Top Democrats News

Who will be elected leader of Your Party?

Sep 25, 10:45 AMDec 31, 11:40 AM

166019

OptionProbability

Jeremy Corbyn

Zara Sultana

No leader elected by market close

If Donald Trump becomes president again in 2024-2028, will he illegally remain commander-in-chief in 2031?

Aug 26, 5:27 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.32%chance

354705

OptionVotes

YES

992

792

Will Gavin Newsom be strongly anti-AI before March 2, 2028?

Dec 29, 9:03 PMMar 1, 11:59 PM

27.02%chance

133109

OptionVotes

YES

1644

608

Who will finish top 2 in any state for the 2028 Democratic primary for President?

Dec 12, 10:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

192932

OptionProbability

Gavin Newsom

Josh Shapiro

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Pete Buttigieg

Mark Kelly

Jon Ossoff

Andy Beshear

Ruben Gallego

Gretchen Whitmer

Ro Khanna

Wes Moore

JB Pritzker

Kamala Harris

Chris Van Hollen

Tim Walz

Rahm Emanuel

Cory Booker

Raphael Warnock

Josh Green

How will Mike Lindell's campaign for MN-Gov end?

Dec 13, 6:21 PMNov 2, 11:59 PM

72334

OptionProbability

He will stay in until the Republican primary but lose it.

He will drop out after the Republican endorsement convention but before the primary.

Other

He will drop out before the Republican endorsement convention.

He will be nominated winning the Republican primary but lose the general election.

He will win the Republican primary but drop out before the general election.

He will remain in the race through all stages and win the general election.

2026 Los Angeles City Controller Election

Nov 9, 7:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5529

OptionProbability

Kenneth Mejia (incumbent)

Other

Isadore Hall

Will Graham Platner be the next fetterman?

Mar 10, 8:36 PMDec 30, 7:32 PM

2.38%chance

9420

OptionVotes

YES

234

191

In 2028, will democrats have a major presidential candidate from the centrist wing of the party?

Dec 25, 2:31 PMJun 30, 8:59 PM

61.78%chance

11371

OptionVotes

YES

262

Will a candidate who is not from a current major political party make it to a U.S. presidential election by 2052?

Aug 7, 7:46 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

34.76%chance

12287

OptionVotes

YES

1032

976

Will there be a new "embarrassing truth" that emerges that governments refuse to acknowledge?

May 1, 12:54 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

91.78%chance

3150

OptionVotes

YES

200

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 32nd State Senate district

Jul 7, 2:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

433

OptionProbability

Kelly Seyarto (incumbent)

Other

Did the 2028 Democratic Nominee win any major office election or primary in 2026?

May 24, 10:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

43.06%chance

318

OptionVotes

YES

115

Top Democrats News

Prediction markets for Top Democrats

Prediction markets for Top Democrats

Prediction markets for Top Democrats

Who will be elected leader of Your Party?

If Donald Trump becomes president again in 2024-2028, will he illegally remain commander-in-chief in 2031?

Will Gavin Newsom be strongly anti-AI before March 2, 2028?

Who will finish top 2 in any state for the 2028 Democratic primary for President?

How will Mike Lindell's campaign for MN-Gov end?

2026 Los Angeles City Controller Election

Will Graham Platner be the next fetterman?

In 2028, will democrats have a major presidential candidate from the centrist wing of the party?

Will a candidate who is not from a current major political party make it to a U.S. presidential election by 2052?

Will there be a new "embarrassing truth" that emerges that governments refuse to acknowledge?

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 32nd State Senate district

Did the 2028 Democratic Nominee win any major office election or primary in 2026?

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