Treasury officials News

5

4

6 - 7

3

8 - 9

10 - 11

12 - 15

0

1

YES

YES

Nothing Ever Happens (Nothing Happens)

Direct military engagement between either G20 members, or the use of nuclear weapons

An AI kills a human without explicitly being given a task

Other (10m+ deaths)

Worldwide Pandemic

350+ million climate-displaced persons annually

YES

Less than a day

More than a year, less than a decade

More than a week, less than a month

More than a month, less than a year

More than a day, less than a week

Q2 2026 (April 1 - June 30, 2026)

Q3 2026 (July 1 - September 30, 2026)

Q4 2026 (October 1 - December 31, 2026)

NO

YES

YES

YES

NO