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TOX News
Prediction markets for TOX
Prediction markets for TOX
Will GiveWell fund Attractive toxic sugar baits for malaria control by 1st January 2027?
Dec 17, 6:20 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
32.7%
chance
26
6994
Option
Votes
YES
NO
7748
3856
Will the Cozumel Thrasher (Toxostoma guttatum) become Extinct by 2100?
Jul 31, 12:04 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
97.04%
chance
3
2172
Option
Votes
NO
YES
2670
69
Fluoride in water decreases IQ according to 2050 consensus of toxicologists
Feb 14, 12:46 AM
Dec 30, 10:59 AM
10.48%
chance
16
837
Option
Votes
YES
NO
292
34
AI will kill everyone by mandating toxic vaccines
Apr 10, 12:57 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
15.89%
chance
9
232
Option
Votes
YES
NO
352
130
Does Toxoplasma gondii make humans more impulsive/fearless/violent?
Feb 25, 9:44 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
47%
chance
6
150
Option
Votes
NO
YES
138
126
Will John Carpenter's upcoming video game Toxic Commando get a 75 or above on OpenCritic?
Dec 31, 7:24 AM
Jan 7, 7:59 AM
15.47%
chance
3
106
Option
Votes
YES
NO
162
73
Is QALY loss from long-term effects of toxoplasma gondii infections greater than 0.1?
Apr 22, 3:03 AM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
41%
chance
9
81
Option
Votes
YES
NO
181
161
Has John Carmack lost more than 2 IQ points due to toxins from all the diet coke he has been drinking?
Oct 5, 4:51 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
42.06%
chance
4
35
Option
Votes
YES
NO
143
119
Will we get a PGS score of micronanoplastic toxicity (or resistance) by EOY2028?
Oct 16, 2:24 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
50%
chance
1
10
Option
Votes
NO
YES
100
100
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