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Prediction markets for Threshold Ventures

Will there be a crewed mission to Venus before 2045?

Oct 20, 11:04 AMJan 5, 10:59 PM

20.1%chance

395523

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1112

947

Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2035?

Dec 25, 1:02 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

30.86%chance

395422

OptionVotes

YES

NO

999

983

Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2040?

Dec 23, 2:36 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

43%chance

304305

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1041

961

Will there be a crewed mission to Venus before 2040?

Oct 19, 3:37 PMJan 15, 10:59 PM

13.48%chance

383602

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1386

908

Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2045?

Dec 24, 12:47 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM

57.41%chance

373563

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1165

872

Will there be a crewed mission to Venus before 2065?

Dec 18, 12:22 PMJan 8, 10:59 PM

49.11%chance

322416

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1144

810

Will there be a crewed mission to Venus before 2050?

Dec 15, 1:41 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

29.6%chance

292090

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1040

845

Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2055?

Dec 29, 1:15 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM

77.08%chance

221922

OptionVotes

NO

YES

262

151

Will there be a crewed mission to Venus before 2060?

Dec 17, 11:09 AMFeb 5, 10:59 PM

46.2%chance

271826

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1215

596

Will a human walk on Mars before we get a cure for cancer?

Feb 3, 7:29 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

68.25%chance

241825

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1006

924

Will there be a crewed mission to Venus before 2055?

Dec 16, 3:54 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

39%chance

321745

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1117

750

Wagerup 2026 alumina production exceeds 2.5 Mt (2,500 kt)

Jan 12, 7:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69.84%chance

7559

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1522

657

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