Trend Research News

Trend Research, Affiliated with Jackyi_ld, Sells $250 Million Ethereum at $3,083 to Cut Aave Loan to $168M; Holds 115,187 ETH Amid Market Transfers

8 days ago

Trend Research Affiliated With Jackyi_ld Sells 79,471 ETH Worth $250M, Repays Aave Loan Amid Price Rally; Large July 31 Crypto Transfers Recorded

2 days ago

Will an 'AI Bust' or 'AI Winter' Occur by the End of 2025?

Jun 11, 12:13 PMDec 11, 10:59 PM

9.29%chance

473605

OptionVotes

YES

1691

885

2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.

Mar 11, 12:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

71.93%chance

163414

OptionVotes

YES

1009

979

Will lab-grown meat become more popular than traditional meat in any country by 2030?

Mar 2, 10:25 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

8.48%chance

372264

OptionVotes

YES

1824

841

Will the percentage of U.S. adults identifying as Christian in the U.S. drop below 60% by the end of 2026?

Apr 13, 8:53 PMJan 1, 10:59 AM

58.35%chance

441723

OptionVotes

YES

1113

786

Will Democrats win big in 2024? || Will "downfall of America will really speed up" during 2024-2028?

Sep 1, 6:38 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

111691

OptionProbability

Democrats no || downfall no

Democrats no || downfall yes

Democrats yes || downfall yes

Democrats yes || downfall no

Will Midjourney lose at least 50% of their userbase in 5 years?

Feb 25, 12:24 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

68.79%chance

161081

OptionVotes

YES

1407

741

How will the data shortage for LLM gets solved

Nov 25, 12:39 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

24738

OptionProbability

Multimodal Data

Synthetic Data

Will LLMs' loss function achieve the level of entropy of human text by the end of 2030?

Jun 8, 9:10 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

60.92%chance

11570

OptionVotes

YES

1249

801

When will life expectancy for males in the USA reach 100?

May 28, 9:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4391

Is the downward secular trend in female puberty mostly genetic?

Apr 8, 2:58 AMApr 9, 6:59 AM

10.05%chance

12376

OptionVotes

YES

1330

926

Will the METR long-horizons have a >6 month doubling time for at least a 4 month period before 2026?

May 8, 4:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.85%chance

9190

OptionVotes

YES

115

China CO2 emissions in 2026 less than in 2025?

Jul 8, 9:13 PMMar 1, 11:59 PM

67.47%chance

8119

OptionVotes

YES

144

Latest stories

Jul 31, 2025
Jul 31, 2025
Markets
Crypto
Trend Research Affiliated With Jackyi_ld Sells 79,471 ETH Worth $250M, Repays Aave Loan Amid Price Rally; Large July 31 Crypto Transfers Recorded
Authors
4
2 days ago
Jul 25, 2025
Jul 25, 2025
Markets
Crypto
Trend Research, Affiliated with Jackyi_ld, Sells $250 Million Ethereum at $3,083 to Cut Aave Loan to $168M; Holds 115,187 ETH Amid Market Transfers
Authors
4
8 days ago

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Will an 'AI Bust' or 'AI Winter' Occur by the End of 2025?

2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.

Will lab-grown meat become more popular than traditional meat in any country by 2030?

Will the percentage of U.S. adults identifying as Christian in the U.S. drop below 60% by the end of 2026?

Will Democrats win big in 2024? || Will "downfall of America will really speed up" during 2024-2028?

Will Midjourney lose at least 50% of their userbase in 5 years?

How will the data shortage for LLM gets solved

Will LLMs' loss function achieve the level of entropy of human text by the end of 2030?

When will life expectancy for males in the USA reach 100?

Is the downward secular trend in female puberty mostly genetic?

Will the METR long-horizons have a >6 month doubling time for at least a 4 month period before 2026?

China CO2 emissions in 2026 less than in 2025?

Latest stories

Join our channels

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