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Prediction markets for Three

Will there be a 'World War Three' before 2050?

Mar 18, 12:21 PMDec 31, 4:59 AM

25%chance

8618087

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1178

1174

Will Ethereum outperform Bitcoin over three years from 2023?

Oct 15, 12:45 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

1.53%chance

418751

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7453

103

Will Aliens be discovered in the next three years?

Nov 7, 5:33 AMNov 7, 6:59 AM

7%chance

297380

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1047

957

Will ANY of the three major “AI 2027” predictions come true?

Jun 12, 12:25 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.45%chance

294806

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1807

554

Will the US refuse entry to nonimmigrant travellers at at least three times the rate in 2025 than it did in 2024?

Apr 14, 6:21 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.34%chance

192825

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12162

8222

Will I ride an e-scooter or a bike without a helmet within the next three years?

Feb 4, 1:04 PMFeb 4, 10:59 PM

29.2%chance

91102

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1557

642

New CEO at three of 13 top companies by Mid 2026

Apr 6, 1:50 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

27.11%chance

7847

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1640

610

Will the Mississippi River incur a catastrophic flood in the next three years?

Oct 2, 4:00 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

55.31%chance

14615

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1097

898

Will unit 1 of the Three Mile Island nuclear power plant restart before 2029?

Sep 20, 1:31 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

63.44%chance

9578

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1317

759

Chicago tax revenue declines three years in a row due to flight from the city.

May 25, 1:13 PMMar 1, 3:59 PM

42.22%chance

4370

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1170

855

China will adopt a policy where for some job positions, having at least three children is required

Aug 20, 8:15 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

21.05%chance

13330

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1209

915

Will Proud Boys, Three Percenters, or members of similar far-right groups kill at least 10 people in the US in 2025?

Nov 7, 9:21 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

38%chance

10330

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1277

783

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