OptionProbability
They go bankrupt
Manifold is eternal
Other
As a consequence of a global catastrophe (nuclear war, hostile AI takeover, etc.)
Not with a bang but a whimper
Once big enough to be noticed, regulators either shut them down or hobble them into irrelevance
Ship-of-Theseus'd into a new website
Bought by a large corporation & monetized to death
People lose interest in it and stop using the site
Founders are disappointed in slow/no/negative growth and shut Manifold down.
Bought by a large corporation but later shut down for not being profitable
Outcompeted in the online marketplace
Shut down by the U.S. federal government
Founders shut down Manifold due to community drama
A lover's quarrel
will be dyed into a zebra pattern in black and grey
with thunderous applause
Erotic auto-asphyxiation
destroyed by great hwan empire
Heat death
21
17
7
6
5
4
2
1
0
OptionVotes
NO
YES
368
266
