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Top stories

London Underground Staff Call Week-Long Strike From Sept. 5 Amid Wider Transport Unrest

London Underground Staff Call Week-Long Strike From Sept. 5 Amid Wider Transport Unrest

Authors

11

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Transport for London

Will people be wearing the Apple Vision Pro in public in London by the end of 2026?

Jun 9, 10:52 AMDec 20, 11:59 PM

15%chance

262373

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1633

50

Will people be wearing the Apple Vision Pro in public in London by the end of 2027?

Jun 9, 10:54 AMDec 20, 11:59 PM

8.49%chance

171440

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1707

24

The first time I take a ride in a self-driving car, how will the vehicle be primarily branded? (I live in the UK, btw.)

Aug 8, 1:19 AMAug 8, 10:59 PM

151393

OptionProbability

Waymo

Tesla

Other

Uber

Bolt

Ford

57

20

12

5

3

3

Waymo generally available in London when?

Oct 18, 2:11 PMJul 1, 2:07 PM

151149

OptionProbability

Before July 2027

Before Jan 2027

Not before July 2027

Before July 2026

91

35

8

1

Will Baidu driverless cars be available to ride in London in 2026?

Dec 22, 6:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.22%chance

7494

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1170

855

Will TfL's planned Bakerloo Line extension to Lewisham go ahead?

Mar 11, 8:33 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

54.03%chance

5267

OptionVotes

NO

YES

173

148

Which of these Transport for London projects will be completed before the end of 2040?

Mar 23, 9:06 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

6256

OptionProbability

West London Orbital

Elizabeth line extension to Ebbsfleet

Bakerloo line extension to Lewisham

Thames Wharf DLR station

DLR extension to Thamesmead

Elizabeth line extension to Staines

Sutton Link tram line

Surrey Canal Road Overground station

Old Oak Common Lane Overground station

Hythe Road Overground station

Croxley Rail Link

Northern line extension to Clapham Junction

Castle Green Overground station

Central line extension to Harlow

Victoria line extension to Herne Hill

Crossrail 2

76

68

66

66

56

50

50

50

50

50

38

36

24

20

20

6

Will Crossrail 2 be approved before 2030?

May 1, 8:34 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

32.85%chance

8196

OptionVotes

YES

NO

123

68

Will TfL's planned DLR Extension to Thamesmead go ahead?

Mar 11, 8:18 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

75.59%chance

4172

OptionVotes

NO

YES

250

73

Will Heathrow increase monthly air transport movements from 40,000 to 50,000 before 2030?

Oct 11, 11:51 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

26.47%chance

6147

OptionVotes

YES

NO

167

60

Paris-London Vactrain by 2070?

Dec 24, 5:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.98%chance

348

OptionVotes

YES

NO

120

83

Will space be the cheapest place to put Elon by end of Feb 2029?

Feb 17, 4:11 AMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

32.39%chance

444

OptionVotes

YES

NO

144

69

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 25, 2025
Aug 25, 2025
Britain
World
London Underground Staff Call Week-Long Strike From Sept. 5 Amid Wider Transport Unrest
Authors
11
10 months ago

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