Times Universal News

Will the United States go back to normally issue J-1 student visas for latinos by 2026?

Jun 1, 9:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

84.83%chance

120250711

OptionVotes

YES

139884

27592

Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?

Jun 7, 10:50 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

16.62%chance

8132937

OptionVotes

YES

22319

3938

Will AI be life-changing for muggles by the end of 2029?

Oct 10, 8:46 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

79%chance

11128446

OptionVotes

YES

1940

516

Let's all bet on what Slay the Spire 2 will be like! Go to town

Jun 17, 4:16 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

1924543

OptionProbability

It will have a new character (not just a revision or morph)

In mid 2026 there will be more concurrent players on StS 2 than on StS 1

Jorbs will play it on twitch live in the first week of release

It will have four playable characters on release

There will be some game mechanic like ascension levels but they will go higher or take more steps than sts1's ascension 20

The final boss will be the heart (or some obvious natural evolution of that character)

All current cards for at least one character will be playable

It will be released first in 2024

It will be released first in 2025

Will any notable scientist or public intellectual posthumously publish as an AI simulacrum before EoY 2027?

Jun 12, 3:00 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

8.29%chance

216832

OptionVotes

YES

3327

301

Can NP-complete problems be solved in polynomial time?

Nov 23, 2:25 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

5.27%chance

336254

OptionVotes

YES

1576

925

Which computational universe do we live in?

Sep 17, 5:07 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

283938

OptionProbability

Cryptomania

Minicrypt

Heuristica

Pessiland

Algorithmica

Will Ice Cream turn out to actually be "healthy" based on consensus view at EOY 2026?

Nov 11, 7:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

18.66%chance

191588

OptionVotes

YES

6173

4649

How Much Funding Will a Single Manifold Question Raise for My Antibiotic Research?💊🦠🚀

Feb 24, 12:05 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11946

OptionProbability

(0, 200]

None

(200, 600]

(600, 1200]

(1200, 2500]

(2500, 5000]

(5000, 10000]

(10000, 15000]

(15000, 24000]

More than $24,000

will I speak conversational Russian by the time I graduate Minerva University in 2028

May 24, 6:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51.1%chance

7633

OptionVotes

YES

1022

978

Chinese university beats Harvard in Times Higher Education ranking by 2031?

Apr 23, 5:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.52%chance

4215

OptionVotes

YES

185

We will share a universal civility metric, and show that for most players, it increases over time

Sep 10, 2:57 PMSep 9, 2:57 PM

69.9%chance

687

OptionVotes

YES

170

106

Times Universal News

Prediction markets for Times Universal

Prediction markets for Times Universal

Prediction markets for Times Universal

Will the United States go back to normally issue J-1 student visas for latinos by 2026?

Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?

Will AI be life-changing for muggles by the end of 2029?

Let's all bet on what Slay the Spire 2 will be like! Go to town

Will any notable scientist or public intellectual posthumously publish as an AI simulacrum before EoY 2027?

Can NP-complete problems be solved in polynomial time?

Which computational universe do we live in?

Will Ice Cream turn out to actually be "healthy" based on consensus view at EOY 2026?

How Much Funding Will a Single Manifold Question Raise for My Antibiotic Research?💊🦠🚀

will I speak conversational Russian by the time I graduate Minerva University in 2028

Chinese university beats Harvard in Times Higher Education ranking by 2031?

We will share a universal civility metric, and show that for most players, it increases over time

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