The Times News

NYT Tones Down Warning on RFK Jr.-Backed Push-Up Challenge

1 year ago

Mark Hamill Says Wife Kept Him From Leaving US After Trump Re-election

Celebrities

Politics

Culture

Mark Hamill Says Wife Kept Him From Leaving US After Trump Re-election

1 year ago

UK Rail Police Warn Violence Against Women Up 59% Since 2021

Britain

Crime

Culture

UK Rail Police Warn Violence Against Women Up 59% Since 2021

1 year ago

Britain

Automobile

Business

Tesla Halves UK Lease Prices After 60% July Sales Slide

1 year ago

Soccer

Sports

Newcastle Drop Isak Amid Standoff Over £110 Million Liverpool Offer

1 year ago

Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?

Dec 8, 4:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

272165407

OptionProbability

Other

Zohran Mamdani

Pope Leo XIV (Robert Prevost)

Donald Trump and/or JD Vance

Elon Musk

Artificial Intelligence Itself (Including ChatGPT or any other variation)

Dario Amodei

Xi Jinping

Artemis II crew

Sam Altman

Jerome Powell

Mark Carney

Epstein

Benjamin Netanyahu

Jensen Huang

Ozempic (Including "Semiglutide", "GLPs", "Eli Lily", etc )

Self Driving Cars (Uber, Waymo, etc.)

[Next FOMC Chair]

Robots (not self driving cars)

The People of Minnesota (and other variations)

Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?

Nov 30, 7:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

211146597

OptionProbability

Zohran Mamdani

Other

Donald Trump and/or JD Vance

Pope Leo XIV (Robert Prevost)

Artificial Intelligence Itself (Including 'ChatGPT', 'Gemini', etc)

Elon Musk

Dario Amodei

Xi Jinping

Marco Rubio

Sam Altman

Vladimir Putin

Benjamin Netanyahu

Gavin Newsom

Jon Ossoff

AOC

Jerome Powell

Sydney Sweeney

Demis Hassabis

Larry Ellison

Jensen Huang

Gen Z

Jeffrey Epstein

Ozempic (Including "Semiglutide", "GLPs", "Eli Lily", etc )

Nicholas Maduro

Mark Zuckerberg

Self Driving Cars (Including 'Waymo', 'Uber', etc)

Lisa Su

Fei-Fei Li

Humanoid Robots (Including 'Optimus', 'Atlas', etc)

Millenials

Gen X

Baby Boomers

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Scott Bessent

Sundar Pichai

Narendra Modi

Ursula von der Leyen

Jasmine Crockett

Graham Platner

Kevin Hassett

Gen Alpha

Claudia Sheinbaum

Cryptocurrency (Including 'Bitcoin', 'Etherium', etc)

Ahmed al-Sharaa

James Talarico

Prediction Markets [Or associated person, company, etc]

Bad Bunny

Kevin Warsh

Pete Hegseth

In 10 years, what % of the EA/adjacent community think, on balance that Wytham Abbey was a good use of money, compared to the other options at the time? (Buy yes to increase)

Dec 10, 1:17 PMDec 10, 11:59 PM

63.63%chance

7921645

OptionVotes

YES

2729

2049

Who will be on the 2026 Time Person Of The Year Shortlist?

Mar 13, 10:32 PMDec 1, 11:59 PM

5916955

OptionProbability

Zohran Mamdani

Pope Leo XIV

Donald Trump

Elon Musk

Dario Amodei

Bad Bunny

Sam Altman

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Marco Rubio

JD Vance

Alysa Liu

Victor Glover

Benjamin Netanyahu

Mark Carney

Reid Wiseman

Jeremy Hansen

Péter Magyar

Christina Koch

Jerome Powell

Mojtaba Khamenei

James Talarico

Taylor Swift

Delcy Rodriguez

Xi Jinping

Kevin Warsh

Gavin Newsom

Vladimir Putin

Megyn Kelly

Thomas Massie

Tucker Carlson

Pedro Sanchez

Kylian Mbappe

Anthony Albanese

Sultan Haitham bin Tarik Al Said

Candace Owens

Ro Khanna

Jacinda Ardern

Reza Pahlavi

Graham Platner

Will the US refuse entry to nonimmigrant travellers at at least three times the rate in 2025 than it did in 2024?

Apr 14, 6:21 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.48%chance

2914084

OptionVotes

YES

21724

4603

Will the Two-term presidential time limit be repealed before the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Nov 21, 4:34 PMNov 28, 10:59 PM

7.13%chance

810234

OptionVotes

YES

20206

7879

Will Trump tout (positively promote) the possibility of default on US federal debt at any time during his second term?

Feb 2, 9:27 AMFeb 1, 1:59 PM

51.05%chance

4410157

OptionVotes

YES

10938

8979

"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" breaks the record for the biggest domestic lifetime gross of all time?

Aug 3, 1:54 PMOct 4, 10:59 PM

80.51%chance

386830

OptionVotes

YES

1271

923

SOAI#5: A real-time generative video game becomes the year’s most-watched title on Twitch.

Oct 9, 11:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.81%chance

335935

OptionVotes

YES

4447

225

Will Moltbook be TIME person of the year 2026?

Jan 31, 5:00 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1.22%chance

192163

OptionVotes

YES

900

Will the Portuguese ex-prime-minister José Sócrates serve time in prison due to Operação Marquês?

Jul 4, 4:48 PMDec 31, 12:57 PM

18.48%chance

41926

OptionVotes

YES

7792

5300

How long will it be until Candace Owen’s releases the Egyptian plane timeline? (From time of post)

Jan 28, 1:19 AMJan 1, 1:19 AM

OptionProbability

0-9 Days

10-49 Days

50-99 Days

100+ Days

The Times News

Top stories

Prediction markets for The Times

Prediction markets for The Times

Prediction markets for The Times

Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?

Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?

In 10 years, what % of the EA/adjacent community think, on balance that Wytham Abbey was a good use of money, compared to the other options at the time? (Buy yes to increase)

Who will be on the 2026 Time Person Of The Year Shortlist?

Will the US refuse entry to nonimmigrant travellers at at least three times the rate in 2025 than it did in 2024?

Will the Two-term presidential time limit be repealed before the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Will Trump tout (positively promote) the possibility of default on US federal debt at any time during his second term?

"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" breaks the record for the biggest domestic lifetime gross of all time?

SOAI#5: A real-time generative video game becomes the year’s most-watched title on Twitch.

Will Moltbook be TIME person of the year 2026?

Will the Portuguese ex-prime-minister José Sócrates serve time in prison due to Operação Marquês?

How long will it be until Candace Owen’s releases the Egyptian plane timeline? (From time of post)

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