UK Labour Party News

Labour’s Starmer, Reeves, Dodds and Piketty Urge Wealth Tax at Autumn Budget to Address UK Finance Gap and Inequality

2 days ago

Will Keir Starmer lead the Labour party into the next General Election?

Jan 6, 4:28 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

72.65%chance

4110374

OptionVotes

YES

1630

614

If Zack Polanski becomes leader of the Green Party (UK), how many Labour MPs will defect to the Greens?

Jun 3, 10:10 AMJun 3, 10:04 AM

144057

OptionProbability

0 defections

Polanski does not become Green Party leader.

1 defection

2-5 defections

6-10 defections

11+ defections

Will the Labour Party win the next UK general election?

Aug 14, 12:04 AMAug 15, 10:59 PM

45.51%chance

252729

OptionVotes

YES

109

How many seats will the UK Labour Party win at the next general election?

Jul 13, 7:58 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

141912

OptionProbability

>=100

>=150

>=200

>=250

>=300

>=325

>=350

>=400

Will the next female Prime Minister of the UK be from the Labour party?

Feb 13, 5:04 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

58%chance

281502

OptionVotes

YES

1319

670

In 2040, the UK Labour Party has/is … [complete the sentence]

Jan 11, 10:54 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13751

OptionProbability

> 0 MPs in the House of Commons.

polled above 20% in a BPC-member poll in the past year.

won >0 General Elections in the past decade.

registered with the Electoral Commission.

more MPs in Wales than any other party (N/A if Wales is independent)

polled above 30% in a BPC-member poll in the past year.

the most MPs in the House of Commons.

split into multiple electorally-successful parties since 2024.

polled above 40% in a BPC-member poll in the past year.

the 2nd most MPs in the House of Commons.

won the previous London Mayoral election

more MPs in Scotland than any other party (N/A if Scotland is independent)

been in government for more than a decade (first elected into power prior to 2030 and remaining in power by 01/01/2040)

Who will be the leader of the Labour Party going into the next UK general election?

Jul 27, 9:13 PMAug 16, 6:59 AM

7356

OptionProbability

Keir Starmer

Angela Rayner

Other

Wes Streeting

Who will be the next leader of the UK Labour Party?

Jun 8, 2:46 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

12261

OptionProbability

Other

Angela Rayner

Andy Burnham

David Lammy

Rachel Reeves

Wes Streeting

Lisa Nandy

Yvette Cooper

Bridget Phillipson

David Miliband

Jess Phillips

If this person is the leader of the Labour Party going into the next UK election after 2024, will the PM be Labour?

Mar 13, 5:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3190

OptionProbability

Keir Starmer

Angela Rayner

Andy Burnham

Wes Streeting

Yvette Cooper

Bridget Phillipson

Rachel Reeves

Lisa Nandy

In which five year period will the UK Labour Party first have a woman leader?

Mar 5, 6:23 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

8188

OptionProbability

2030-2034

2035-2039

Other

2025-2029

Will Trump say he “forgives” the UK Labour Party, Keir Starmer or in any reference to them?

Nov 8, 3:36 PMJan 15, 11:59 PM

36.96%chance

9167

OptionVotes

YES

239

172

The Labour Party will win the next UK election (2023/4) and then govern for more than 8 contiguous years

Jun 11, 10:06 PMJun 11, 11:59 PM

35.8%chance

675

OptionVotes

YES

154

111

UK Labour Party News

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Prediction markets for UK Labour Party

Will Keir Starmer lead the Labour party into the next General Election?

If Zack Polanski becomes leader of the Green Party (UK), how many Labour MPs will defect to the Greens?

Will the Labour Party win the next UK general election?

How many seats will the UK Labour Party win at the next general election?

Will the next female Prime Minister of the UK be from the Labour party?

In 2040, the UK Labour Party has/is … [complete the sentence]

Who will be the leader of the Labour Party going into the next UK general election?

Who will be the next leader of the UK Labour Party?

If this person is the leader of the Labour Party going into the next UK election after 2024, will the PM be Labour?

In which five year period will the UK Labour Party first have a woman leader?

Will Trump say he “forgives” the UK Labour Party, Keir Starmer or in any reference to them?

The Labour Party will win the next UK election (2023/4) and then govern for more than 8 contiguous years

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