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Prediction markets for Trump Trade

Will Trump's 2nd Presidential term last exactly 42 months?

Nov 8, 12:33 AMAug 20, 3:59 AM

2%chance

2248274

OptionVotes

YES

NO

39432

1399

Will Fannie Mae and/or Freddie Mac be privatized before February 2029?

Jan 8, 2:44 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

55.12%chance

2236307

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10893

9215

Will the Dallas Mavericks "win" the Luka trade?

Feb 3, 5:39 AMSep 1, 8:59 PM

24.36%chance

2025690

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10819

3069

Will there be evidence of insider trading by any Trump administration official for the events of April 9th.

Apr 10, 3:09 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.55%chance

322065

OptionVotes

NO

YES

114

88

Tangible evidence of senior Trump officials trading on insider tariff info before 2030?

Apr 9, 9:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

72.01%chance

211653

OptionVotes

NO

YES

160

62

If Trump dies while in office, will the market go up or go down?

Apr 20, 10:39 PMJan 19, 11:59 PM

44.89%chance

13783

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1108

902

Are Trump’s Tariffs part of a strategy to restructure the US Debt, Dollar, Trade & Global Financial System? 🇺🇸🏛️🤑

Apr 4, 11:47 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

31.88%chance

10649

OptionVotes

YES

NO

148

69

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.32%chance

10544

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1063

784

Will a manifold user do something very cool by the end of 2029?

Nov 8, 3:18 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

31.94%chance

13498

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1056

843

Will Donald Trump get more judges appointed in his second term than his first?

Nov 7, 2:42 AMJan 16, 7:59 AM

59.42%chance

5410

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1210

826

Will the Trade deficit of the US be 10% lower at the end of Trump’s 2nd term

Mar 15, 1:42 AMNov 5, 3:59 AM

60%chance

6237

OptionVotes

NO

YES

122

82

Trump admin member or their immediate family member indicted for insider trading before 2027?

Jul 11, 6:50 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.71%chance

13202

OptionVotes

YES

NO

208

48

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