/19 (Coronado) - Will Grant Enfinger OUT FINISH Gio Ruggerio?
07/11 (Lime Rock) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside'?
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
59
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
