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Prediction markets for the UK

[ACX 2026] Will Keir Starmer cease to be Prime Minister of the UK during 2026?

Jan 6, 10:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

99.65%chance

235209218

OptionVotes

NO

YES

34108

48

Will Reform win the next UK election?

Aug 13, 11:58 PMAug 15, 10:59 PM

29.74%chance

14296230

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1685

724

Will the UK HS2 rail line between London and Birmingham be operational before 2031?

Feb 16, 9:15 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM

5.22%chance

2411283

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11978

1115

Will X.com be accessible in the UK on 30th June?

Jan 11, 8:02 AMJun 29, 11:59 PM

97.22%chance

259984

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5676

89

Will the UK legalise marijuana by 2030?

Jan 26, 12:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.07%chance

318358

OptionVotes

YES

NO

16492

8305

Will Reform UK and the Conservative Party merge before the next General Election, OR 15 August 2029?

Jan 3, 1:57 PMAug 15, 10:59 PM

14.69%chance

216787

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2410

415

[ACX 2026] Will the US, UK or EU approve a gene editing therapy for a new condition during 2026?

Jan 6, 10:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.77%chance

256014

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5922

4777

How many MPs will Reform UK have when the next UK General Election is called?

Mar 24, 7:54 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

163107

OptionProbability

Above 15

8 - 10

5 - 7

11 - 15

0

1

2

3 - 4

46

21

13

12

2

2

2

2

Will UK rejoin the European Union before 2050?

Feb 2, 12:59 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

52.06%chance

432620

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1045

928

Will Scotland leave the UK by 2040?

May 28, 7:56 AMJan 2, 2:59 AM

26.12%chance

19749

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1232

893

Will Northern Ireland leave the UK by 2040?

May 28, 7:58 AMJan 2, 2:59 AM

30%chance

13550

OptionVotes

NO

YES

987

944

Will Wales decide to leave the UK by 2040?

Apr 2, 9:48 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

26%chance

15299

OptionVotes

YES

NO

390

222

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