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Top stories

UK Government Absorbs Space Agency Into Science Department to Cut Costs

Authors

5

10 months ago

Prediction markets for UK Government

Which government will form after the next UK general election?

May 5, 12:22 AMJan 2, 1:21 AM

306376

OptionProbability

Reform minority

Conservatives + Reform coalition

Labour minority

Reform majority

Labour majority

Labour + Greens + Liberal Democrats coalition

Conservatives majority

Conservatives minority

Labour + Greens coalition

Labour + Liberal Democrats coalition

Green + Liberal Democrats coalition

Other

Labour + Conservatives coalition

Labour + Reform coalition

Conservatives + Liberal Democrats coalition

[invalid] Coalition of more than two parties

18

18

14

12

10

7

5

5

3

2

2

2

1

1

0

0

Will the UK Government establish a dedicated immigration enforcement agency similar to US ICE by end of 2026?

Jun 22, 3:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.45%chance

172383

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1626

615

Will the UK Government move to restrict access to VPNs this Parliament?

Aug 20, 5:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.2%chance

101587

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1328

753

Will the UK Government reverse its current stance by approving at least one new North Sea oil & gas licence in 2026?

Mar 28, 8:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

57.3%chance

101172

OptionVotes

NO

YES

383

199

Will the UK government pass legislation introducing conscription for military service before 2028?

Jan 26, 12:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.44%chance

181102

OptionVotes

NO

YES

994

619

Will Apple provide private user data to the UK government before the end of 2027?

Feb 22, 3:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

47.55%chance

5697

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1050

952

Will Reform be in government following the next UK general election

Dec 2, 2:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39%chance

15506

OptionVotes

YES

NO

125

80

Will the UK Government reduce its current Bitcoin holdings before the next general election?

Dec 3, 2:59 PMJul 4, 10:59 PM

37.71%chance

4410

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1285

778

Will Annual UK Debt Interest Payments Exceed 20% of Government Budget Revenue by 2028?

May 29, 5:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.22%chance

2225

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1110

901

Will the UK Government weaken the ZEV mandate (lowering the 2026 33% target or delaying compliance) before 31 Dec 2026?

Mar 28, 9:04 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

64.81%chance

5216

OptionVotes

NO

YES

432

192

UK government approval among women falls below 5% this year (repost from last year)?

Jan 4, 1:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51.7%chance

578

OptionVotes

NO

YES

104

97

The Labour Party will win the next UK election (2023/4) and then govern for more than 8 contiguous years

Jun 11, 10:06 PMJun 11, 11:59 PM

35.8%chance

675

OptionVotes

YES

NO

154

111

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