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Prediction markets for Trade
Will Bitcoin trade above $400k before it falls below $40k?
Dec 25, 9:23 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
34.69%chance
6658491
OptionVotes
1113
677
OptionVotes
10819
3069
Will the Ending Agricultural Trade Suppression (EATS) Act pass?
Aug 6, 2:34 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
13.2%chance
153907
OptionVotes
3529
1289
Will there be a confirmed instance of acausal trade before 2040?
Mar 26, 12:02 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM
47.27%chance
353657
OptionVotes
1252
460
Will Polymarket reach $100B in trading volume in 2027?
Aug 16, 9:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
44.06%chance
122041
OptionVotes
1127
887
Will any currency overtake the US dollar in international trade by 2050?
Apr 21, 5:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
61.24%chance
481579
OptionVotes
1411
568
Will there be 5+ "thought leaders" that became so due in part to trading success on prediction markets by end of 2026?
Jan 4, 4:16 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
38.53%chance
24972
OptionVotes
1124
677
OptionVotes
1045
980
Will this market be influenced by AI trading bots? (Language models trained by OpenAI: buy YES)
Aug 21, 5:32 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
57.11%chance
14413
OptionVotes
1156
864
OptionVotes
1020
980
Will like 3 and more countrys introduce a complete ban on cryptocurrency trading before January 1, 2027?
Mar 19, 4:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
43.41%chance
5165
OptionVotes
1142
876
Will Matt Levine write about "a buy-and-hold prediction-markets exchange-traded fund" before 2026-11-07?
Nov 8, 10:09 PMNov 8, 7:59 AM
52.44%chance
150
OptionVotes
1050
952