Twitter Support News

Is Elon a Nazi sympathizer?

Feb 10, 9:50 AMDec 26, 7:59 AM

8.76%chance

5115013

OptionVotes

YES

3228

310

Will this Richard Hanania article on trans ideology hold up?

Oct 6, 4:51 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

73.61%chance

6913547

OptionVotes

YES

1659

197

What will happen in the Elon Musk vs Twitter Executives Lawsuit

Mar 5, 1:01 AMMar 2, 5:59 AM

294614

OptionProbability

Elon complains about the situation

Twitter Executive/s insult Elon Musk

Parag Agrawal publicly comments on the lawsuit

Elon Musk provides anything as evidence to support his allegations of "gross negligence" and "willful misconduct" by the former Twitter executives?

Elon Musk apologizes to Executives

Lawsuit proceeds to trial

Elon ordered to pay 128 Million

Twitter Executives refuse settlement

Twitter Executive/s found to have committed gross negligence or willful misconduct

Elon appeals something that's upheld

100

Will groypers win over the GOP before 2033?

Nov 5, 8:38 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

15.95%chance

82171

OptionVotes

YES

2295

436

Is the preprint suggesting Betelgeuse supernova within decades correct?

Jun 20, 12:28 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.7%chance

161969

OptionVotes

YES

1919

765

What will the dominant social media protocol be at the end of 2028?

Apr 29, 6:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

341621

OptionProbability

AT protocol (Bluesky)

ActivityPub (Mastodon)

Nostr

Other

Farcaster

Bluesky

Other, not launched before 2024

Hive (hive.blog)

Mana-channel (Manifold, if we ever do it)

cohost

Discord

Tumblr

Forums and/or BBSes make a huge comeback

Other, launched before 2024

RSS

Threads

Will the Forward Party become a meaningful actor in the US political scene?

Aug 2, 4:40 PMNov 7, 10:59 PM

3.47%chance

181065

OptionVotes

YES

1257

956

Will Elon Musk be calling the AntiChrist in 2025?

Dec 15, 1:32 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

1.31%chance

101025

OptionVotes

YES

869

Aella switches to a private life through 2030

Aug 24, 5:07 PMJan 3, 7:59 AM

28%chance

6154

OptionVotes

YES

181

102

Twitter Support News

Prediction markets for Twitter Support

Prediction markets for Twitter Support

Prediction markets for Twitter Support

Is Elon a Nazi sympathizer?

Will this Richard Hanania article on trans ideology hold up?

What will happen in the Elon Musk vs Twitter Executives Lawsuit

Will groypers win over the GOP before 2033?

Is the preprint suggesting Betelgeuse supernova within decades correct?

What will the dominant social media protocol be at the end of 2028?

Will the Forward Party become a meaningful actor in the US political scene?

Will Elon Musk be calling the AntiChrist in 2025?

Aella switches to a private life through 2030

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