TIPS News

Will tipping your landlord be normalized within the next decade?

Apr 21, 6:05 PMMay 1, 3:59 AM

6.74%chance

513398

OptionVotes

YES

2049

842

Tax-free tipping results in >10% increase in real wages for service workers within 5 years of implementation?

Aug 30, 7:07 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

22.18%chance

71176

OptionVotes

YES

1873

534

If Trump is elected, will there be "no tax on tips" by 2028?

Jul 21, 1:42 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

91.44%chance

19835

OptionVotes

YES

327

Will I be asked to tip at a grocery store before 2026?

Nov 12, 10:45 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

33.26%chance

15609

OptionVotes

YES

1207

874

What will be the tipping point Senate seat for Democrats in the 2026 elections?

Dec 2, 1:11 AMDec 6, 4:59 AM

5275

OptionProbability

Other

North Carolina

Texas

Kentucky

Iowa

Tennessee

Michigan

Maine

Georgia

Alaska

Kansas

Montana

What are some low-effort tips for living mentally and physically healthier, and longer? [FREE RESPONSE]

Oct 9, 5:42 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM

8242

OptionProbability

Other

Healthy diet

gratitude

Walking

Sleep

Spend time outdoors

Stay hydrated

Positive mindset

Will anthropogenic CO2 emissions lead the world to a tipping point of no return by 2035?

Oct 9, 12:43 AMJun 16, 4:59 AM

62.47%chance

10169

OptionVotes

YES

202

178

Will Uber raise the default minimum suggested tip?

Mar 13, 10:38 PMSep 2, 6:59 AM

25.96%chance

13145

OptionVotes

YES

1052

972

Will medium duration TIPS yields go below -1% again before 2060?

Dec 17, 2:14 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

30%chance

3105

OptionVotes

YES

110

Trump Popularity (538 Approval Rating) on July 4th, 2028 vs. 2028 Presidential Election Tipping Point Margin

Dec 8, 11:28 PMDec 16, 5:59 AM

385

OptionProbability

35.0-44.9% & D +2.5 or more (Trump meh, Dems chose better candidate)

≤34.9% & D +2.5 or more (Trump bad)

35.0-44.9% & D +2.4 to R +2.4 (voters unsatisfied for 4th election in a row)

35.0-44.9% & R +2.5 or more (Trump meh, Reps chose better candidate)

≥45% & R +2.5 or more (Trump good)

≤34.9% & D +2.4 to R +2.4 (ultrapolarized negative partisanship, Democracy is cooked)

≥45% & D +2.4 to R +2.4 (less polarization?)

≥45% & D +2.5 or more (Trump good, Republicans bad)

≤34.9% & R +2.5 or more (Trump bad, Republicans good)

Tips on Stonks

Mar 27, 7:58 AM

Tipping market creator after resolving should be normalized as proper etiquette on Manifold

Dec 1, 5:29 PM

200

TIPS News

Prediction markets for TIPS

Prediction markets for TIPS

Prediction markets for TIPS

Will tipping your landlord be normalized within the next decade?

Tax-free tipping results in >10% increase in real wages for service workers within 5 years of implementation?

If Trump is elected, will there be "no tax on tips" by 2028?

Will I be asked to tip at a grocery store before 2026?

What will be the tipping point Senate seat for Democrats in the 2026 elections?

What are some low-effort tips for living mentally and physically healthier, and longer? [FREE RESPONSE]

Will anthropogenic CO2 emissions lead the world to a tipping point of no return by 2035?

Will Uber raise the default minimum suggested tip?

Will medium duration TIPS yields go below -1% again before 2060?

Trump Popularity (538 Approval Rating) on July 4th, 2028 vs. 2028 Presidential Election Tipping Point Margin

Tips on Stonks

Tipping market creator after resolving should be normalized as proper etiquette on Manifold

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