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Prediction markets for Trading Standards

Will Intel Stock (INTC) reach $150 in 2026?

Jul 23, 12:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.43%chance

7146490

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1239

807

OpenAI reaches $100B revenue in 2028?

Oct 15, 10:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

80%chance

399880

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2003

501

US civil war before 2028 with Charlie Kirk shooting as major cause?

Sep 11, 10:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.86%chance

229395

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5823

172

Will Bitcoin go below $30,000 before reaching a new all time high?

Jan 30, 2:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.15%chance

229139

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1822

549

Bitcoin above 90k before 2027?

May 30, 1:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

73%chance

314921

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1558

690

Will an AI be able to keep us laughing out loud by 2028?

Nov 5, 12:24 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

74.49%chance

673848

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1151

927

Will AI or other tech be usable by the public to enable lucid dreaming by 2027?

Oct 9, 12:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30.55%chance

261430

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1051

776

OpenAI highest valuation by end of December 2027

May 21, 7:10 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

31224

OptionProbability

≥$1.5T

≥$2T

≥$3T

≥$4T

≥$5T

≥$7.5T

≥$10T

≥$15T

≥$20T

89

73

68

46

34

26

19

13

5

Is our place special in the Universe?

Sep 25, 10:59 PMSep 25, 10:38 PM

50%chance

4490

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

Will any top-20 US or Canadian brokerage publicly endorse an open investing-agent standard by the end of 2027?

May 11, 4:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.15%chance

4408

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1301

769

China provides Russia >100k AI chips by 2030?

Oct 30, 12:17 PMJul 1, 10:59 PM

52.33%chance

6247

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1115

1009

Will a LA governor by 2033 free all non-unanimous jury prisoners, including those reconvicted after retrial?

Jan 9, 8:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.1%chance

2220

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1202

832

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