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Top stories

Lib Dem Leader Davey Boycotts Trump Banquet in Gaza Protest

US Foreign Policy

Lib Dem Leader Davey Boycotts Trump Banquet in Gaza Protest

Authors

5

10 months ago

Prediction markets for UK Liberal Democrat

Who will be the next UK Prime Minister after Keir Starmer?

Jul 5, 10:07 PMJul 1, 10:59 PM

16371650

OptionProbability

Andy Burnham

Alistair Carns

Darren Jones

Other

Rachel Reeves

Angela Rayner

Yvette Cooper

David Lammy

Ed Davey

Nigel Farage

Kemi Badenoch

Jeremy Hunt

Rishi Sunak

Wes Streeting

Suella Braverman

James Cleverly

Lisa Nandy

Tom Tugendhat

Priti Patel

Robert Jenrick

Mel Stride

Jeremy Corbyn

Dan Jarvis

Shabana Mahmood

Ed Miliband

Zack Polanski

John Healey

Jess Phillips

95

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Next UK General Election: how will the national vote be split?

Oct 31, 2:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

171737

OptionProbability

Reform

Labour

Conservative

Green

Liberal Democrat

Scottish National Party

Other

25

23

17

15

11

4

4

Will Keir Starmer be reelected PM in 2029?

Mar 17, 5:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.25%chance

9579

OptionVotes

YES

NO

425

24

Will Ed Davey lead the Liberal Democrat party into the next General Election?

Jan 6, 4:31 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

58%chance

9557

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1175

851

Will the UK introduce proportional representation for general elections before 2030?

May 11, 4:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.09%chance

11353

OptionVotes

YES

NO

206

49

How many members will the UK Liberal Democrats have at the start of 2029?

May 2, 6:27 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

1345

OptionProbability

Above 50,000

Above 100,000

Above 150,000

Above 200,000

Above 400,000

Above 600,000

50

24

17

8

4

2

Who will be the leader of the Liberal Democrats going into the next UK general election?

May 1, 6:31 PMAug 15, 10:59 PM

2132

OptionProbability

Ed Davey

Daisy Cooper

Other

Josh Babarinde

Layla Moran

48

16

16

12

9

Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?

Aug 8, 5:52 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

34.42%chance

565

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4007

3989

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