Transport News

Will a Tesla car or truck transport a SpaceX rocket by the end of 2029?

Dec 12, 4:35 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

18.31%chance

371949

OptionVotes

YES

1147

946

Will flying cars become a widespread mode of individual transportation before 2032?

Feb 7, 6:19 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

6.75%chance

201455

OptionVotes

YES

2327

823

Will self-driving cars become the primary mode of transportation in major US cities by 2030?

Jan 10, 12:39 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

18.04%chance

21949

OptionVotes

YES

1073

961

When will the Tees Transporter Bridge be in use again?

Jun 25, 2:21 PMJan 1, 3:20 PM

2698

Will there be <5hr UK-Australia public transport by 2033?

Sep 8, 2:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.03%chance

11626

OptionVotes

YES

571

101

Which of these Transport for London projects will be completed before the end of 2040?

Mar 23, 9:06 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

6256

OptionProbability

West London Orbital

Elizabeth line extension to Ebbsfleet

Bakerloo line extension to Lewisham

Thames Wharf DLR station

DLR extension to Thamesmead

Elizabeth line extension to Staines

Sutton Link tram line

Surrey Canal Road Overground station

Croxley Rail Link

Northern line extension to Clapham Junction

Castle Green Overground station

Central line extension to Harlow

Victoria line extension to Herne Hill

Crossrail 2

Which of these transportation achievements be achieved in the 2020s?

May 28, 4:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5160

OptionProbability

İDO will initiate Greek islands rides service to Rhodes from Marmaris.

İDO will initiate Greek islands rides service to Symi from Datça.

İstanbul-Muğla motorway chain will be completed (This project will include two rings, Denizli-Antalya and Antalya-Muğla motorways.).

Şehir Hatları ferries will be free to everyone who is a K-12 student.

Intercontinental underwater tunnel that connects Europe to North America will be completed.

A maglev railway to India from Türkiye will be operational.

Will public transportation ridership return to pre-pandemic levels by 2030?

Oct 24, 3:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

82.75%chance

6146

OptionVotes

YES

228

202

Will lighter than air airships transport >1M passengers total before 2035?

Jun 21, 2:38 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

25.15%chance

7133

OptionVotes

YES

231

138

Will an organisation offer suborbital point-to-point transportation before 2030?

Oct 19, 2:32 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

29.35%chance

9124

OptionVotes

YES

187

127

Will an organisation offer suborbital point-to-point transportation before 2035?

Oct 19, 2:34 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

79.91%chance

360

OptionVotes

YES

100

Will lighter than air airships transport >1M passengers total before 2045?

Jun 21, 2:39 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

36.91%chance

228

OptionVotes

YES

Transport News

Prediction markets for Transport

Prediction markets for Transport

Prediction markets for Transport

Will a Tesla car or truck transport a SpaceX rocket by the end of 2029?

Will flying cars become a widespread mode of individual transportation before 2032?

Will self-driving cars become the primary mode of transportation in major US cities by 2030?

When will the Tees Transporter Bridge be in use again?

Will there be <5hr UK-Australia public transport by 2033?

Which of these Transport for London projects will be completed before the end of 2040?

Which of these transportation achievements be achieved in the 2020s?

Will public transportation ridership return to pre-pandemic levels by 2030?

Will lighter than air airships transport >1M passengers total before 2035?

Will an organisation offer suborbital point-to-point transportation before 2030?

Will an organisation offer suborbital point-to-point transportation before 2035?

Will lighter than air airships transport >1M passengers total before 2045?

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