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Prediction markets for the US

Who will be the next person to win an election to US House District 11, other than Nancy Pelosi?

Jun 4, 5:21 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

1741498565

OptionProbability

Scott Wiener

Connie Chan

Bruce Lou

Christine Pelosi

Jane Kim

Nancy Pelosi will live forever and always win

Saikat Chakrabarti

London Breed

Other

64

36

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?

Feb 20, 10:31 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

33.69%chance

643689036

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5220

4803

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Jul 18, 4:24 PMNov 8, 5:59 AM

20.89%chance

386625754

OptionVotes

YES

NO

168783

72376

Which political party wins the US presidency in 2028?

Nov 8, 6:22 AMNov 10, 7:59 AM

226165628

OptionProbability

Democratic Party

Republican Party

Other Party

64

34

2

Will JD Vance be nominated for President for the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Jul 18, 5:32 PMJul 2, 4:59 AM

48.03%chance

17384136

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10074

9884

Will the US enact AI regulation for all Mythos+ models in 2026?

Jun 16, 6:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.63%chance

2733820

OptionVotes

YES

NO

24158

4139

Will at least 80 percent of solar modules deployed in the US in 2026 be manufactured in the US?

Aug 11, 3:53 AMOct 1, 3:59 AM

12.19%chance

7428188

OptionVotes

YES

NO

26751

4111

Will the US attack Cuba before China attacks Taiwan?

Jan 31, 4:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

72.05%chance

5015103

OptionVotes

NO

YES

16057

6228

5% more men than women in the US by 2055?

Jul 13, 5:48 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.84%chance

1110267

OptionVotes

YES

NO

20101

4975

Will Trump tout (positively promote) the possibility of default on US federal debt at any time during his second term?

Feb 2, 9:27 AMFeb 1, 1:59 PM

51.05%chance

4410157

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10938

8979

Will the 2028 US Presidential election happen normally?

Nov 5, 11:09 AMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

66.83%chance

157320

OptionVotes

NO

YES

14038

7202

Will Charles Schwab customers have access to a prediction market on the 2028 US presidential election?

Jan 31, 9:42 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

55.55%chance

234541

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10073

9882

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