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Top stories

Trump Accuses Schumer of Demanding $1 Billion Amid Nominee Deadlock, Threatens New York Funding Cut

US Gov Appointments

US Domestic Policy

Trump Accuses Schumer of Demanding $1 Billion Amid Nominee Deadlock, Threatens New York Funding Cut

Authors

9

4 days ago

Prediction markets for Trump Treasury

Will Donald Trump's face appear on US currency before December 2028?

Feb 11, 6:35 PMDec 2, 4:59 AM

11.77%chance

194414

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2738

365

Will I touch a “2025” penny in 2025?

Feb 10, 7:02 PMJan 1, 8:05 AM

49.23%chance

151636

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1016

985

As of January 1, 2026, will the following assets be held in a US national strategic crypto reserve?

Mar 3, 12:52 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

201361

OptionProbability

Bitcoin (BTC)

Tether (USDT)

Cardano (ADA)

XRP

Ethereum (ETH)

Solana (SOL)

Dogecoin (DOGE)

91

65

59

47

40

34

28

What will the US national debt be after the Trump administration?

Mar 5, 8:50 PMDec 1, 7:59 AM

10918

Will I touch a “2026” penny in 2026?

Feb 10, 7:57 PMJan 1, 8:05 AM

28.28%chance

10861

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1593

628

UFC fight at the White House by end of Trump's term?

Jul 6, 3:01 PMJan 19, 11:59 PM

56.18%chance

24854

OptionVotes

NO

YES

113

88

Which prongs of the "3-3-3" economic plan will the Trump administration achieve by the end of Q1, 2028?

Dec 16, 7:20 PMJul 1, 3:59 AM

16366

OptionProbability

Increase domestic energy production by 3 million barrel of oil equivalents per day

Reduce budget deficit to 3% of GDP

Real GDP growth of 3% per annum

53

12

12

If Trump wins, what will US bond yields be at the end of 2025?

Mar 11, 3:08 AMJan 3, 7:59 AM

44.23%chance

10262

OptionVotes

NO

YES

192

142

What will be the initial capitalization of the US national strategic crypto reserve?

Mar 3, 3:11 PMJan 22, 7:59 AM

6252

OptionProbability

Between $10 billion and $50 billion

Between $1 billion and $10 billion

Between $50 billion and $100 billion

Greater than $100 billion

>$0, less than $1 billion

Has not been capitalized as of January 21, 2029

52

19

12

8

6

4

Will the US government distribute free cryptocurrency to citizens before January 20, 2029?

Feb 20, 7:00 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

15.11%chance

9237

OptionVotes

YES

NO

237

42

Will the US Sovereign Wealth Fund Hold Bitcoin?

Feb 6, 8:21 PMFeb 2, 4:59 AM

61.74%chance

6115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130

81

30-year Treasury yield hits 5.6% during Trump's second term?

May 30, 7:20 PMJan 19, 11:59 AM

37%chance

584

OptionVotes

YES

NO

130

77

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