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Prediction markets for UK Labour government

Who will be the next British Prime Minister following a General Election?

Sep 29, 9:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6260929

OptionProbability

Keir Starmer

Nigel Farage

Other

Robert Jenrick

Kemi Badenoch

Angela Rayner

James Cleverly

Jeremy Clarkson

Jeremy Corbyn

Boris Johnson

Richard Tice

Rupert Lowe

Ed Davey

Idris Elba

34

26

19

6

5

4

3

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

UK Labour builds how many homes by July 4, 2029?

May 17, 11:09 PMJul 3, 11:59 PM

41917

[Ṁ200 subsidy] Will the BBC licence fee be axed by the end of 2028?

Aug 3, 11:25 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

27.34%chance

221255

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1157

913

Will the UK build >1.5m new homes by the end of Q2 2029

May 8, 11:40 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

33.8%chance

171013

OptionVotes

YES

NO

744

509

Will The UK recognize Palestine by EOY2025?

Apr 29, 9:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

89.76%chance

191012

OptionVotes

NO

YES

291

25

Will UK children face a social media curfew before 2029?

Jun 9, 6:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.48%chance

6595

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1585

631

Will the arrested labour councillor, Ricky Jones, be sentenced for longer than a year?

Aug 8, 6:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.36%chance

4119

OptionVotes

YES

NO

148

68

Labour Home Secretary publicly defy UK court ruling on deportation before next GE?

Jul 21, 9:57 AMAug 28, 10:59 PM

36.31%chance

6107

OptionVotes

YES

NO

132

76

Will the UK introduce compulsory English lessons for adult migrants receiving public benefits before 2027?

Jul 21, 10:14 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.16%chance

896

OptionVotes

YES

NO

112

89

The Labour Party will win the next UK election (2023/4) and then govern for more than 8 contiguous years

Jun 11, 10:06 PMJun 11, 11:59 PM

35.8%chance

675

OptionVotes

YES

NO

154

111

Labour initiates legislation to reform or replace Human Rights Act before next election?

Jul 21, 9:50 AMAug 15, 12:00 AM

34.79%chance

465

OptionVotes

YES

NO

137

73

Will the UK raise the minimum income requirement for family visas above £40,000 before 2027?

Jul 21, 10:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

122

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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