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Prediction markets for Trade Republic

How many Iranians will be killed by it's regime in 2026?

Jan 11, 12:53 PMJan 12, 2:59 AM

467594

OptionProbability

40000+

20000-39999

6000-9999

10000-19999

3000 - 5999

0 - 1999

2000- 2999

38

21

20

13

7

1

0

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.17%chance

16992

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1100

977

Will Iran suffer an oil blockade, and will the regime fall this year?

Mar 29, 2:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20872

OptionProbability

Oil blockade, regime stays

Oil blockade, regime changes

No oil blockade, regime changes

No oil blockade, regime stays

95

3

1

1

Framework for a Nordic Confederation before EOY2028? (see description)

May 30, 9:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.62%chance

375

OptionVotes

YES

NO

175

57

Will there be an AI treaty between US and China by end of 2032?

Sep 24, 10:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.16%chance

443

OptionVotes

NO

YES

111

90

If Republicans keep the House in 2026, will Congress ban its members from trading individual stocks before Jan 3, 2029?

Oct 7, 2:50 AMJan 3, 5:00 PM

15%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

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