UK Labour Party News

Labour at 20% Records Lowest Poll Since 2019 as Reform UK Leads at 28% and Conservatives Fall to 17% in August YouGov Survey

10 months ago

Who will be the next leader of the UK Labour Party?

Jun 8, 2:46 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

495525

OptionProbability

Andy Burnham

Al Carns

Darren Jones

Other

Wes Streeting

Rachel Reeves

Lisa Nandy

Angela Rayner

Yvette Cooper

Bridget Phillipson

David Miliband

Jess Phillips

Louise Haigh

David Lammy

Ed Miliband

Shabana Mahmood

Lucy Powell

John Healey

Emily Thornberry

Catherine West

Who will be the leader of the Labour Party going into the next UK general election?

Jul 27, 9:13 PMAug 16, 6:59 AM

303779

OptionProbability

Andy Burnham

Wes Streeting

Angela Rayner

Ed Miliband

Other

Keir Starmer

Shabana Mahmood

Al Carns

John Healey

Emily Thornberry

Louise Haigh

Darren Jones

Will the Labour Party win the next UK general election?

Aug 14, 12:04 AMAug 15, 10:59 PM

34%chance

333511

OptionVotes

YES

139

How many seats will the UK Labour Party win at the next general election?

Jul 13, 7:58 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

182852

OptionProbability

>=100

>=150

>=200

>=250

>=300

>=325

>=350

>=400

Will the next female Prime Minister of the UK be from the Labour party?

Feb 13, 5:04 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

61.5%chance

311598

OptionVotes

YES

1401

615

In 2040, the UK Labour Party has/is … [complete the sentence]

Jan 11, 10:54 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13751

OptionProbability

> 0 MPs in the House of Commons.

polled above 20% in a BPC-member poll in the past year.

won >0 General Elections in the past decade.

registered with the Electoral Commission.

more MPs in Wales than any other party (N/A if Wales is independent)

polled above 30% in a BPC-member poll in the past year.

the most MPs in the House of Commons.

split into multiple electorally-successful parties since 2024.

polled above 40% in a BPC-member poll in the past year.

the 2nd most MPs in the House of Commons.

won the previous London Mayoral election

more MPs in Scotland than any other party (N/A if Scotland is independent)

been in government for more than a decade (first elected into power prior to 2030 and remaining in power by 01/01/2040)

Will Trump say he “forgives” the UK Labour Party, Keir Starmer or in any reference to them?

Nov 8, 3:36 PMJan 15, 11:59 PM

23.17%chance

12374

OptionVotes

YES

344

127

If this person is the leader of the Labour Party going into the next UK election after 2024, will the PM be Labour?

Mar 13, 5:21 PMAug 14, 11:00 PM

5294

OptionProbability

Louise Haigh

Darren Jones

Ed Miliband

Shabana Mahmood

Angela Rayner

Andy Burnham

Keir Starmer

Wes Streeting

Yvette Cooper

Bridget Phillipson

Lisa Nandy

Rachel Reeves

How many members will the UK Labour Party have at the start of 2029?

May 2, 6:26 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

2223

OptionProbability

Above 50,000

Above 100,000

Above 200,000

Above 400,000

Above 600,000

In which five year period will the UK Labour Party first have a woman leader?

Mar 5, 6:23 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

8198

OptionProbability

2025-2029

2030-2034

2035-2039

Other

If this person is leader of the Labour Party going into the next UK general election, will the Economist endorse Labour?

Apr 30, 10:32 PMMay 1, 11:59 PM

6134

OptionProbability

Wes Streeting

Keir Starmer

Ed Miliband

Andy Burnham

Angela Rayner

If not Labour, Reform or Conservatives, which party will the UK PM be from after the next election?

Dec 6, 1:57 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6109

OptionProbability

Green

Liberal Democrats

Other

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Who will be the next leader of the UK Labour Party?

Who will be the leader of the Labour Party going into the next UK general election?

Will the Labour Party win the next UK general election?

How many seats will the UK Labour Party win at the next general election?

Will the next female Prime Minister of the UK be from the Labour party?

In 2040, the UK Labour Party has/is … [complete the sentence]

Will Trump say he “forgives” the UK Labour Party, Keir Starmer or in any reference to them?

If this person is the leader of the Labour Party going into the next UK election after 2024, will the PM be Labour?

How many members will the UK Labour Party have at the start of 2029?

In which five year period will the UK Labour Party first have a woman leader?

If this person is leader of the Labour Party going into the next UK general election, will the Economist endorse Labour?

If not Labour, Reform or Conservatives, which party will the UK PM be from after the next election?

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