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Prediction markets for TIM

Will Tim Cook retire by 2030

Oct 19, 4:22 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

99%chance

2017221

OptionVotes

NO

YES

12731

527

Will Tim Walz run for President in 2028?

Nov 9, 10:07 AMNov 17, 5:59 AM

4.17%chance

5211748

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4798

209

If Harris loses, will Tim Walz be the 2028 presidential nominee?

Jul 30, 2:51 AMJul 6, 6:59 AM

4.27%chance

5411702

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4732

211

Will Tim Walz be party nominee for president in 2032?

Aug 8, 7:17 PMOct 2, 6:59 AM

2.42%chance

235867

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6355

157

Will Tim Walz Finish his term as Governor of Minnesota?

Feb 1, 1:38 AMJan 4, 11:59 PM

90.52%chance

122803

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3091

324

Will Tim Walz be a candidate for president in the 2032 primaries?

Aug 8, 7:28 PMNov 16, 7:59 AM

11.83%chance

102100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2730

366

Will Tim Cook step down as Apple CEO in 2026?

Nov 25, 8:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

201750

OptionProbability

Yes, in Second Half (Jul–Dec)

Yes, in First Half (Jan–Jun)

No, Not in 2026

Other

100

0

0

0

Will Tim Walz or Keir Starmer leave their current role first?

Jan 12, 1:19 AMFeb 16, 1:19 AM

81100

OptionProbability

Keir Starmer (UK Prime Minister)

Tim Walz (Governor of Minnesota)

96

4

Will Tim Urban create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Jan 9, 6:07 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

20%chance

12410

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1125

943

How many Instagram followers will New Zealand defender Tim Payne have by the end of the FIFA World Cup 2026?

May 31, 10:46 PMJul 19, 1:59 PM

4218

OptionProbability

6,000,000 - 6,999,999

5,000,000 - 5,999,999

4,000,000 - 4,999,999

7,000,000 - 7,999,999

8,000,000 - 8,999,999

9,000,000 - 10,000,000

Above 10,000,000

Below 4,000,000

39

19

10

7

7

7

7

6

Will Tim Cook (CEO of Apple) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Mar 10, 12:34 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.28%chance

6213

OptionVotes

YES

NO

361

109

Will Tim Cook be alive through the end of 2050?

Jan 23, 1:50 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

58.6%chance

512

OptionVotes

NO

YES

120

102

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