Times of India News

What will be the official cause(s) of the Air India Flight 171 crash?

Jun 13, 6:55 AMJun 30, 6:43 AM

17280548

OptionProbability

Pilot Action: Pilot action was a primary cause of the crash.

Design/Manufacturing Defect: A Boeing design or manufacturing defect was a primary cause of the crash.

Maintenance/Fueling Lapse: An Air India maintenance or fueling lapse was a primary cause of the crash.

Which of these conflicts will turn into a hot war in 2026?

Feb 25, 4:47 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

7857639

OptionProbability

Insurgencies in Iran

United States vs. Iran

Insurgencies in Pakistan

Iraqi Conflict

Insurgencies in India

India vs. Pakistan

Kurdish Nationalist Conflicts

China vs. Taiwan

Russian Civil Conflict

United States Civil Conflict

100

Will there be a new(ly) major war involving a nuclear power before the end of 2026?

Aug 6, 4:23 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

27%chance

254864

OptionVotes

YES

1645

608

Will any country that is not currently known to have nuclear weapons detonate a nuclear weapon in 2026? (Tests included)

Jun 29, 8:40 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

6.79%chance

133555

OptionVotes

YES

3706

270

Will a human walk on Mars before we get a cure for cancer?

Feb 3, 7:29 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

68.25%chance

241825

OptionVotes

YES

1006

924

Western major media calls Tibet Xizang before 2027?

Feb 25, 11:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.13%chance

71103

OptionVotes

YES

2074

491

Which of the following media outlets will close or undergo significant downsizing/restructuring before 2028?

Mar 2, 3:42 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

15766

OptionProbability

Epoch Times

NPR

Wired

Time

TMZ

Los Angeles Times

New York Post

USA Today

The Onion

Times of India

Gateway Pundit

Babylon Bee

Daily Wire

Newsmax

Breitbart

Al Jazeera

Associated Press (AP)

The Information

The Base Rate Times

Fox News

Wall Street Journal

CNN

BBC

NPR

New York Times

Will GiveWell or Open Philanthropy fund/recommend interventions aimed at conservation of keystone species (such as vultures) by January 2030?

Jan 18, 8:44 AMJan 20, 11:59 PM

15.36%chance

11571

OptionVotes

YES

1322

912

Will the US conduct a nuclear test before 2030?

Oct 30, 2:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.45%chance

18492

OptionVotes

YES

151

By the end of 2026, will global crude steelmaking capacity be at least 2,600 million tonnes per year?

Nov 26, 5:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

60.03%chance

8312

OptionVotes

YES

1225

816

China provides Russia >100k AI chips by 2030?

Oct 30, 12:17 PMJul 1, 10:59 PM

53.68%chance

5220

OptionVotes

YES

1145

982

Will the top public OpenAI assistant rate China as more military powerful than the US in 2020?

May 27, 5:11 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

45.97%chance

242

OptionVotes

YES

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What will be the official cause(s) of the Air India Flight 171 crash?

Which of these conflicts will turn into a hot war in 2026?

Will there be a new(ly) major war involving a nuclear power before the end of 2026?

Will any country that is not currently known to have nuclear weapons detonate a nuclear weapon in 2026? (Tests included)

Will a human walk on Mars before we get a cure for cancer?

Western major media calls Tibet Xizang before 2027?

Which of the following media outlets will close *or* undergo significant downsizing/restructuring before 2028?

Will GiveWell or Open Philanthropy fund/recommend interventions aimed at conservation of keystone species (such as vultures) by January 2030?

Will the US conduct a nuclear test before 2030?

By the end of 2026, will global crude steelmaking capacity be at least 2,600 million tonnes per year?

China provides Russia >100k AI chips by 2030?

Will the top public OpenAI assistant rate China as more military powerful than the US in 2020?

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Which of the following media outlets will close or undergo significant downsizing/restructuring before 2028?