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Prediction markets for Trading Standards

Will Intel Stock (INTC) reach $150 in 2026?

Jul 23, 12:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.45%chance

7659475

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3524

284

Bitcoin above 90k before 2027?

May 30, 1:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.53%chance

4811071

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1395

670

OpenAI reaches $100B revenue in 2028?

Oct 15, 10:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

80.96%chance

4110178

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2066

486

US civil war before 2028 with Charlie Kirk shooting as major cause?

Sep 11, 10:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.86%chance

229395

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5823

172

Will Bitcoin go below $30,000 before reaching a new all time high?

Jan 30, 2:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.56%chance

249243

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1706

586

Will an AI be able to keep us laughing out loud by 2028?

Nov 5, 12:24 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

74.49%chance

673848

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1151

927

Will AI or other tech be usable by the public to enable lucid dreaming by 2027?

Oct 9, 12:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

19.35%chance

291902

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1226

906

Will bitcoin rise to 105k before the Strait of Hormuz is freely open?

Sep 29, 1:01 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

33.32%chance

251596

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1415

707

Will any top-20 US or Canadian brokerage publicly endorse an open investing-agent standard by the end of 2027?

May 11, 4:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

73.26%chance

61214

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1655

604

Is our place special in the Universe?

Sep 25, 10:59 PMSep 25, 10:38 PM

50%chance

4490

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

China provides Russia >100k AI chips by 2030?

Oct 30, 12:17 PMJul 1, 10:59 PM

52.33%chance

6247

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1115

1009

Will a LA governor by 2033 free all non-unanimous jury prisoners, including those reconvicted after retrial?

Jan 9, 8:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.1%chance

2220

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1202

832

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