OptionProbability
They go bankrupt
Other
with thunderous applause
Founders are disappointed in slow/no/negative growth and shut Manifold down.
Outcompeted in the online marketplace
Ship-of-Theseus'd into a new website
Manifold is eternal
Bought by a large corporation but later shut down for not being profitable
Not with a bang but a whimper
People lose interest in it and stop using the site
Bought by a large corporation & monetized to death
Shut down by the U.S. federal government
Once big enough to be noticed, regulators either shut them down or hobble them into irrelevance
Founders shut down Manifold due to community drama
As a consequence of a global catastrophe (nuclear war, hostile AI takeover, etc.)
A lover's quarrel
Erotic auto-asphyxiation
destroyed by great hwan empire
Heat death
18
14
13
10
7
5
4
3
2
1
0
OptionVotes
NO
YES
368
266
