Tools for Humanity News

≥90%

80-90%

40-50%

50-60%

60-70%

70-80%

<30%

NO

YES

70-80%

80-90%

60-70%

≥90%

50-60%

40-50%

<30%

170-175

165-170

175-180

160-165

180-185

≥185

<155

30-40%

40-50%

50-60%

20-30%

60-70%

70-80%

10-20%

≥80%

NO

A model is publicly released which scores >45% on Humanity’s Last Exam (no tools)

A model is publicly released which scores >65% on Humanity’s Last Exam (no tools)

METR or an equivalently credible organization judges that a tested AI system (not necessarily released) is “self-sustaining,” capable in principle to “autonomously operate indefinitely, acquire resources, and defend its existence”

The US unemployment rate exceeds 10% for any reason

Anthropic announces that it has activated ASL-4 for an internally or externally deployed model

Anthropic announces that it has activated ASL-5 for an internally or externally deployed model

US Real GDP growth rate exceeds 6% (annualized) for two consecutive quarters, attributed primarily to AI

YES

NO

NO

NO