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Prediction markets for TRE

By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?

Feb 20, 10:31 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

26.1%chance

455323493

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2699

2492

Within the next 5 years, there will be meaningful number of people (>10,000) who treat an LLM as a religious authority figure.

Feb 22, 1:03 PMFeb 23, 4:59 AM

69%chance

159139989

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1698

1437

Will GiveWell fund Intermittent preventive treatment in infants (IPTi) for malaria by 1st January 2027?

Dec 18, 12:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.79%chance

1964882

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6128

4633

[M5000 subsidy] Will 10,000+ people receive Lantern Bioworks' cavity prevention treatment by 2030?

Jul 20, 8:26 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

68.25%chance

11456464

OptionVotes

NO

YES

9350

3477

TreeOfLogic Stock

Oct 26, 9:07 AMAug 11, 9:43 PM

42947372

OptionProbability

NO

YES

5372

2964

Is China’s LVA Surgery a legitimate treatment for Alzheimer’s?

Nov 23, 6:21 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

10.37%chance

4429552

OptionVotes

YES

NO

29403

3726

Will Bitcoin become US Treasury reserve asset by 2030?

Jul 22, 10:06 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

53.35%chance

3110561

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2010

1984

Will the Lumina oral probiotic treatment reduce the rate of cavities by at least 50% in the 4 years after application?

Apr 10, 6:07 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

54%chance

868873

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1445

1387

Treasury shuts off Congressionally authorized payments to Department of Education by December 31, 2025

Feb 4, 4:53 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

59.74%chance

258597

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10639

9487

International treaty limiting autonomous AI weapons before 2030?

Jul 7, 3:56 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

48.12%chance

171610

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10277

9735

Which Coaches Are Out In The American Athletic Conference? Coaching Carousel 2025-26

Jun 6, 9:33 PMMar 15, 11:59 PM

3755

OptionProbability

Charlotte - Tim Albin

Memphis - Ryan Silverfield

Temple - K. C. Keeler

Tulane - Jon Sumrall

UAB - Trent Dilfer

Army - Jeff Monken

East Carolina - Blake Harrell

Florida Atlantic - Zach Kittley

Navy - Brian Newberry

North Texas - Eric Morris

Rice - Scott Abell

Tulsa - Tre Lamb

UTSA - Jeff Traylor

South Florida - Alex Golesh

41

41

41

41

41

35

35

35

32

32

21

18

18

14

Will Tre Jones ever play a playoff game?

Mar 2, 6:26 PMMar 10, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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