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Top stories

Trump Blocks Venezuelan Oil Permits for Non-US Majors, Spares Chevron

US Foreign Policy

Trump Blocks Venezuelan Oil Permits for Non-US Majors, Spares Chevron

Authors

10

1 year ago

Deputy Treasury Secretary Michael Faulkender Leaving Trump Administration After Clashes With IRS Chief and Trump

US Gov Appointments

Deputy Treasury Secretary Michael Faulkender Leaving Trump Administration After Clashes With IRS Chief and Trump

Authors

29

1 year ago

Trump Floats Tariff-Funded Dividend Checks for Americans

US Domestic Policy

Trump Floats Tariff-Funded Dividend Checks for Americans

Authors

13

1 year ago

US Mortgage Applications Slide; Treasury Sells $16 Bln 20-Year Bonds at 4.876%

Authors

11

1 year ago

Orsted Plans $9.4 Billion Rights Issue as Shares Plunge Nearly 30%, Hit Lowest Since 2016 IPO Amid U.S. Setbacks and S&P Downgrade

Authors

29

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Treasury Department

DOGE cuts $1T federal deficit by FY 2026?

Feb 4, 6:07 AMOct 1, 6:59 AM

2.9%chance

3810899

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5785

173

Will Donald Trump's face appear on US currency before December 2028?

Feb 11, 6:35 PMDec 2, 4:59 AM

35.06%chance

224861

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1361

735

$250 bill with Trump's face before 2028?

Oct 9, 3:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.47%chance

314110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2534

395

Which companies will the Trump administration take a stake in?

Oct 13, 12:01 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM

112134

OptionProbability

USA Rare Earth

ExxonMobile

Chevron

Sunoco

GlobalFoundries

Boeing

Ford

Palantir

Tesla

AMD

United Health

Moderna

55

50

50

50

35

29

17

17

15

15

12

8

Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?

Nov 26, 6:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

75.94%chance

321986

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1679

610

Trump gives people cash from tariffs in 2026?

Nov 20, 7:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.6%chance

16684

OptionVotes

YES

NO

276

36

30-year Treasury yield hits 5.6% during Trump's second term?

May 30, 7:20 PMJan 19, 11:59 AM

45.76%chance

11377

OptionVotes

NO

YES

544

436

What will be the initial capitalization of the US national strategic crypto reserve?

Mar 3, 3:11 PMJan 22, 7:59 AM

6256

OptionProbability

Between $10 billion and $50 billion

Between $1 billion and $10 billion

Between $50 billion and $100 billion

Greater than $100 billion

Has not been capitalized as of January 21, 2029

>$0, less than $1 billion

48

18

14

9

5

5

Will the US government distribute free cryptocurrency to citizens before January 20, 2029?

Feb 20, 7:00 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

15.11%chance

9237

OptionVotes

YES

NO

237

42

Will the United States regulate cryptocurrency due to its use in upcoming war before the end of 2027

Mar 22, 8:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22%chance

5138

OptionVotes

YES

NO

188

53

Disbursements from Trump Anti-Weaponization Fund exceed 1 billion dollars before dissolution?

May 24, 5:57 AMDec 31, 5:00 AM

20.05%chance

9133

OptionVotes

YES

NO

200

50

Will Hasan Piker be arrested?

May 24, 9:15 AMJan 1, 11:00 AM

33.78%chance

540

OptionVotes

YES

NO

140

71

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