UK Government News
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Prediction markets for UK Government
OptionProbability
17
16
16
14
13
6
4
4
3
2
2
2
1
1
0
0
Will the UK Government move to restrict access to VPNs this Parliament?
Aug 20, 5:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
21.25%chance
163003
OptionVotes
1925
519
Will the UK Government establish a dedicated immigration enforcement agency similar to US ICE by end of 2026?
Jun 22, 3:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
29.08%chance
182716
OptionVotes
1562
640
Will the UK Government reverse its current stance by approving at least one new North Sea oil & gas licence in 2026?
Mar 28, 8:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
68.56%chance
112074
OptionVotes
468
150
Will the UK government pass legislation introducing conscription for military service before 2028?
Jan 26, 12:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
9.44%chance
181102
OptionVotes
994
619
Will the UK government introduce mandatory military conscription by end of Dec 31, 2027?
Mar 3, 10:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
9%chance
20903
OptionVotes
318
31
Will Apple provide private user data to the UK government before the end of 2027?
Feb 22, 3:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
47.55%chance
5697
OptionVotes
1050
952
Will Reform be in government following the next UK general election
Dec 2, 2:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
39%chance
15506
OptionVotes
125
80
Will the UK Government reduce its current Bitcoin holdings before the next general election?
Dec 3, 2:59 PMJul 4, 10:59 PM
37.71%chance
4410
OptionVotes
1285
778
Will Annual UK Debt Interest Payments Exceed 20% of Government Budget Revenue by 2028?
May 29, 5:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
55.22%chance
2225
OptionVotes
1110
901
Will the UK Government weaken the ZEV mandate (lowering the 2026 33% target or delaying compliance) before 31 Dec 2026?
Mar 28, 9:04 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM
64.81%chance
5216
OptionVotes
432
192
UK government approval among women falls below 5% this year (repost from last year)?
Jan 4, 1:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
51.7%chance
578
OptionVotes
104
97