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Prediction markets for Travelers Companies

Will a spacecraft powered by SABRE engines reach orbit before 2035?

May 13, 3:52 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

8.25%chance

181394

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1699

810

Will Taylor Swift use an electric plane for the majority of her air travel by 2035?

Mar 15, 8:21 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

12.02%chance

13827

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1362

906

Will I get into a "top" university for CS in US?

May 19, 5:30 AMMay 2, 5:12 AM

11652

OptionProbability

Yes

No

82

18

Battery fire causes major app outage in 2026?

Nov 26, 2:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.07%chance

9526

OptionVotes

YES

NO

247

40

Will a spacecraft powered by SABRE engines reach space before 2035?

May 13, 3:42 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

15.26%chance

6270

OptionVotes

YES

NO

275

78

Super high speed travel: 90 minutes from NYC to Tokyo before 2047

Jun 12, 9:39 PMFeb 2, 4:59 AM

15.48%chance

7236

OptionVotes

YES

NO

275

107

If we sue our HVAC contractor for charging us travel fees when we have a warranty on labor, will we win?

May 15, 2:16 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

81.62%chance

5146

OptionVotes

NO

YES

211

47

Will SABRE be tested in Earth's atmosphere by a free-flying aircraft before 2035?

May 13, 3:30 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

76.97%chance

242

OptionVotes

NO

YES

112

47

When will commercial space travel take 20 customers to space per year?

Feb 2, 1:37 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

222

OptionProbability

2024-2026

2027-2028

2029-2030

2031-2032

Other

47

13

13

13

13

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