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Prediction markets for Turkey

Will Turkey be a member state of the EU on January 1st 2032?

Dec 18, 11:01 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

17.04%chance

4516757

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1011

910

Turkey Tom (TomDark) stock permanent

Sep 13, 1:45 AMDec 31, 1:44 AM

90.45%chance

507767

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1378

918

Will Turkey become a member state of the EU

Feb 19, 4:45 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

30.42%chance

196714

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1094

490

Will Turkey be a democracy by end of 2025?

May 15, 8:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.82%chance

181519

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2224

782

Will Northern Cyprus be recognized by a country other than Turkey before October 2026?

Aug 21, 8:23 AMOct 1, 11:59 PM

24.87%chance

191004

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1163

929

Will Turkey and/or Northern Cyprus occupy the Republic of Cyprus before 2030?

Jan 2, 3:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.92%chance

8912

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1654

827

Will Israel attack Turkey or Iraq by the end of 2025?

Jan 17, 2:33 PMJan 2, 2:34 AM

18702

OptionProbability

Iraq

Turkey

27

8

Will Erdogan be president of Turkey at the start of 2029?

Dec 24, 4:01 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

30.3%chance

6665

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1517

659

Will Turkey remain a member of NATO by 2030?

Feb 1, 8:29 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

83.51%chance

17507

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1283

915

Will Argentina have lower year-on-year inflation than Turkey at the end of 2025?

Jul 18, 2:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.41%chance

11491

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1127

893

New F-35 sold to Turkey by EOY2028?

Mar 21, 6:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.24%chance

3400

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1015

985

Will Turkey annex any portion of Syria by EOY2030? (even by establishing an informal gvmt?)

Dec 9, 10:37 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

55.39%chance

343

OptionVotes

NO

YES

111

90

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