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Prediction markets for Ton

Carbon Brief Forecast: If Trump wins, will annual US CO2 emissions be below 4.5 billion tons in 2030?

Mar 9, 9:51 PMNov 2, 6:59 AM

57.26%chance

619612

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2280

544

Will DOGE inspect Fort Knox to verify the presence of the 4,580 tons of US gold by the end of 2025?

Feb 17, 12:41 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

5%chance

204771

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4359

229

Will I aquire over 1 metric ton of Tungsten by 2028?

Jun 10, 9:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.71%chance

131408

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2408

415

Do scaling laws happen because models experience a ton of tiny phase changes which average out to a smooth curve?

Apr 18, 5:31 PMDec 31, 6:29 AM

61.07%chance

301229

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1172

860

Do scaling laws happen because models experience a ton of tiny phase changes which average out to a smooth curve?

Apr 17, 10:29 AMDec 31, 6:29 AM

51.44%chance

331060

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1063

928

If Trump wins, will annual US CO2 emissions be below 4.8 billion tons in 2025?

Mar 9, 9:37 PMNov 2, 7:59 AM

43.5%chance

23700

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1122

783

Will 1 ton of asteroid material have been mined and returned to Earth by the end of 2075?

Apr 5, 6:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

74.98%chance

15413

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1071

951

Will there be Starknet L2 over TON by the end of 2026?

Mar 3, 12:53 PMDec 31, 6:59 PM

53.61%chance

3176

OptionVotes

NO

YES

112

98

Will the USA catch more than 1600 metric tons of Atlantic Bluefin Tuna in 2025?

Nov 4, 8:16 AMMay 1, 10:59 PM

62.08%chance

5126

OptionVotes

NO

YES

128

78

Will the USA catch more metric tons of Atlantic Bluefin Tuna in 2025 than in 2024?

Nov 4, 8:15 AMJan 5, 11:59 PM

34.82%chance

384

OptionVotes

YES

NO

137

73

Will Heirloom facilities remove 1 billion tons of CO2 from the atmosphere by 2035?

Nov 23, 7:38 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

44.22%chance

682

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1022

981

Non-celebrity Vintage Boss Katana amplifier sells for more than price of 20 metric tons of iron ore or scrap by 2050

Dec 21, 12:12 AMDec 28, 2:59 PM

51.5%chance

440

OptionVotes

YES

NO

116

102

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