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Prediction markets for TIM

Will Tim Cook retire by 2030

Oct 19, 4:22 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

98.17%chance

1912041

OptionVotes

NO

YES

7789

594

If Harris loses, will Tim Walz be the 2028 presidential nominee?

Jul 30, 2:51 AMJul 6, 6:59 AM

4.27%chance

5411702

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4732

211

Will Tim Walz run for President in 2028?

Nov 9, 10:07 AMNov 17, 5:59 AM

4.53%chance

5211543

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4593

218

Will Tim Walz be party nominee for president in 2032?

Aug 8, 7:17 PMOct 2, 6:59 AM

2.42%chance

235867

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6355

157

Tim Cook's last day as Apple CEO?

Dec 11, 9:30 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

62338

OptionProbability

Q1 - Q2 2027

Q2 2026

Q4 2026

Q3 2026

Q3 - Q4 2027

Q1 - Q2 2028

2029

2025 - Q1 2026

Q3 - Q4 2028

2030+

29

22

17

15

5

5

3

2

2

1

Will Tim Walz be a candidate for president in the 2032 primaries?

Aug 8, 7:28 PMNov 16, 7:59 AM

11.83%chance

102100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2730

366

Will Tim Walz Finish his term as Governor of Minnesota?

Feb 1, 1:38 AMJan 4, 11:59 PM

88.66%chance

91796

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2796

358

What government positions will Tim Scott hold for any length of time in the rest of his life?

Apr 22, 5:18 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

121099

OptionProbability

Cabinet Secretary

Ambassador

Governor

Representative

Attorney General

Chief of Staff

Leader (majority or minority)

Mayor

Vice President

Supreme Court Justice

President

47

31

30

15

15

13

13

10

10

6

4

Will Apple name an outside CEO to replace Tim Cook in 2026?

Dec 21, 9:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1.89%chance

10796

OptionVotes

YES

NO

721

14

Will Tim Urban create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Jan 9, 6:07 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

20%chance

12410

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1125

943

Will Tim Peake go to space on a UK-Axiom mission before 2030?

Oct 27, 8:14 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

48.52%chance

680

OptionVotes

YES

NO

111

108

Will Tim Pool move out of the United States by the end of 2027?

Aug 24, 5:20 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.85%chance

331

OptionVotes

YES

NO

128

78

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