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Prediction markets for UA

By the time a ceasefire or peace treaty between Ukraine & Russia is signed, will UA partially control Crimea?

Sep 13, 8:40 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.21%chance

306217

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3196

638

Will the US Government make a show of declassifying everything on UFOs / UAPs before 2030

Jul 14, 8:55 PMDec 31, 4:59 PM

40.18%chance

281561

OptionVotes

NO

YES

991

983

Will a public gay pride legally take place in the UAE by 2040?

Jun 24, 5:24 AMJan 1, 4:59 PM

45.22%chance

171359

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1101

909

In 2030, will the government of Syria be better described as being closer to that of the UAE or Afghanistan?

Dec 12, 2:42 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

36.46%chance

7753

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1320

758

Will Juan Ayuso leave UAE Team Emirates before his 2028 contract expires?

Aug 5, 11:56 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

97.25%chance

4495

OptionVotes

NO

YES

594

17

Will the UAE successfully land an unmanned rover or human on the moon by EOY 2028?

Dec 27, 5:13 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

53.61%chance

21484

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1003

986

Will UATX achieve full accreditation by 2030?

Feb 2, 9:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.43%chance

2380

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1380

725

Will the UAE be in the top 10 countries in Human Development Index (HDI) in 2031?

Jul 7, 10:22 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

59.49%chance

4360

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1212

825

How many UAP (Unidentified Anomalous Phenomenon) Incidents will US-AARO acknowledge for 2025

Oct 26, 11:16 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

1306

OptionProbability

Above 500

Below 0 - IE No Report Issued by Jan 1, 2027

0 - 49

50 - 99

100 - 149

150 - 199

200 - 249

300 - 349

350 - 399

400 - 449

450 - 500

250 - 299

17

15

14

7

6

6

6

6

6

6

6

5

Will a crossing of the Strait of Hormuz, between Iran and Oman or UAE, have started construction by 2040?

Jul 4, 8:36 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

26.38%chance

9265

OptionVotes

YES

NO

209

144

Will there be a significant retraction to the AARO 2024 UAP report before 2030?

Mar 21, 3:32 AMJan 1, 3:59 AM

18.71%chance

4204

OptionVotes

YES

NO

277

78

Will it be revealed strategic AI chips Trump has allowed the UAE to buy have strategically benefited China's AI program?

Sep 24, 6:29 PMDec 31, 7:29 PM

45.87%chance

3201

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1086

921

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