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Prediction markets for Transport for London

Will people be wearing the Apple Vision Pro in public in London by the end of 2025?

Jun 9, 10:51 AMDec 20, 11:59 PM

14.94%chance

202897

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1658

54

Will people be wearing the Apple Vision Pro in public in London by the end of 2026?

Jun 9, 10:52 AMDec 20, 11:59 PM

73.9%chance

221490

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1082

534

The first time I take a ride in a self-driving car, how will the vehicle be primarily branded? (I live in the UK, btw.)

Aug 8, 1:19 AMAug 8, 10:59 PM

111035

OptionProbability

Waymo

Other

Tesla

Uber

Bolt

Ford

30

27

24

9

5

5

Will people be wearing the Apple Vision Pro in public in London by the end of 2027?

Jun 9, 10:54 AMDec 20, 11:59 PM

89.68%chance

12679

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1221

945

Will TfL's planned Bakerloo Line extension to Lewisham go ahead?

Mar 11, 8:33 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

54.03%chance

5267

OptionVotes

NO

YES

173

148

Which of these Transport for London projects will be completed before the end of 2040?

Mar 23, 9:06 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

6256

OptionProbability

West London Orbital

Elizabeth line extension to Ebbsfleet

Bakerloo line extension to Lewisham

Thames Wharf DLR station

DLR extension to Thamesmead

Elizabeth line extension to Staines

Sutton Link tram line

Surrey Canal Road Overground station

Croxley Rail Link

Northern line extension to Clapham Junction

Castle Green Overground station

Central line extension to Harlow

Victoria line extension to Herne Hill

Crossrail 2

76

68

66

66

56

50

50

50

38

36

24

20

20

6

Will TfL's planned DLR Extension to Thamesmead go ahead?

Mar 11, 8:18 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

75.59%chance

4172

OptionVotes

NO

YES

250

73

LNG import/export terminal destroyed for any reason before 2026.

Oct 1, 3:11 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

44%chance

12171

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1006

993

Will Heathrow increase monthly air transport movements from 40,000 to 50,000 before 2030?

Oct 11, 11:51 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

26.47%chance

6147

OptionVotes

YES

NO

167

60

Will Crossrail 2 be approved before 2030?

May 1, 8:34 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

25.84%chance

7126

OptionVotes

YES

NO

147

58

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