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Prediction markets for Trade and Industry

Will Meta have a "mid-level" AI engineer that can write code by the end of 2025?

Jan 13, 7:06 PMDec 31, 8:59 PM

15.68%chance

7147255

OptionVotes

YES

NO

22945

4656

What proportion new car/suv/light truck sales will be hydrogen powered in 2030?

Mar 16, 10:57 AMJan 31, 10:59 PM

4.07%chance

212895

OptionProbability

YES

NO

3211

695

Will blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?

Nov 15, 1:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

30%chance

10916

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1528

655

How will the data shortage for LLM gets solved

Nov 25, 12:39 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

24738

OptionProbability

Multimodal Data

Synthetic Data

88

55

Will my Agile Space Industries options be worth something?

Apr 6, 7:41 PMApr 2, 5:59 AM

63.02%chance

5540

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2308

1435

Will Soy, Oat, Almond and other Non Dairy Milks still be allowed to use the word 'Milk' in the USA on Jan 1st 2028?

Dec 6, 5:38 AMJan 1, 5:00 PM

89.22%chance

15478

OptionVotes

YES

NO

984

887

Will I finish CS336 by 2025 September 1?

Jun 24, 4:34 AMSep 1, 11:59 PM

49.7%chance

6206

OptionVotes

YES

NO

101

99

LNG import/export terminal destroyed for any reason before 2026.

Oct 1, 3:11 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

44%chance

12171

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1006

993

Will The Dow Close above 45,000 on December 31st, 2025?

Feb 6, 6:15 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29.53%chance

12130

OptionVotes

YES

NO

154

65

Will silver prices be $50 + by the end of 2025

Mar 25, 3:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.57%chance

6107

OptionVotes

YES

NO

185

54

Palladium above 1150 on December 31st?

Jun 30, 4:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

54%chance

450

OptionVotes

NO

YES

108

92

Morning in Trump's America: Which industry sectors will have job growth in 2025?

Dec 30, 7:12 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

535

OptionProbability

Financial Activities

Manufacturing

Mining and Logging

Trade, Transportation, and Utilities

Information

Professional and Business Services

Private Education and Health Services

Leisure and Hospitality

Construction

Government

80

69

50

50

50

50

50

50

31

20

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