OptionVotes
YES
NO
32243
2599
OptionProbability
Moonshot (Kimi)
Baidu (Ernie)
OpenAI
Anthropic
Google
Alibaba (Qwen)
DeepSeek
Z.ai
Mistral
Thinking Machines Lab
Nvidia
Cohere (Command R+)
Reka AI
NexusFlow (Athene)
01 AI (Yi)
AI21 Labs (Jamba)
Safe Superintelligence / SSI
100
62
58
41
39
36
17
9
5
4
2
995
10
629
16
$30 Billion
$50 Billion
$100 Billion
$1 Trillion
48
26
13
6 - 10
1 - 5
11 - 15
16 - 20
21 - 25
26 - 30
Above 30
33
19
15
6
122
82