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Top stories

Think Tank Urges Democrats to Drop 45 ‘Woke’ Terms Ahead of 2026 Race

Think Tank Urges Democrats to Drop 45 ‘Woke’ Terms Ahead of 2026 Race

Authors

22

4 months ago

Third Way Advises Democrats to Avoid 45 'Woke' Words Including 'Birthing Person' and 'BIPOC' to Reconnect With Voters

US Domestic Policy

Third Way Advises Democrats to Avoid 45 'Woke' Words Including 'Birthing Person' and 'BIPOC' to Reconnect With Voters

Authors

14

3 months ago

Prediction markets for Third Way

Will Trump get a third term in office?

Jan 21, 7:45 PMJan 29, 5:59 AM

5.85%chance

7425147

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4012

249

Will the scientific community accept aspects of quantum consciousness by 2030? 🧠🔬⚛️🌀

Feb 28, 8:20 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

15.29%chance

424152

OptionVotes

NO

YES

982

679

Prospera wins fight against Honduras

Sep 12, 2:17 PMMay 1, 8:59 PM

52.64%chance

393991

OptionVotes

NO

YES

996

983

Will Wikipedia show third-party ads before 2030?

Sep 26, 2:50 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

6.55%chance

83019

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3779

265

Will this paper (https://arxiv.org/pdf/2410.00965) get at least 50 citations by the end of 2025?

Oct 3, 4:52 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

11.23%chance

362930

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2811

356

Will an AI be able to beat me in Pokemon?

Aug 5, 2:16 PMAug 5, 1:38 PM

24.18%chance

122852

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1771

565

Will an active male 1. Bundesliga player come out as homosexual / bi / queer before 2030?

May 31, 11:07 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

74.23%chance

181680

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1697

589

Will Zelenskyy Be Illiberal by 2030?

Jan 24, 8:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.42%chance

371200

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1101

765

Will Manifold have automated resolutions before 2027?

Jun 12, 1:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70.96%chance

61150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1563

640

Will an AI chatbot overtake Google as the most used search engine by 2030?

Aug 3, 6:57 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

42.45%chance

8445

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1164

859

Will the latest flagship reMarkable tablet and software remain highly customizable through 2025?

Feb 5, 11:27 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

82.9%chance

14363

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1183

937

Will the title of Taylor Swift's 13th studio album have or reference the number 13?

Feb 22, 5:45 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

48.2%chance

11209

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1006

990

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