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Prediction markets for The Street

Who will be the next British Prime Minister following a General Election?

Sep 29, 9:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9078712

OptionProbability

Nigel Farage

Keir Starmer

Other

Matt Clifford

Robert Jenrick

Kemi Badenoch

Angela Rayner

Andy Burnham

Zack Polanski

Ed Miliband

Wes Streeting

James Cleverly

Ed Davey

Boris Johnson

Louise Haigh

Lawrence Newport

Rachel Reeves

Danny Kruger

Jeremy Clarkson

Jeremy Corbyn

Richard Tice

Rupert Lowe

Idris Elba

35

17

14

5

4

3

3

3

3

3

3

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

Will there still be a bi-directional center bike lane on Valencia Street in San Francisco at the end of 2025?

May 21, 3:33 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

1.44%chance

88041

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8287

121

What will be the outcome of Trump's lawsuit against the Wall Street Journal?

Jul 19, 7:42 AMDec 31, 8:41 AM

434572

OptionProbability

Settlement outside of court

Court ruling in favor of WSJ

Court ruling in favor of Trump

72

26

2

Humanoid robots walking down the street by EOY2035?

Jun 18, 3:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

73.17%chance

6860

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1901

864

The first humanoid robot I see wandering the streets will be made by which company?

Aug 20, 9:33 AMAug 20, 9:30 AM

9624

OptionProbability

Other

Tesla

Figure

Google

OpenAI

70

11

7

6

6

Will the Wall Street Journal create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Jan 9, 10:32 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14.42%chance

15577

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1455

887

Will the yearly average NO2 concentration in the streets of Berlin be below 30 µg/m³ at the beginning of 2030?

Aug 27, 7:24 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

45.52%chance

7183

OptionVotes

NO

YES

139

111

Will Jane Street like the Manifold app?

Aug 16, 4:44 AMJan 1, 5:44 AM

67.01%chance

12143

OptionVotes

NO

YES

143

70

Will the winner of Street Fighter 6 at EVO 2026 be from the USA?

Aug 3, 8:58 PMAug 31, 10:59 PM

30.07%chance

680

OptionVotes

YES

NO

152

66

Will the winner of Street Fighter 6 at EVO 2026 be from the USA?

Aug 8, 1:08 AMAug 10, 1:08 AM

45.66%chance

233

OptionVotes

YES

NO

109

92

Will the winner of Street Fighter 6 at EVO 2026 be from Japan?

Aug 8, 1:08 AMAug 11, 11:59 PM

50%chance

122

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will the winner of Street Fighter 6 at EVO 2026 be from Japan?

Aug 3, 8:58 PMAug 31, 10:59 PM

50%chance

122

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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