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Prediction markets for Travelers Companies

Will a spacecraft powered by SABRE engines reach orbit before 2035?

May 13, 3:52 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

8.42%chance

171364

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1669

813

Will Taylor Swift use an electric plane for the majority of her air travel by 2035?

Mar 15, 8:21 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

12.51%chance

13777

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1312

913

Will I get into a "top" university for CS in US?

May 19, 5:30 AMMay 2, 5:12 AM

7277

OptionProbability

Yes

No

73

27

Will a spacecraft powered by SABRE engines reach space before 2035?

May 13, 3:42 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

9.41%chance

5255

OptionVotes

YES

NO

385

63

Super high speed travel: 90 minutes from NYC to Tokyo before 2047

Jun 12, 9:39 PMFeb 2, 4:59 AM

15.48%chance

7236

OptionVotes

YES

NO

275

107

Will my employer be hit with a major ransomware attack again by the end of 2025?

Oct 7, 8:07 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

15.83%chance

6145

OptionVotes

YES

NO

267

80

If we sue our HVAC contractor for charging us travel fees when we have a warranty on labor, will we win?

May 15, 2:16 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

70.83%chance

4102

OptionVotes

NO

YES

156

64

Will my next laptop use Linux?

Feb 9, 11:13 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

55.73%chance

772

OptionVotes

NO

YES

199

141

Will SABRE be tested in Earth's atmosphere by a free-flying aircraft before 2035?

May 13, 3:30 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

76.97%chance

242

OptionVotes

NO

YES

112

47

When will commercial space travel take 20 customers to space per year?

Feb 2, 1:37 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

222

OptionProbability

2024-2026

2027-2028

2029-2030

2031-2032

Other

47

13

13

13

13

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