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Thompson News

Will the killer of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson be revealed to have been hired by another party?

Dec 7, 7:56 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

1.06%chance

2212654

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9682

103

Will the killer of Brian Thompson be found guilty of 1st degree murder by the end of 2026?

Dec 4, 8:41 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

73.2%chance

223175

OptionVotes

NO

YES

165

61

Did the killer of Brian Thompson, the UnitedHealthcare CEO, ride a Citibike to escape after the crime?

Dec 6, 4:53 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

1.42%chance

11915

OptionVotes

YES

NO

832

12

Will the killer of Brian Thompson, the UnitedHealthcare CEO, have voted for Trump in the last election?

Dec 6, 8:15 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

15.84%chance

34716

OptionVotes

YES

NO

230

43

Was the killer of Brian Thompson, the UnitedHealthcare CEO, married at any point within the year prior to the event?

Dec 6, 4:48 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

1.63%chance

10693

OptionVotes

YES

NO

776

13

Did Luigi Mangione substantially leverage LLMs to plan the killing of UHC CEO Brian Thompson?

Dec 10, 9:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7.95%chance

16552

OptionVotes

YES

NO

340

29

Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty for the shooting of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson

Feb 5, 5:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

4.76%chance

14459

OptionVotes

YES

NO

458

32

Was the killer of Brian Thompson, the UnitedHealthcare CEO, diagnosed with any mental illnesses prior to the shooting?

Dec 7, 5:31 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

12.62%chance

14335

OptionVotes

YES

NO

263

38

Will Democrats (2028 Election) pivot to pro-growth Abundance Policies (Ezra Klein + Derek Thompson) 🇺🇸🦾🤑🦅🏗️🏛️

Mar 6, 3:41 AMNov 30, 12:59 PM

41.79%chance

8159

OptionVotes

YES

NO

118

85

Was the killer of Brian Thompson, the UnitedHealthcare CEO, on antidepressants within a year of the shooting?

Dec 7, 5:31 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

36.11%chance

679

OptionVotes

YES

NO

133

75

Will Ben Thompson create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Jan 9, 6:06 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

32.47%chance

658

OptionVotes

YES

NO

182

127

Will Tommy Gregory Thompson give up the details of his 500 gold coins and be freed from jail by the end of 2028?

Jul 6, 11:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.89%chance

453

OptionVotes

YES

NO

131

76

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