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Top stories

Trump Grant Cancellations Strip $7 Billion From U.S. University Research

Trump Grant Cancellations Strip $7 Billion From U.S. University Research

Authors

3

10 days ago

Treasury’s Bessent Says Trump Won’t Fire Fed Chair Powell, No Rush on Successor

US Gov Appointments

Treasury’s Bessent Says Trump Won’t Fire Fed Chair Powell, No Rush on Successor

Authors

9

10 days ago

Hawley Unveils Bill for $600 Tariff Rebate Checks to Households

Hawley Unveils Bill for $600 Tariff Rebate Checks to Households

Authors

7

4 days ago

Powell Reaffirms Dollar Policy Rests With Treasury, Not the Fed

Authors

5

3 days ago

US Treasury’s Bessent Sees One or Two Fed Rate Cuts in 2025

Authors

6

10 days ago

US Domestic Policy

Treasury Chief Bessent Plans Monday Night Visit to Federal Reserve

Authors

5

12 days ago

Prediction markets for Treasury Department

DOGE cuts $1T federal deficit by FY 2026?

Feb 4, 6:07 AMOct 1, 6:59 AM

4.32%chance

3710090

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4708

212

Treasury shuts off Congressionally authorized payments to Department of Education by December 31, 2025

Feb 4, 4:53 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

59.74%chance

258597

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10639

9487

Will Donald Trump's face appear on US currency before December 2028?

Feb 11, 6:35 PMDec 2, 4:59 AM

9.95%chance

194144

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3008

332

Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?

Nov 26, 6:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

74.89%chance

311936

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1629

626

As of January 1, 2026, will the following assets be held in a US national strategic crypto reserve?

Mar 3, 12:52 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

201361

OptionProbability

Bitcoin (BTC)

Tether (USDT)

Cardano (ADA)

XRP

Ethereum (ETH)

Solana (SOL)

Dogecoin (DOGE)

91

65

59

47

40

34

28

US Treasury announces new capital controls before May 22, 2026

Apr 22, 11:17 PMMay 22, 11:59 PM

25.48%chance

81348

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1710

585

Will any head of executive department appointed in the 2025-2029 Administration leave office in 2025?

Nov 10, 10:44 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

57.38%chance

11511

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1160

862

Major data breach (>100k records) of Treasury Department data occurs before September 1st 2025

Feb 8, 4:39 AMSep 1, 12:00 AM

19.18%chance

11441

OptionVotes

YES

NO

399

109

Which prongs of the "3-3-3" economic plan will the Trump administration achieve by the end of Q1, 2028?

Dec 16, 7:20 PMJul 1, 3:59 AM

16366

OptionProbability

Increase domestic energy production by 3 million barrel of oil equivalents per day

Reduce budget deficit to 3% of GDP

Real GDP growth of 3% per annum

53

12

12

What will be the initial capitalization of the US national strategic crypto reserve?

Mar 3, 3:11 PMJan 22, 7:59 AM

6252

OptionProbability

Between $10 billion and $50 billion

Between $1 billion and $10 billion

Between $50 billion and $100 billion

Greater than $100 billion

>$0, less than $1 billion

Has not been capitalized as of January 21, 2029

51

19

14

8

6

3

Data breach of Treasury Department data occurs before September 1st 2025

Feb 9, 5:00 AMSep 1, 12:00 AM

25.51%chance

10161

OptionVotes

YES

NO

276

157

30-year Treasury yield hits 5.6% during Trump's second term?

May 30, 7:20 PMJan 19, 11:59 AM

39.72%chance

477

OptionVotes

YES

NO

123

81

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