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Prediction markets for Trump Stock

Will OpenAI go public in 2026?

Jan 13, 7:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.82%chance

383933

OptionVotes

YES

NO

370

27

Will European investors face restrictions on their US stock holdings due to political risks before 2029?

Feb 26, 8:54 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

14.87%chance

52165

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2393

418

Which companies will the Trump administration take a stake in?

Oct 13, 12:01 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM

112134

OptionProbability

USA Rare Earth

ExxonMobile

Chevron

Sunoco

GlobalFoundries

Boeing

Ford

Palantir

Tesla

AMD

United Health

Moderna

55

50

50

50

35

29

17

17

15

15

12

8

Donald Trump Stock (Permanent)

Nov 13, 2:28 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

241342

OptionProbability

NO

YES

452

291

Will Donald Trump mention Nancy Pelosi's (or Paul Pelosi's) stock holdings during 2026?

Jan 10, 3:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.39%chance

6524

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1215

823

Will Canada's stock market outperform the US's during Trump's 2nd term?

Apr 24, 4:41 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM

64.08%chance

15415

OptionVotes

NO

YES

134

75

Will Trump ban stock buybacks/dividends for defense contractors?

Jan 7, 10:37 PMJan 1, 10:36 PM

63.63%chance

8407

OptionVotes

NO

YES

132

76

Melania Trump stock

Apr 7, 12:29 PMApr 8, 3:59 AM

19381

OptionProbability

YES

NO

349

304

Will Microstrategy have to pay any federal income taxes on unrealised gains on its cryptocurrency holdings in 2026?

Jan 28, 10:37 PMJan 1, 2:59 PM

17.24%chance

4148

OptionVotes

YES

NO

219

46

Will Truth Social be bought before 2029?

Jun 19, 6:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.97%chance

681

OptionVotes

YES

NO

173

58

Will the SEC allow the tokenization of public company stocks during Trump's term?

Nov 15, 12:25 AMJan 22, 2:59 AM

51.47%chance

440

OptionVotes

NO

YES

103

97

[poll/stock - never resolves] How do Americans view Donald Trump’s political rhetoric (independent of politics)?

Dec 29, 7:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

211

OptionProbability

Negative

Positive

Agnostic/Neutral

45

28

28

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