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Prediction markets for TV

Will a movie or TV series based on a book by Brandon Sanderson be released prior to 2027?

Aug 23, 10:55 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

1%chance

559259

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5736

30

Pharmaceutical TV ads banned in US by end of 2026?

Sep 29, 8:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.21%chance

103589

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3587

279

Will Jesse Eisenberg play the role of Sam Altman in a TV show or movie by the end of 2028?

Nov 20, 5:31 PMJan 1, 6:29 PM

6.86%chance

222294

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1841

886

Will JK Rowling allow a tv adaptation of Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality by end of 2030?

May 10, 2:48 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

6.42%chance

281212

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1552

919

Will Mitch McConnell have another absent seizure on live tv and be removed from office?

Oct 11, 12:36 AMJan 22, 6:59 AM

11.19%chance

12482

OptionVotes

YES

NO

382

127

Mistborn/Stormlight Archive TV show/movie begins filming by EOY 2028?

Jan 28, 10:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.1%chance

9385

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1104

744

Will The Expanse TV show return to finish the story?

Sep 10, 11:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50.99%chance

17377

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1043

943

Will Polish TV show Twoja Twarz Brzmi Znajomo stop doing blackface before 2030?

Sep 13, 9:42 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

46%chance

10364

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1038

924

Will there ever actually be a Smash Bros movie or TV show? (Before 2031)

Dec 21, 7:45 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

6%chance

5332

OptionVotes

YES

NO

386

51

Will The Sopranos still be one of the greatest TV series of all time in 2050?

Nov 28, 2:44 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.79%chance

12257

OptionVotes

YES

NO

167

101

Will Aaron Sorkin return to TV before 2030?

Oct 15, 9:50 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

57.16%chance

2155

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1155

866

Will Closed Captioning be required on most U.S. broadcast TV ads in or before 2035?

Feb 9, 12:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.17%chance

2150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1026

901

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