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Prediction markets for Total

Will SpaceX's Starship Superheavy launch vehicle reach 500 total successful launches by Jan 1st 2030?

Apr 25, 3:04 AMDec 31, 2:00 PM

8.13%chance

127235268

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3153

961

Will Trump be impeached for a third (total) time during his second term?

Dec 5, 3:12 PMOct 20, 3:59 PM

71%chance

7423799

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1565

639

Will there be a year, before 2040, in which total AI suffering outweighs total 2022 farmed animal suffering?

Mar 16, 11:33 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

21.26%chance

8111182

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2852

1141

Will Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.'s vote total exceed Peltola's winning margin in Alaska's Senate race?

Oct 31, 5:24 AMNov 11, 11:59 PM

28.04%chance

2510812

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2986

1427

Will the sky be clear in Sydney during the 2028 total solar eclipse?

Mar 8, 3:07 AMJul 22, 11:59 PM

58.13%chance

187433

OptionVotes

NO

YES

11782

8487

Will AI-linked nuclear power deals total 15 GW by EOY2026?

Jul 1, 10:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.14%chance

226652

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12736

7852

Will Nvidia's market cap exceed 10% of the total S&P 500 market cap by 2030?

Jun 29, 5:44 AMJan 7, 5:59 AM

47.64%chance

224128

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1052

957

Will there be an academic paper written on the total effect of microplastics on human IQ loss by 2026? (in the same way there are papers written on organophosphate pesticides and air pollution on human IQ loss)?

Jan 7, 7:22 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

17.16%chance

141222

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1979

153

Will U.S. data center electricity consumption exceed 10% of total U.S. power demand by end of 2030?

Feb 12, 3:02 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50.23%chance

111008

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1005

995

Will the total crypto market cap reach >10 trillion USDe before 2030?

Sep 29, 5:19 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

49.18%chance

17671

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1016

978

Will the total global population exceed 8.5 billion before the end of 2031

Sep 16, 9:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

72.93%chance

22627

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1052

971

Which religions will have gained in total self-identified practicing members from 2026 to 2057?

Oct 3, 8:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Buddhist

Hindu

Jain

Sikh

50

50

50

50

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