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Prediction markets for Trumps

Will Trump & Elon cut >250,000 government employees in 2025?

Nov 13, 2:32 AMDec 31, 7:59 AM

38.36%chance

12231479322

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10867

8057

Will Musk be on good terms with Trump at the end of 2025?

Nov 13, 4:14 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

17%chance

548335862

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8094

5247

Will Trump finish his second term?

Dec 5, 9:25 PMJan 22, 5:59 AM

77.26%chance

198241270

OptionVotes

YES

NO

102453

88988

If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?

Mar 10, 5:16 AMNov 4, 4:59 AM

51%chance

428153665

OptionVotes

NO

YES

8907

3846

Trump seriously attempts 3rd term in 2028?

Mar 31, 2:57 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

30.58%chance

336106150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1507

664

Will Donald Trump be impeached during his second term?

Nov 6, 5:20 AMJan 21, 5:59 AM

60.59%chance

25263928

OptionVotes

NO

YES

14152

4970

Will Trump's use of IEEPA to enact tariffs without congress be ruled unlawful?

Mar 11, 1:04 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

43.19%chance

1619132

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11470

8719

Will Trump cheer on a violent attack on a public intellectual?

Apr 28, 7:37 PMFeb 2, 8:37 PM

28.4%chance

1110113

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15879

6298

Will TSLA reach $500 during Trump's term?

Nov 10, 5:10 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40%chance

489662

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1174

1046

Will Trump tout (positively promote) the possibility of default on US federal debt at any time during his second term?

Feb 2, 9:27 AMFeb 1, 1:59 PM

53.76%chance

419642

OptionVotes

NO

YES

11501

8468

Barron Trump is not fully natural [Mod Note: OP includes "steroids, gene therapy, IVF, etc."]

Jun 13, 9:36 PMJun 21, 4:59 AM

42.19%chance

206441

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12038

8179

Kim Jing Un is big boss and Kamala wins, or he's out and Trump wins, judgment by mid 2029

Oct 5, 6:22 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

42%chance

62029

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11755

8505

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