OptionProbability
Diesel will still be dominant
Battery-electric vehicle
Synthetic natural gas / hydrocarbons / biofuels
Hydrogen fuel cell
Other
Fusion
Fossil-fuel natural gas
68
16
11
4
1
0
Commonwealth Fusion
Zap Energy
Helion
Ante
Tokamak Energy
TAE
ITER
Renaissance Fusion
Marvel Fusion
Proxima Fusion
Type One Energy
Thea Energy
Stellarex
52
28
19
Yes, at least 1 minor change.
Yes, at least 1 major change.
Yes, exactly 1 major and 1 minor change.
Yes, multiple minor changes, 1 major change.
Yes, multiple minor changes, 2 major changes.
Yes, at least one minor change, at least one major change.
Yes, at least 2 minor changes, exactly 1 major change.
Yes, at least 2 minor changes, at least 1 major change.
Yes, exactly 2 major changes and no more than 3 minor changes.
Negative change (regardless of minor or major).
No significant change, positive or negative.
55
34
31
24
