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Top stories

Jeremy Balfour Quits Tory as Reform Support Hits 31%, Corbyn’s Party Gains 28% Labour Members and Plans Scottish Branch

Jeremy Balfour Quits Tory as Reform Support Hits 31%, Corbyn’s Party Gains 28% Labour Members and Plans Scottish Branch

Authors

7

5 days ago

Prediction markets for Tory Party

When will Keir Starmer be replaced as Prime Minister of the UK?

Jul 10, 9:36 AMMar 31, 10:59 PM

3310615

OptionProbability

2029

Other

2026

2027

2028

2025

2030

2024

41

19

11

11

10

4

3

0

The UK Tory party will split into 2 parties or otherwise internally fall apart before 2026

Aug 30, 12:26 PMJan 6, 11:59 PM

5.17%chance

314464

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2048

888

Will Liz Truss ever again lead a political party with at least 1 sitting MP?

Oct 2, 11:01 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7.19%chance

8340

OptionVotes

YES

NO

316

132

How many female British PMs will be Tories before another party elects one?

Apr 22, 1:14 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

7245

Did Dr No and The Movement conspire to bring down Boris Johnson?

Nov 9, 10:36 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

20.33%chance

6174

OptionVotes

YES

NO

197

100

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