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Prediction markets for Travelers

Will the US refuse entry to nonimmigrant travellers at at least three times the rate in 2025 than it did in 2024?

Apr 14, 6:21 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.42%chance

236807

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15488

6457

Is faster-than-light travel physically possible?

Mar 4, 2:16 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

16.62%chance

916390

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1030

760

Safe to travel to Iran by EOY 2032?

Feb 28, 10:32 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48%chance

71598

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1299

352

Will 0.1% of the US population have traveled in a flying car by 2050?

Apr 16, 3:00 AMJan 1, 1:15 PM

46.35%chance

171548

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1090

872

Will Canada close its border with the US to civilian travel due to a pandemic disease by Feb 1, 2029?

Feb 24, 7:15 PMFeb 3, 7:59 AM

17.04%chance

81351

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2206

453

Will Taylor Swift use an electric plane for the majority of her air travel by 2035?

Mar 15, 8:21 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

12.02%chance

13827

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1362

906

Will Elon Musk travel to space by 2035?

Apr 25, 7:59 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

64.6%chance

14525

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1099

926

Will more people travel between cities by self driving car than by inter city rail before 2037

Apr 17, 1:29 PMJan 1, 1:29 PM

47%chance

12503

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1094

873

Will citizens of the US be able to travel to more than 50% of countries without a physical passport by 2050?

Oct 21, 10:40 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

38.15%chance

12470

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1317

732

Will the ending of one piece involve the strawhats (all or just a select few / just luffy) traveling to the past

Jun 10, 2:55 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

35.18%chance

6365

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1357

737

How old will Cimorene be when she's able to travel to a BART station unsupervised?

Feb 11, 7:56 AMNov 10, 12:59 AM

34.29%chance

14248

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1036

921

Will there be a successful test of a hypersonic commercial air travel system before 2030?

Feb 7, 7:01 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

60.3%chance

15205

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1035

937

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