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Prediction markets for Toma

Will AI wipe out Tomatoes before the year 2030?

Jul 4, 6:32 PMJan 2, 1:16 AM

3%chance

202251

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1900

922

Will Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse get a 95% or higher on Rotten Tomatoes?

Mar 24, 4:26 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

41.32%chance

501977

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1160

845

Will "Tomas Bjartur: The Last Prodigy" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Apr 14, 4:30 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

6.07%chance

41793

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2215

879

The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping · Rotten Tomatoes score

Oct 12, 8:22 PMNov 23, 3:00 PM

3588

OptionProbability

Above 45

Above 50

Above 55

Above 60

Above 65

Above 70

Above 75

Above 80

Above 85

Above 90

97

95

94

93

91

87

74

43

23

13

Will Spaceballs 2 have a higher Rotten Tomatoes rating than Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu?

May 22, 2:19 AMJan 1, 3:17 AM

63.95%chance

13445

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1332

751

Will "The Mandalorian" season 4 have a audience score of >=80% on Rotten Tomatoes?

May 7, 6:30 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

43.86%chance

8277

OptionVotes

YES

NO

78

63

The Simpsons Movie 2 scores 70%+ on Rotten Tomatoes? Critics score

Oct 27, 7:31 AMAug 2, 6:59 AM

55.79%chance

15257

OptionVotes

NO

YES

112

89

Birth (2004) reaches >70% Tomatometer before 2035?

Oct 20, 1:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.45%chance

5224

OptionVotes

YES

NO

181

55

Will the Death Stranding movie get over 74% on Rotten Tomatoes?

Dec 15, 5:35 AMDec 22, 7:59 AM

43.36%chance

10218

OptionVotes

YES

NO

265

152

Will the Magic the Gathering movie get over 85% on Rotten Tomatoes? Critics score.

Sep 8, 7:25 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.82%chance

5122

OptionVotes

YES

NO

116

87

Will there be 50 or more films on the Wikipedia list of 0% on Rotten Tomatoes by the end of 2029?

Mar 13, 5:17 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

54.08%chance

552

OptionVotes

NO

YES

209

191

Will Tomás Bjartur get girlfriend by 2030

Oct 17, 1:58 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

59.02%chance

120

OptionVotes

NO

YES

120

83

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