OptionProbability
They go bankrupt
Not with a bang but a whimper
Shut down by the U.S. federal government
Other
Founders are disappointed in slow/no/negative growth and shut Manifold down.
Ship-of-Theseus'd into a new website
Manifold is eternal
Bought by a large corporation but later shut down for not being profitable
Founders shut down Manifold due to community drama
Once big enough to be noticed, regulators either shut them down or hobble them into irrelevance
Bought by a large corporation & monetized to death
People lose interest in it and stop using the site
A lover's quarrel
Erotic auto-asphyxiation
destroyed by great hwan empire
As a consequence of a global catastrophe (nuclear war, hostile AI takeover, etc.)
Outcompeted in the online marketplace
Heat death
with thunderous applause
22
17
15
12
7
4
3
2
1
0
OptionVotes
YES
NO
2104
475
368
266
175
57
