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Prediction markets for Trade Republic

How many Iranians will be killed by it's regime in 2026?

Jan 11, 12:53 PMJan 12, 2:59 AM

467524

Will the US and China be at war by July 4th?

Apr 2, 6:08 PMJul 4, 11:59 PM

1.64%chance

293716

OptionVotes

YES

NO

775

13

Will Iran suffer an oil blockade, and will the regime fall this year?

Mar 29, 2:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18759

OptionProbability

Oil blockade, regime stays

Oil blockade, regime changes

No oil blockade, regime changes

No oil blockade, regime stays

90

8

1

1

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.59%chance

12744

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1031

884

Framework for a Nordic Confederation before EOY2028? (see description)

May 30, 9:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.62%chance

375

OptionVotes

YES

NO

175

57

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