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Top stories

Kelsey Parker, Widow of Tom Parker, Announces Stillbirth of Baby Boy Phoenix With Partner Will Lindsay

Kelsey Parker, Widow of Tom Parker, Announces Stillbirth of Baby Boy Phoenix With Partner Will Lindsay

Authors

12

1 month ago

Prediction markets for The Wanted

The "I want to date Aella" stock

May 3, 8:26 AMMay 3, 9:59 PM

5674

OptionProbability

NO

YES

332

11

In what year will All I Want For Christmas Is You by Mariah Carey lose the streak of reaching #1 song in December?

Mar 25, 4:27 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9399

OptionProbability

Other

2031

2027

2030

2028

2026

2029

2025

29

15

13

10

9

9

9

8

Will All I Want For Christmas is You by Mariah Carey reach #1 song on the Hot 100 in December of 2037?

Mar 25, 4:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

69.05%chance

5189

OptionVotes

NO

YES

250

87

What books will I think are the best to recommend to people who want to improve themselves and/or their communities?

Apr 6, 9:53 PMJan 13, 8:00 AM

7171

OptionProbability

Nonviolent Communication, Marshall Rosenberg

Other

The pragmatist guide to live, Malcolm and Simone Collins

How to Actually Change Your Mind, Eliezer Yudkowsky

85

9

5

1

Will "LLM Applications I Want To See" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Sep 21, 12:53 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

12.16%chance

2151

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1150

978

Will All I Want For Christmas is You by Mariah Carey reach #1 song on the Hot 100 in December of 2029?

Mar 25, 4:24 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

58.58%chance

6104

OptionVotes

NO

YES

257

189

Will YouTube autoblur the faces of people in videos where they dont want their faces on the internet by EOY 2025?

Nov 22, 9:46 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

22.41%chance

675

OptionVotes

YES

NO

185

74

Will All I Want For Christmas is You by Mariah Carey reach #1 song on the Hot 100 in December of 2033?

Mar 25, 4:23 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

72.44%chance

270

OptionVotes

NO

YES

210

98

Did anyone from the OpenAI alignment team call for the board resignation without wanting it?

Nov 20, 3:54 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

61.77%chance

215

OptionVotes

NO

YES

105

78

Will "So You Want To Make Marginal Progress..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Feb 8, 11:42 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14.98%chance

213

OptionVotes

NO

YES

101

93

Does Qiaochu Yuan believe the world wants him to be happy?

Nov 10, 8:52 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50.99%chance

11

OptionVotes

NO

YES

71

69

Will "Research directions Open Phil wants to fund i..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Feb 11, 12:18 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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