Times News

NYT: Russian Drones Track U.S. Arms Routes in Germany; Kremlin Denies

1 year ago

NYT Tones Down Warning on RFK Jr.-Backed Push-Up Challenge

Health

Politics

Science

NYT Tones Down Warning on RFK Jr.-Backed Push-Up Challenge

1 year ago

Economists Warn Reeves’ UK Debt Path Risks 1976-Style IMF Bailout

Britain

Economics

Business

Economists Warn Reeves’ UK Debt Path Risks 1976-Style IMF Bailout

1 year ago

US Legislation

US Judiciary

US Domestic Policy

NYT Essay Urging Senate, Electoral College Overhaul Sparks Conservative Furor

1 year ago

When will Trump serve time?

Jun 29, 9:56 PMDec 1, 11:03 PM

25981946272

OptionProbability

Never

2030s

2029

2028

2023 (NO)

2024 (NO)

2025 (NO)

2026

2027

2040s or later

Will Donald Trump ever serve time in prison?

Jul 26, 4:22 AMJun 26, 6:59 AM

16.7%chance

422232361

OptionVotes

YES

4634

1131

Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?

Nov 30, 7:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

288210499

OptionProbability

Zohran Mamdani

Other

Pope Leo XIV (Robert Prevost)

Mark Carney

James Talarico

Jon Ossoff

Artificial Intelligence Itself (Including 'ChatGPT', 'Gemini', etc)

Donald Trump and/or JD Vance

Dario Amodei

Xi Jinping

Elon Musk

Sam Altman

Benjamin Netanyahu

AOC

Marco Rubio

Vladimir Putin

Gavin Newsom

Jerome Powell

Sydney Sweeney

Demis Hassabis

Larry Ellison

Jensen Huang

Gen Z

Jeffrey Epstein

Ozempic (Including "Semiglutide", "GLPs", "Eli Lily", etc )

Nicholas Maduro

Mark Zuckerberg

Self Driving Cars (Including 'Waymo', 'Uber', etc)

Lisa Su

Fei-Fei Li

Humanoid Robots (Including 'Optimus', 'Atlas', etc)

Millenials

Gen X

Baby Boomers

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Scott Bessent

Sundar Pichai

Narendra Modi

Ursula von der Leyen

Jasmine Crockett

Graham Platner

Kevin Hassett

Gen Alpha

Claudia Sheinbaum

Cryptocurrency (Including 'Bitcoin', 'Etherium', etc)

Ahmed al-Sharaa

Prediction Markets [Or associated person, company, etc]

Bad Bunny

Kevin Warsh

Pete Hegseth

Will Starship launch one hundred times by 2030?

Apr 22, 2:12 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

52%chance

7344610

OptionVotes

YES

1320

1096

Will the US refuse entry to nonimmigrant travellers at at least three times the rate in 2025 than it did in 2024?

Apr 14, 6:21 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.11%chance

3437585

OptionVotes

YES

43079

2321

In 10 years, what % of the EA/adjacent community think, on balance that Wytham Abbey was a good use of money, compared to the other options at the time? (Buy yes to increase)

Dec 10, 1:17 PMDec 10, 11:59 PM

63.63%chance

7921645

OptionVotes

YES

2729

2049

Will the Two-term presidential time limit be repealed before the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Nov 21, 4:34 PMNov 28, 10:59 PM

6.94%chance

910734

OptionVotes

YES

20706

7842

Will Trump tout (positively promote) the possibility of default on US federal debt at any time during his second term?

Feb 2, 9:27 AMFeb 1, 1:59 PM

51.05%chance

4410157

OptionVotes

YES

10938

8979

Will a polynomial time factoring algorithm be found by 2035?

Sep 6, 8:54 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

8.96%chance

512583

OptionVotes

YES

2216

1303

Will the Portuguese ex-prime-minister José Sócrates serve time in prison due to Operação Marquês?

Jul 4, 4:48 PMDec 31, 12:57 PM

17.74%chance

52226

OptionVotes

YES

8092

5234

Will Moltbook be TIME person of the year 2026?

Jan 31, 5:00 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1.22%chance

192163

OptionVotes

YES

900

Time for tismguy to have femboy pfp

Jul 11, 12:00 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

OptionProbability

Jul-Sep 2026

Oct-Dec 2026

Jan-Mar 2027

Apr-Jun 2027

Times News

Top stories

Prediction markets for Times

Prediction markets for Times

Prediction markets for Times

When will Trump serve time?

Will Donald Trump ever serve time in prison?

Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?

Will Starship launch one hundred times by 2030?

Will the US refuse entry to nonimmigrant travellers at at least three times the rate in 2025 than it did in 2024?

In 10 years, what % of the EA/adjacent community think, on balance that Wytham Abbey was a good use of money, compared to the other options at the time? (Buy yes to increase)

Will the Two-term presidential time limit be repealed before the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Will Trump tout (positively promote) the possibility of default on US federal debt at any time during his second term?

Will a polynomial time factoring algorithm be found by 2035?

Will the Portuguese ex-prime-minister José Sócrates serve time in prison due to Operação Marquês?

Will Moltbook be TIME person of the year 2026?

Time for tismguy to have femboy pfp

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