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Prediction markets for UK Labour Party
Who will be the leader of the Labour Party going into the next UK general election?
Jul 27, 9:13 PMAug 16, 6:59 AM
344333
OptionProbability
85
4
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
Will the Labour Party win the next UK general election?
Aug 14, 12:04 AMAug 15, 10:59 PM
45.45%chance
353579
OptionVotes
110
91
How many seats will the UK Labour Party win at the next general election?
Jul 13, 7:58 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
203058
OptionProbability
90
80
65
54
37
27
20
5
Will the next female Prime Minister of the UK be from the Labour party?
Feb 13, 5:04 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
55%chance
341829
OptionVotes
1255
720
OptionProbability
97
90
79
78
74
71
55
49
45
44
40
39
30
Will Trump say he “forgives” the UK Labour Party, Keir Starmer or in any reference to them?
Nov 8, 3:36 PMJan 15, 11:59 PM
23.17%chance
12374
OptionVotes
344
127
How many members will the UK Labour Party have at the start of 2029?
May 2, 6:26 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM
3243
OptionProbability
94
85
66
28
7
If this person is leader of the Labour Party going into the next UK general election, will the Economist endorse Labour?
Apr 30, 10:32 PMMay 1, 11:59 PM
7200
OptionProbability
35
31
31
30
29
28
In which five year period will the UK Labour Party first have a woman leader?
Mar 5, 6:23 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
8198
OptionProbability
30
26
25
19
If not Labour, Reform or Conservatives, which party will the UK PM be from after the next election?
Dec 6, 1:57 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
6109
OptionProbability
55
33
8
4
The Labour Party will win the next UK election (2023/4) and then govern for more than 8 contiguous years
Jun 11, 10:06 PMJun 11, 11:59 PM
35.8%chance
675
OptionVotes
154
111
OptionVotes
107
93