Transit News

If Trump wins in 2024, how will it affect the transition of power after 2028 election?

Jun 10, 2:47 AMJan 31, 7:59 AM

11937466

OptionProbability

6. Trump wins in 2024, opposition candidate wins in 2028 and assumes office

5. Trump wins in 2024 and the candidate endorsed by Trump wins in 2028

2. Trump wins in 2024 and dies in office or is incapacitated

3. Trump wins in 2024, election process in 2028 is significantly changed

8. Trump wins in 2024, opposition candidate wins in 2028, but power transition doesn't happen on schedule

7. Trump wins in 2024, opposition candidate wins in 2028, on Jan 20 some states and/or federal agencies recognize one candidate, while others — another

Other

1. Trump doesn't win in 2024

4. Trump wins in 2024, there is no agreement among independent observers as to who wins the election in 2028

Will Twitter user @deprogrammingsocks transition or make plans do to so by EOY 2025?

Apr 1, 1:04 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

97.56%chance

169964

OptionVotes

YES

5466

110

Will there be another pandemic in the USA that results in mask mandates on public transit by the end of 2030?

Mar 30, 4:48 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

36.33%chance

657045

OptionVotes

YES

1110

636

Will we have high-quality real-time age transitions for video calls before 2026 ends?

Jul 10, 12:58 PMDec 31, 6:29 AM

74.23%chance

455869

OptionVotes

YES

1143

874

Will Therianthropic transitions be a major political issue by 2074?

Jul 24, 7:08 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

60.77%chance

10750

OptionVotes

YES

1245

804

Will LA Metro choose a monorail option for the Sepulveda Transit Corridor?

Sep 6, 4:58 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

29.01%chance

8697

OptionVotes

YES

1564

639

Will there be a transitioned transgender player that has played multiple games in the NFL by the end of 2030?

Mar 31, 12:13 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.29%chance

10676

OptionVotes

YES

1634

857

Will Russia have a successful peaceful transition of power from Vladimir Putin to the next ruler(s)?

Jul 7, 6:47 PMJul 7, 7:59 PM

49.55%chance

14557

OptionVotes

YES

1037

956

Will there be a transitioned transgender player that has played multiple games in the NBA by the end of 2030?

Mar 31, 12:14 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9.96%chance

14481

OptionVotes

YES

1428

888

Will the German Football Federation successfully transition to Nike by 2027?

Mar 21, 10:42 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

86.16%chance

10315

OptionVotes

YES

1240

916

Will any European Country make a transition to an exclusive democracy by 2039 (Rare event market)

Feb 27, 10:06 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

65%chance

4145

OptionVotes

YES

1108

924

When will kalomaze transition?

Jul 9, 2:55 AMJan 1, 3:49 AM

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If Trump wins in 2024, how will it affect the transition of power after 2028 election?

Will Twitter user @deprogrammingsocks transition or make plans do to so by EOY 2025?

Will there be another pandemic in the USA that results in mask mandates on public transit by the end of 2030?

Will we have high-quality real-time age transitions for video calls before 2026 ends?

Will Therianthropic transitions be a major political issue by 2074?

Will LA Metro choose a monorail option for the Sepulveda Transit Corridor?

Will there be a transitioned transgender player that has played multiple games in the NFL by the end of 2030?

Will Russia have a successful peaceful transition of power from Vladimir Putin to the next ruler(s)?

Will there be a transitioned transgender player that has played multiple games in the NBA by the end of 2030?

Will the German Football Federation successfully transition to Nike by 2027?

Will any European Country make a transition to an exclusive democracy by 2039 (Rare event market)

When will kalomaze transition?

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